作者BunkerHill (Don't tread on me.)
看板EarthScience
標題Re: [地震] 海地M7.0地震
時間Thu Jan 14 17:40:23 2010
※ 引述《Phalange (Regina Phalange)》之銘言：
: 看到有趣的文章
: Experts warned of earthquake risk on Haiti
: By Brandon Griggs, CNN
: http://tinyurl.com/y9x48qm
: 原來這次地震去年已經有科學家預言了，還發表成論文。
這不是預言
是說這個地區的構造具有發生規模7.2地震的潛能
該篇文章作者自己說的話
"The problem with these kinds of strikes is that they can remain quiescent
-- dormant -- for hundreds of years," he said Tuesday evening. "So it's hard
to predict when they'll occur."
研討會摘要
ENRIQUILLO-PLANTAIN GARDEN STRIKE-SLIP FAULT ZONE:
A MAJOR SEISMIC HAZARD
AFFECTING DOMINICAN REPUBLIC, HAITI AND JAMAICA
http://www.ig.utexas.edu/jsg/18_cgg/Mann3.htm
...Recorded seismicity over the past 40 years is sparse as expected from a
"fully locked fault plane". GPS-constrained block models with elastic strain
accumulation give ~8 mm/year of slip rate on the fault.....
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.123.2.6
1F：推 blatta:規模預測到了，但是防災最想預測的「時間」目前還不行oTZ 01/15 16:24