作者ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)
看板Athletics
标题[情报] 2018 Draft 绿帽版
时间Sat Jun 2 23:03:41 2018
这次是新CBA第一次影响选秀,把旧的系统加了许多条件(详细
https://atmlb.com/2GQIPKL)
补偿部分:现在qualifying offer的人根据是否超过50M,是否有revenue-sharing和过
luxury-tax来补偿原球队顺位在第一or二or四轮後,预设是第二轮
失去部分:不再失去第一轮,有过luxury-tax的队失去最高二五顺位签(和int'l bonus
pool),收revenue sharing的队失去最高第三只签,没过luxury-tax也不收revenue sharing
的队失去最高第二只签(和int'l bonus pool)
这次第一轮前半算位置平均,不过少SS.Depth在第一轮中後段.今年整体健康状况不错
去年最後赢了一些球 在的位置9th overall,要接受一些缺点或相对有把握修的好
前五轮来自Florida/Texas较多,今年California相对少一些
绿帽一向是(必须)要走在时代尖端,但是今年前面选大学生倾向太明显了
今年private workout没有任何消息 表示目标已经剩没几个
值得一提的是在前面选HS righthander变成大家都知道不优的事,在後面抽效果可能还比
较好,而且绝大多数需要养五年以上(
http://bit.ly/2LQYSfo)
今年bonus pool是第十的$9,553,200(
https://atmlb.com/2J0J9fQ)今年小调升了11-40轮
算在Pool的界线是$125,000
今年代表绿帽的是Rollie Fingers
时间
June 4 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1-2 and Competitive Balance Round B
June 5 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 3-10
June 6 12:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 11-40
顺位
1st(30) Supp.1st(13) 2nd(25) Supp.2nd(10) 3rd(26) after 4th
#9 #50 #70 #85 #113
去年在Competitive Balance Round A今年就是B
战绩跟PIT BAL相同 比前年 在#9和在#11还差蛮多的..
以下老样子以#9为主,BA1/4/5=BA1/4/5月排名 KL2/4=KeithLaw2/4月排名 PG12/4/5=
Perfect Game排名 MLB.com12/5=MLB.com12/5月排名
2.
Matthew Liberatore LHP HS:Mountain Ridge (Ariz.) Age:18.6
8-1 0.93ERA 60.1IP 28H 25BB/104SO
BA1/4/5=9/2/2 KL2/4=5/3
PG11/4/5=2/2/3 MLB.com12/5=3/4
Polished and projectable lefty.Fastball sat 90-97 mph in the early innings but
can be 88-92 during the middle innings(velocity jump hasn't held up).12-6 curve
with great depth,flashing plus.Changeup also looks like future plus potential.
Still inconsistent 81-84 mph slider. Good command.Clean delivery.Mentality.
Beane亲自出动看过,太projectable难以掉下来,尤其是通过#7 #8...机会也许在於前面
的人先选了棒子
https://youtu.be/xoqO5sVIm38
https://youtu.be/ctUBlVyojr8
https://youtu.be/lxAmxJ0CdjE
3.
Nick Madrigal R/R 2B College:Oregon State Age:21.2
.395/.459/.563,2HR,12BB/5SO,9SB-9ATT
BA1/4/5=7/3/3 KL2/4=18/6
PG11/4/5=16/3/2 MLB.com12/5=11/3
One of the safer player in the draft.60 or 65 hit tool,contact ability(among
Division I leaders in batting and contact rate),advanced hitting approach,long
track record.Runs well(60-70 speed) and is a plus defender at 2B.Arm may be
enough at SS.Little power.Undersized(5-foot-7).Broken wrist,missed about two
months.少见的第一轮前段Top 2B draft prospect.还需要评估移去其他位置价值的问题.
季初受伤完全没影响他的Mock顺位.绿帽对SS的要求比较低,有可能可以回SS.虽然说这种
类型的人也不是完全安全就是(见在绿帽前面被选走的Cory Spangenberg).前面#3-#6八成
会选走
https://youtu.be/VtCnUr5ESZk
https://youtu.be/o7yxybxucfU
https://youtu.be/twST8TO39UE
4.
Brady Singer RHP College:Florida Age:21.8
10-1 2.25ERA 88IP 59H 18BB/92SO
BA1/4/5=1/5/4 KL2/4=22/20
PG11/4/5=11/23/12 MLB.com12/5=1/2
Consistent performer.Arm slot is not ideal(lower three-quarters).91-96mph high
spin rate fastball with plus sink and movement,above average slider but it
could be inconsistent and some scouts concerned about upside/moderate depth
(vertical break axis).Changeup generating good fade though he doesn't use it
very often.Plus arm speed.Significant track record of success in the SEC.Very
good extension(around seven feet by TrackMan).Old for his class(21.8).即使有前
述问题看在他track record太安全的份上很多队有兴趣
https://youtu.be/DcyZSEJI2zM
https://youtu.be/Uf90rvaFsqU
https://youtu.be/aQ7-8mZTkfs
6.
