今年的6th overall是近年来最高顺位.多亏了去年坦的够,今年要看的人很少,明年也要 继续努力!?今年可以多翻一点东西来看.高顺位就像Forst讲的The strategy is very different from what we've done.1-1 undetermined,确定的东西不多,第一轮inf很稀 少,first round talent倒是比平常多,对三明治附近多选择的人有利.其实今年受伤的人 并不多,但是大家都有一些风险 另一个因素是不知道新GM Forst会怎麽选,他应该有一些主导权,可以在最後几分钟做决定 Forst主导的话也许会接近市场上排名的best available.而不是旧beane时代的Lewis or Ray or Senzel or Zack Collins.目前的氛围是前五比较想拿确定的东西或是有大bonus pool的人做cut deal选好搞定的大学生,连Braves都这样的话得要观察到选秀当天,如果大 家都不要风险我们应该要选天份.今年Bonus pool是第6的9.8M(http://goo.gl/JuF4re). 时间 June 9 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1-2 and Competitive Balance Round B June 10 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 3-10 June 11 12:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 11-40 一样提早一小时开始Preview show.今年会代表绿帽出席的是ESPN常可以看到的Dallas Braden(http://goo.gl/RVN8DT) 顺位 1st(23+11) Supp.1st(7) 2nd(29) Supp.2nd(7) 3rd(29) after 4th #6 #37 #47 #83 #107 #37在LAD後面不太优,而且如果少补偿一个第一轮尾(e.g. Ian Kennedy or Ian Desmond) 的话LAD会补在我们後面 以下老样子以#6为主,BA3/5=BA3/5月排名 KL11/4/6=KeithLaw排名 PG12/5= Perfect Game排名 MLB.com=MLB.com排名 1.A.J. Puk LHP College:Florida 2-3 3.21ERA 70IP 50H 31BB/95SO BA3/5=6/1 KL11/4/6=4/13/4 PG12/5=2/4 MLB.com=4 Downhill Fastball hitting upper-90s sometimes(late last spring and some games this season).Plus 88-90 mph sweeping slider and average changeup,great extension.One of the highest ceilings in the college class.Combination of size (6-7/230lbs)and raw stuff.Control issue,Inconsistency,health concern(back spasms)常在各份scouting report上.问题在谁能消除他的Inconsistency https://youtu.be/S8NdXpopCO0 https://youtu.be/hZ1ctn3CuGU https://youtu.be/xBxAksDRygo 3.Jason Groome LHP HS:Barnegat (N.J.) HS 1-3 1.13ERA 39.2IP 15H 14BB/90SO(calculated) BA3/5=6/1 KL11/4/6=4/13/4 PG12/5=2/4 MLB.com=4 6-6 polished high school pitcher.Up to mid-90s fastball,potential plus plus nasty 75-77 mph late break curveball.Mid to upper-70s changeup.Good control. Clean mechanics and clean and repeatable arm action.17-year old senior. Some teams have concerns about his makeup.April suspension related to his transfer violating transfer regulations. 和Puk一样是几个月前1-1的人选.绿帽最近也去现场看了他的start.就最近一些队不想选他 的氛围,掉到绿帽顺位的机率变高了.如果我们没选#7MIA大概会马上挑走 College Commitment: Vanderbilt https://youtu.be/uClQ3pe_iy8 https://youtu.be/0tPe7dybcec https://youtu.be/LZngUsVJRfU 4.Kyle Lewis R/R OF College:Mercer .395/.535/.731,20HR,66/48 BB/SO,6SB-11ATT BA3/5=8/4 KL11/4/6=19/7/8 PG12/5=8/5 MLB.com=3 Lewis vs Ray是这次选秀常见的比较(另一个是18U队友 Moniak vs Rutherford). Toolsy college outfielder.easy plus-plus raw power to all parts of the field. Plus bat speed,improved strike zone judgment.Average running speed .Great arm strength.May move to RF at the next level but some think he has a chance to stay in center.Small school player(Mercer,which has never had a 1st round pick) and in the Southern Conference (which has had just three in 51 Drafts). High strikeout rate,in a weaker conference是几乎每份报告都会写到的东西, 但支持者还是可以拿Cape Cod wooden bat League的表现(.300 7HR)来消除一些疑虑.就目 前的氛围掉下来的机率不高 https://youtu.be/zDHjMtL91tU https://youtu.be/TQ_YFej4cgU https://youtu.be/UgpMsHx8gJw 5.Mickey Moniak L/R OF HS:La Costa Canyon HS, Carlsbad, Calif. .476/.540/.942,7HR,13/6 BB/SO,11SB BA3/5=15/5 KL11/4/6=11/6/5 PG12/5=16/11 MLB.com=5 HS bat who lacks only power among 5-tools.Future 70 hitting grade:hard LD to all fields,fluid swing and quick wrists.Very good bat speed.very simple and efficient approach.Good strike-zone discipline.plus speed and average arm.Has ability to stay in center field long-term ans it's plus.Young(17)for his draft class.Showing signs of adding a bit more power to his swing 同样是HS bat,Monick从本来的第一轮中段一路爬到Mock1-1,而Rutherford从原本Mock1-1 掉下来,尽管没有任何的伤痛因素.据传绿帽scouted Moniak hard.