Trending: Down The next wave of talent looks promising but is unproven at higher levels. SYSTEM OVERVIEW Strengths: Even after graduating righthanders Francis Martes and (the now-traded) Joe Musgrove and trading away righty Franklin Perez, the Astros still have a number of high-ceiling pitching prospects, led by the precocious Forrest Whitley--a potential front-of-the-rotation starter. Houston has plenty of versatility as well. Righties J.B. Bukauskas, Hector Perez, Jorge Alcala and David Paulino, who all rank inside the top 10, all could be starters or relievers. Weaknesses: The Astros came into 2017 with a healthy surplus of outfielders throughout the upper levels of the system. After trading away Teoscar Hernandez, Daz Cameron, Preston Tucker, Jason Martin, and Ramon Laureano and graduating Derek Fisher, Houston has Kyle Tucker--but not nearly as many solid bats with defensive versatility at the upper levels. Best Tool Best Pure Hitter: Kyle Tucker. Best Power Hitter: Yordan Alvarez. Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Myles Straw.. Fastest Baserunner: Myles Straw. Best Athlete: Yordan Alvarez. Best Fastball: Jorge Alcala. Best Curveball: Framber Valdez. Best Slider: Forrest Whitley. Best Changeup: Forrest Whitley. Best Control: Rogelio Armenteros. Best Defensive Catcher: Garrett Stubbs. Best Defensive INF: Freudis Nova. Best INF Arm: J.D. Davis. Best Defensive OF: Gilberto Celestino. Best OF Arm: Myles Straw Top 10 1. Forrest Whitley, RHP Track Record: As a tall, thick-bodied righthander, Whitley was considered one of the better prep prospects in the 2016 draft class. But during his senior season, he wowed scouts after he melted away 20-30 pounds, turning himself into a more athletic pitcher with still-excellent stuff. By the end of his senior year, he was touching 97 mph and breaking off 90 mph sliders. In his first full pro season in 2017, Whitley dominated three levels and became just the fifth high school first-round pick to pitch at Double-A in his first full season this century. The previous four were Chad Billingsley, Zack Greinke, Clayton Kershaw and Dylan Bundy. Scouting Report: Few young pitchers are as advanced as Whitley, and few can match the quality of his stuff. He entered 2017 with four quality pitches and left it with five. All his pitches are at least average and a trio are already plus. Pitching with an over-the-top arm slot emphasizes the downhill plane on his fastball, and Whitley can blow hitters away at 92-97 mph. He actually is even more comfortable toying with batters with his varied assortment of offspeed pitches, and he commands his breaking balls better than his fastball at this point in his career. His plus 84-87 mph slider has modest depth but strong tilt as it dances away from his opponent's bat head as it nears the plate. His 78-82 mph curveball is also plus with a big 12-to-6 break. At times his changeup will also show otherworldly movement, when it dives down and away from the barrel of lefthanded batters. And in 2017 he refined a 90-92 mph cutter that some scouts throw a plus grade on. With so many pitches, Whitley can stick one or two in his back pocket early in the game, then break them out the second time through the order. One of the few criticisms raised is that he's a slow worker. Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Fastball: 70. Curveball: 60. Slider: 60. Changeup: 55. Cutter: 50. Control: 55. The Future: Scouts are understandably reticent to project almost any pitcher as a future No. 1 starter. But Whitley has a chance to be an ace with dominant stuff and advanced feel and control. It would surprise no one to see a 20-year-old Whitley make his major league debut later in 2018. He doesn't require much projection. He has not yet thrown even 100 innings in a season, so the Astros will likely be conservative with his workload in 2018. BA TOP 100 : (10) 这是我们队史上在BA Top 100中排名最高的投手了, 排在他前面的只有大谷翔平 2. Kyle Tucker, OF Track Record: The BA High School Player of the Year in 2015, Tucker broke his brother Preston's school home run record. Early in his pro career, he impressed with an advanced approach and hit tool. He showed a significant power increase in 2017, when he sacrificed contact to hit 25 home runs and reach Double-A Corpus Christi. Scouting Report: Tucker's swing has never been picture perfect. He begins his swing with the bat laid back over his shoulder, leading to a little bit of a sweepy beginning. But it's hard to argue with the results. His excellent hand-eye coordination leads to ton of contact, and as he has gotten stronger he's turned doubles into home runs. Tucker isn't a true center fielder, but he has a chance to be fringe-average there while being above-average in the corners with an average arm that works in either spot. He's an average runner who has shown a knack for stealing bases. The Future: Tucker's even-keeled approach turns off some scouts, who describe him as low-energy. He has a half-season of Double-A experience under his belt before his 21st birthday so he may need a little more Double-A time, but a big league arrival by age 22 is a likelihood. BA TOP 100 : (15) 这个排名比Springer和Bregman拿过的都还要前面 是非常高的评价 在这两只之後目前暂时没有All-star level的新秀了 後面很多都有很大的问号 虽然深度还是不错但是很多只都在A以下甚至还在R的层级 从前年开始选秀就没有很前的顺位了 选到Whitley算是非常成功的选秀了 而这几年球团在IFA也是没手软过(还买到爆pool 现在被禁赛中) 比较有趣的是我花很多钱签古巴的IFA 这点我看到现在还看不懂先知Luhnow在想三小 (#3的Alvaraz是换来的 所以他签的一堆古巴人目前都@#$!#) Crane我对他当时的承诺非常满意 因为他真的比爷爷肯付出 - 至少到目前为止 接下来他怎麽留这些core 然後在薪资总额将不段攀升的同时他还愿意在下面投资多少? 这是我们需要继续观察的 但是至少接下来两个球季除非大伤不然我们还是会很有竞争力 下面的不就不贴全文了 我会摘录翻一些重点 3. Yordan Alvarez, 1B/OF 选球/挥棒速度都不错 速度plus 臂力勉强达到平均 BA认为他最适合的位置是LF he has an exceptionally high ceiling as a pure hitter with a chance for plus power. BA TOP 100 : (62) 4. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP 个人蛮喜欢这只的 选秀时我就希望他成为我们家的closer 但是Luhnow很坚持他是SP 希望他是对的 不要两头空 ..... 他和McCullers Jr.的型态有点类似 长不高的双刀流火球投手 差别是宝咖咖丢的是滑球而小麦是曲球 他丢滑球比速球多 滑球的控球笔速球好 滑球在major已经是plus以上的等级 他的速球可以到high 90s但是先发局数一长就会掉速 变速球只能偶而展现平均水准 BA TOP 100 : (76) 5. Freudis Nova, SS/3B 还很嫩今年才会到美国　之前只打过DSL ... plus arm, plus speed, chance to be above average hitter with average power SS 6. Jairo Solis, RHP 刚满18岁　速球落在90-94 最快96 滑球和变速球都进步得很快很有潜力 7. Hector Perez, RHP 目前极速99 但是控球超烂　　变速球是plus　　但是再说一次: 控球超烂 8. Jorge Alcala, RHP 速球平均落在mid 90s 但是可以飙到　102 变速球和滑球都还是平均以下 只要他能练出一颗平均的变化球和控球在进步一点　应该就可以留在先发 以下两只大家比较熟了, 但是看到他们也就大概了解我们的农场现状差不多这样了 9. David Paulino, RHP 去年有受伤　加上被抓包禁药停药後球速似乎掉了　所以我对他的期望也差不多没了 BA仍认为他是有机会成为mid-rotation　因为他的plus曲球和偶而展现出plus的变速球 10. J.D. Davis, 3B 他的位置基本上被Bregman卡死了　他也差不多是略优於replacement level一点点的球员 所以他在win now而且是强权的球队中应该很难有位置　很可能是交易筹码 不过有趣的是他可以当RP 球速大概93 XDD Q&A 部分内容 # Moran > Davis # 目前找不到比Whitley/Tucker更好的投打组合新秀　 　(但是他後来想到Eloy and Kopech XDDD) Eloy/Kopech > Whitley/Tucker > Acuna/Braves pitcher # Rogelio Armenteros是#11 他天花板大概是4-5号的先发 # Alvarez真的是我们农场的best Athlete 因为最近我们选秀不太重Athleticism 　冏rz # Paulino和Marte有可能取代去年Musgrove的工作 # Luis Garcia and Elian Rodriguez 是两个值得观察的小鲜肉投手 # 拿去换Valander的Perez可以排在#4 Cameron和Rodgers都可以在这边排在top 10 (But who care? We win WS with Verlander. :-) ) -- 这应该是我最後一次Po BA top 10的内文了 再几天买了几年的BA会员要到期了, 我应该不会再续了 买BA应该10年有了我几乎只看太空人的新秀部分　 (因为时间不太许可 XD) 所以算是很浪费钱的投资　XD 坚持到现在可以收割真的很开心 今年的季後赛我非常的忙错过了很多比赛的直播　(虽然有补看 XD) 但是这个冠军是我当了20年色人迷最好的结婚礼物　　^Q^ 很干的在迎娶的车上看到输掉ALCS的G6 但是看在蜜月的飞机上看到WS G5逆转消息 朋友都问我要不要偷改机票转机到LA去　XD 本来还在期待有没有机会在义大利巧遇也去结婚的Velander的　~.~" 之後大概讯息要靠各位提供了　　我应该会转型成随兴的业余球迷了　^Q^ --

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