Jonathan India R/R 3B College:Florida Age:21.5
.362/.502/.723,17HR,47BB/47SO,11SB-13ATT
BA1/4/5=69/20/6 KL2/4=NR/10
PG11/4/5=117/18/15 MLB.com12/5=NR/8
Breakout Year in the SEC.New hitting approach and better physical condition.
Above average bat speed and raw power,great plate discipline.Great baseball
instincts.Above-average at 3B.May not have a loud single tool.Split time
between SS and 3B over the summer in the Cape Cod League and for the Gators.
排名一路上冲到绿帽选不到的地方,tool上并不亮眼但手套甚至可以去SS..很快在前面大
概会被挑走
https://youtu.be/Jy-rHTYBzb4
https://youtu.be/CJ0yIKicUKw
https://youtu.be/O17S79tEg_A
8.
Shane McClanahan LHP College:South Florida Age:21.1
5-6 3.41ERA 71IP 46H 44BB/117SO
BA1/4/5=3/4/8 KL2/4=13/9
PG11/4/5=3/7/8 MLB.com12/5=5/14
Rare flamethrowing lefthander.92-100mph fastball with great life.Power 81-86
slider.Changeup flashing plus.Excellent stuff but struggle with control and
command(SO9=14.7,H9=5.8,BB9=5.5).Great arm speed.TJ in 2016.Shorter track
record.Reliever risk.纯stuff是无庸置疑..绿帽已经选过一个Health/Command issue的
LHP.若是有方法修好问题更严重的McClanahan,则在後面偷到好料的历史可以重演
https://youtu.be/YujvBQUmzCw
https://youtu.be/AF-Hw0anzqw
https://youtu.be/EsZFrxnOudw
11.
Travis Swaggerty L/L OF College:South Alabama Age:20.8
.296/.455/.526,13HR,54BB/38SO,9SB-14ATT
BA1/4/5=15/10/11 KL2/4=3/4
PG11/4/5=14/8/9 MLB.com12/5=14/11
Outfielder with multiple tools:average power,60 run,plus defender in
centerfield,plus arm,patient approach.Young(20.8).Question about the hit tool:
contact issues even against lower-tier velocity,swing-and-miss tendencies,over-
aggressive at times.Limited history of wood bat.不是从比较竞争的Conference(Sun
Belt)令人相当担心,让人想起在弱Conference差不多一样地方选到的Michael Choice.棒子
部分能不能Hit是大重点,也许年纪可以弥补这部分?Fangraph的人认为大部分的人在不对
的时机跑去看他..目前我手上的资料还是难以评估他的Hit
https://youtu.be/9_Kl2DX___M
https://youtu.be/KtmbaAiszL0
https://youtu.be/uXiP1mQ-EHk
15.
Nolan Gorman L/R 3B HS:O'Connor (Ariz.) HS Age:18.1
.421/.641/.894,10HR,46BB/16SO,4SB-9ATT
BA1/4/5=6/14/15 KL2/4=4/15
PG11/4/5=13/11/14 MLB.com12/5=4/12
Best raw power(70) in the 2018 class,winning multiple home run derbies.Plus
arm strength.Flashed plus glovework at 3B.Actions at 3B have regressed and
ability to hit breaking balls backed up this spring,raised questions about
contact.块头变大似乎影响了在三垒的动作,让人怀疑是否得移去1B.在NHSI和U-18
Baseball World Cup都SO过多令人担心contact的问题.本来是没有要写但是一直有乳摸传
出,跟Swaggerty一样最大问题是对他hit tool的看法
https://youtu.be/_2qk0vq7IEA
https://youtu.be/ci4NwiC0-54
https://youtu.be/Ijfb8RKcHbg
17.
Jackson Kowar RHP College:Florida Age:21.7
9-4 3.21ERA 92.2IP 82H 37BB/91SO
BA1/4/5=8/15/17 KL2/4=11/17
PG11/4/5=6/21/23 MLB.com12/5=10/15
Hasn't had the consistency than teammate Singer but tick higher upside and
louder stuff.Fastball 93-97mph with solid life.Low-80s plus changeup with
deception.73-78mph average Curveball.Great arm speed.But inconsistent between
start-to-start or inning-to-inning.Surgery to repair a collapsed lung before.
另一只Gator但过去有健康问题和command/control疑虑,比起其他College pitcher是
高风险的类型..可以当作备案
https://youtu.be/_EssmqlRuyA
https://youtu.be/KLDawV9DuX4
https://youtu.be/-Aw_IJUTzN4
21.
