作者AnthonyReyes (偶素笑臉人)
看板Pirates
標題Re: Trades!!
時間Mon Jul 6 23:45:02 2009
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-morgan-milledge-deal
A .310 wOBA and +10 defense in center field is still a pretty nifty player,
though. Over a full season, that would make him a +2 to +2.5 win player, or
right around league average. Considering that his lack of service time means
he’ll be making the minimum the next couple of years, the Nationals are
getting a pretty significant value in this particular outfielder. The upside
isn’t super high, but he’s instantly one of the better players on that
team, and will make them better both in 2009 and going forward.
.............
Hanrahan is a nice buy low candidate, and a better bet for the future than
Burnett, but relievers just aren’t that hard to acquire. The Pirates get
worse now for some hope of getting better in the future, but that hope is
tied to a belief in Lastings Milledge’s improvement that I don’t have.
我不否認我對這兩個人防守的評價有一大部分來自於印象分數
(考慮到防守數據的爭議性, 這也是沒辦法的事)
但是就像Cameron講的, Morgan已經是平均左右的CF (打擊差一些, 防守好一些)
而Milledge現在啥都不是, 而兩個人同樣拿底薪, 所以你說海盜有多賺嗎?
並沒有.
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◆ From: 219.71.38.187
1F：推 abc12812:平均左右的CF? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:19
2F：→ abc12812:你用Endy Chavez的名字代入看看你覺得 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:20
3F：→ abc12812:他是平均CF還是萬年4th OF? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:20
4F：→ abc12812:Cameron用來支持他的論點的只是1000IP出 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:22
5F：→ abc12812:頭的樣本數，而且還只有單一的防守數據 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:22
6F：→ abc12812:這樣就會讓你覺得Morgan是"平均CF"? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:23
7F：→ AnthonyReyes:Endy Chavez上壘率要是高個0.03 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:00
8F：→ AnthonyReyes:就是先發 但他不是 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:00
9F：→ AnthonyReyes:Cameron已經講得很保守了 若光看UZR 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:01
10F：→ AnthonyReyes:Morgan根本不是啥平均的CF 而是全聯 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:02
11F：→ AnthonyReyes:盟防守最強的CF 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:02
12F：→ AnthonyReyes:還有 你可以找找看哪家防守數據不認 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:03
13F：→ AnthonyReyes:為Morgan防守好的 起碼我找不到 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:04
14F：→ AnthonyReyes:最後 Milledge連打得好的樣本都沒有 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:05
※ 編輯: AnthonyReyes 來自: 219.71.38.187 (07/07 09:07)
15F：→ AnthonyReyes:(在MLB)這樣你就會覺得他一定比M強? 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:08
16F：推 fifth:Morgan的打擊 還有兩位數的CS 能看嗎 = = 140.112.217.11 07/09 01:47
17F：→ fifth:這種4th OF 隨便撿都有.. 140.112.217.11 07/09 01:48