看起来是很适合绿帽的 型但是选到的机会很低.College Commitment: UCLA https://youtu.be/XEV39u3rkHU https://youtu.be/H0XUGtWQJWo https://youtu.be/hKeUTojyqog 6.Nick Senzel R/R 3B/SS College:Tennessee .352/.456/.595,8HR,40/21 BB/SO,25SB-29ATT BA3/5=2/6 KL11/4/6=NR/10/10 PG12/5=21/7 MLB.com=7 Best college pure hitter in the class.All-fields approach Younger for his grade(won't turn 21 until 20 days after the draft) Cape league MVP(.364 4HR 14SB) Good bat speed.Good strike zone judgment.Average running speed.Plus arm Improved his defense substantially this spring Move to SS later in the season.Can also play 2B 绿帽的大乳摸之一.据传Reds #2很有兴趣.会有在後面选到是因为其他队担心在3B没有 power,若能好好利用可以重演在Top10外偷到Addison Russell的戏码.另外他是Scott Boras' client https://youtu.be/hzuw9dhKy7Q https://youtu.be/cHX3C9J2xRc https://youtu.be/SnMZlcmQL_s https://youtu.be/nKemEDH4J2Y 7.Corey Ray L/L OF College:Louisville .324/.399/.570,15HR,34/37 BB/SO,44SB-52ATT BA3/5=7/7 KL11/4/6=5/3/1 PG12/5=6/3 MLB.com=6 Rare speed and power combination.Top-of-the-scales athleticism. Can hit,quick left-handed bat,solid present bat speed Plus speed,very high success rate Plus raw power,cutting down whiffs dramatically without losing power Arm is a tick above-average 很少见defensive position看法非常分歧的人.另打LHP的问题已经没有人在提. 在#6见到的机率比Kyle Lewis高,问题在於如何评断他的fielding position https://youtu.be/8RzZwXttDbs https://youtu.be/VRf7G9SaWXM https://youtu.be/vJRrJymHitk 9.Blake Rutherford L/R OF HS:Chaminade College Prep HS, Calif. .577/.676/.923,4HR,19/8 BB/SO,17SB BA3/5=3/9 KL11/4/6=3/4/7 PG12/5=5/6 MLB.com=8 Highly advanced high school hitter with overall offensive potential:easy plus power which may start translating into game production soon.Above-average hitter with great extension from his lefthanded swing.Good bat speed Has a good track record of hitting(three different All-Tournament Team in the last two years). Solid arm,above-average speed Solid defender,may stay at center in the future Strong makeup.Relatively old(turns 19 already) 长久来的performer因为年纪或in game power没有进步等排名滑落,但他仍是明显的 overall package而明显的市场低估了他 Commitment: UCLA https://youtu.be/zPDNSWisFQ4 https://youtu.be/0Zr8UaFx4ng https://youtu.be/vg4TV4KqdBo http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/26271672/v562937383/?query=Rutherford 16.Zack Collins L/R C/1B College:Miami .353/.528/.607,12HR,67/48 BB/SO,1SB-4ATT BA3/5=42/16 KL11/4/6=NR/29/17 PG12/5=42/16 MLB.com=14 Excellect strike-zone discipline(162AB,67BB/48SO) Plus lefthanded power and advanced approach,which generates power from his lower half. The biggest question mark is his future defensive home:improved but mobility behind the plate is still questioned. Catch-and-throw skills still fringy.Fringy average arm 绿帽传不少的rumor之一,应该至少会是个fallback plan 另外cut deal再丢钱在後顺位的方式不太可能,至少CHW#10开始有兴趣 https://youtu.be/MkJIGwZzS1U https://youtu.be/ByM4pus1KXM https://youtu.be/7q5-clKY5bM http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/40395496/v625728383/?query=zack%2Bcollins Other notable guys: 2.Riley Pint RHP 96-102mph fastball,90-91mph changeup.inconsistent command 8.Delvin Perez SS Best overall package of tools in this class.Youngest top prospect in the draft;questions about his maturity and some concerns with his bat.Heavily linked to MIL#5 #1PHI只剩下几个选择Puk,Moniak,Lewis等.走Moniak的话#2Reds比较可能选Puk,对我们比 较有利. 最差的case是#1Puk,#2Senzel然後Lewis,Moniak,Ray等在3-5被拿光剩的又没兴趣,这样真 有可能要用到Zack Collins Mock BA: 0330/0506/0513/0527 :Corey Ray/Nick Senzel/Nick Senzel/Jason Groome mlb.com: 1202/0502/0512/0520/0526/0603:Bryan Reynolds.Ray/Moniak.Senzel/Senzel Groome/Moniak/Groome PG: 0511/0525 :Kyle Lewis/Nick Senzel Keith Law: 0518/0529/0604 :Nick Senzel/Nick Senzel/Nick Senzel scout.com: 0217/0330/0421/0513/0526/0604:Delvin Perez/Lewis.Puk/Puk Nick Senzel/Nick Senzel/Kyle Lewis --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 59.120.12.253 ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Athletics/M.1465133966.A.265.html ※ 编辑: ThomasHSNU (59.120.12.253), 06/05/2016 22:28:26