Ryan Rolison LHP College:Mississippi Age:20.9
9-4 3.79ERA 90IP 84H 42BB/107SO
BA1/4/5=11/13/21 KL2/4=10/19
PG11/4/5=7/10/13 MLB.com12/5=9/17
Draft-eligible sophomore.91-96mph fastball.77-81mph hammer curveball with power
and depth.Change-up needs more polish.Struggled with fastball command and
strike-throwing consistency when his mechanics are not quite in gear this
season,inconsistent from game to game. Delivery,now throws way across his body.
个人有兴趣..小调mechanic绿帽很有经验,若可以选这只调整出来就可以有大报酬..不过
在情势有些变化的情形下应该是不用考虑到这只
https://youtu.be/O0ZeF_4Llhc
https://youtu.be/tkrQJXj2LVk
https://youtu.be/ayEAfzM9lDo
Other notable guys:
1.
Casey Mize RHP Outstanding command(SO/BB=14).Double-plus splitter
Plus slider.Right forearm issue last year.Had trouble staying healthy in HS
5.
Joey Bart C R/R Plus raw power,plus arm,above average defender,39%CS
Overall package很像Sean Murphy.好Catcher不嫌多,前面很多队有兴趣
7.
Alec Bohm 3B R/R Combination of hit and power.Improved plate
discipline.Cape Cod League MVP.Defensive position unknown.Older(21.8).其他队似
乎不太在意他手套的未知,会在绿帽前被选走就不用操心这个了..
9.
Carter Stewart RHP Velocity jumped this spring.3000-3300 rpm spin
rates curve,new amateur TrackMan record.Two potential 70-grade pitches.
如前述HS RHP大家都不太选了,如果前面有人有兴趣的话可以帮到绿帽一把
12.
Jarred Kelenic OF L/L Toolsy prep outfielder with track record.
Advanced approach,good bat speed,projected plus power,plus arm.Older(18.9).
Cold-weather bat.据说绿帽"like"他-应该就只是like而已
18.
Ethan Hankins RHP 1-1 candidate entered the year.Shoulder injury
in mid-February.70 or 80 fastball,electric life,curve and changeup flashed plus
Pitched well in recent weeks but no life as last year.Young(18.0).虽然回到
投手丘但排名始终没有回去..可能有人会做cut deal或supplement round撒钱
27.
Trevor Larnach OF L/R Improved power.Above-average arm.Big and
from top program.看到有少量乳摸,应该是不会用到
现在的氛围是DET选Mize,否则是找到了cut deal选其他省钱去後面用或Medical很难看
SF通常来讲还是College,听过很多Cole Winn below slot $
3-6可能都是大学生你丢我捡.今年有前六都是大学生的可能.最好是有出意料的pick
SD大概BPA,刚花钱买pick所以below slot可能.Gore pick显示他们可在绿帽前抽相同人选
ATL 一些高中生,Gorman
Carter Stewart和Ethan Hankins是两张有机会在Top10的Wild card.升得很快的Cole Winn
等抢下前面位子更好
对绿帽最不利的就是前面连续被挑走预估的大学生和绿帽口袋人选,能够破除的方法也只
有:前面有人做cut off deal或意外选了其他人,尤其是#8
Mock
BA:0403/0427/0511/0518/0601 :Travis Swaggerty/Brady Singer/Shane McClanahan/
Shane McClanahan/Jarred Kelenic
MLB.com:1205/0430/0511/0517/0526/0531:Madrigal,Gorman/Swaggerty/Swaggerty
Swaggerty/Swaggerty/Swaggerty
PG:0420/0510/0524 :Alec Bohm/Travis Swaggerty/Travis Swaggerty
Keith Law:0503/0517/0531:Travis Swaggerty/Travis Swaggerty/Travis Swaggerty
Scout.com:1002/0130/0305/0328/0510/0525/0531:De Sedas/Jackson Kowar/De Sedas
Carter Stewart,Ryan Rolison/Swaggerty/Swaggerty/Trevor Larnach
Fangraph:0419/0515/0601 :Joey Bart/Shane McClanahan/Travis Swaggerty
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 59.120.12.253
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Athletics/M.1527951825.A.191.html
1F:推 ghoster7: Gorman最近好像有私人测试 06/04 10:30
2F:→ ThomasHSNU: 查不到... 06/04 12:09
3F:→ ThomasHSNU: Forst: impact player available at nine 06/04 12:09
4F:→ ThomasHSNU: 啊 看到了 Friday.. 06/04 12:12
5F:→ ThomasHSNU: Susan Slusser比我的文章晚 也没有内线周五报QQ 06/04 12:19
6F:推 ghoster7: 明天早上就要见真小了 目前顺位应该是Liberatore/Gorman 06/04 19:26
7F:→ ghoster7: /Swaggerty/McClanahan 06/04 19:27
8F:→ ghoster7: 我猜 六感 06/04 19:27
※ 编辑: ThomasHSNU (59.120.12.253), 06/02/2019 00:34:57