Robert Murray写的报导 全文：https://bit.ly/3Rm49lm 报导中段有请三位球团高层分析Skubal交易 What do MLB executives think the Tigers can get for Tarik Sukbal? 大联盟球队高层怎麽看老虎队交易Sukbal的回报？ Executive 1: “I don’t think anyone can answer that. I don’t think we have eve r seen a pitcher this good coming off such a bizarre injury. He’s playing for a team that is trying to win themselves, so there are so many factors at play. If I had to answer, I’d say one top-100 prospect plus a top-15 and one more throw in.” I asked if he would do it. “The Padres will,” he responded. 高层1： 「我认为没人能真正回答这个问题。我们可能从未看过一位这麽顶级的投手，同时刚经历这 麽特殊的伤势，而他效力的球队也还想赢球，牵涉的因素实在太多了。硬要我回答的话，我 会说至少是一位百大新秀，加上一位农场前15名的新秀，再加一个配菜。」 记者问到他自己会不会做这笔交易时 他回答：「教士队会。」 Executive 2: “It would have to be a [Dave] Dombrowski or [AJ] Preller to get a top prospect. Everyone else treats it like Wall Street and asset value so my gue ss is a couple of top 10 prospects for a couple months of him. Or [Andrew] Fried man could go out and get him. He ups a team's chances to win the World Series by a pretty big margin. You get two starts in that five-game series. Friedman gets him, that’s my prediction.” 高层2： 「这得要像Dave Dombrowski或AJ Preller那样的总管，才会愿意拿顶级新秀出来换。其他 人大多都像华尔街一样评估资产价值，所以我猜大概是几位队内前10名的新秀去换他两个月 的使用权。或者Andrew Friedman也可能出手，Skubal能大幅提升球队夺冠的机率。在五战 三胜系列赛里，你能让他先发两场。我预测 Friedman会把他交易过去。」 Executive 3: “It’s so difficult to tell but I think it would start at one top- 50 and another top-100 prospect. If it was a top-10 prospect in the game maybe i t could be that plus a fringe top-100 guy also (plus probably 1-2 throw-in types . In scouting terms we would say probably two ‘B1’ Grade prospects as a start and then a couple ‘C’ grades also. “Skubal is tough though as a two month rental with injury risk because it’s to ugh for a team to just come up with the close to $12-14 million he will be owed after a trade that isn’t budgeted for. Teams don’t typically have a bunch of e xtra cash laying around midseason so it takes an ownership group willing to find extra cash. If the Tigers pay down the salary the return could be better.” 高层3： 「真的很难判断，但我认为起码会从一位百大前50，再加一位百大新秀开始谈。如果出 的是联盟前十等级的新秀，那可能再搭配一位接近百大的新秀就够了（也许再多加配菜型的 球员）。在球探术语中，我们会说也许两个B1等级的新秀起跳，然後再附加一些C级新人。 不过Skubal的情况很棘手，因为他只是两个月的租借球员，而且还有伤病风险。另一个问题 是交易後球队还得额外负担大约1200 万到1400 万美元薪资，这笔钱不会列入季中的预算。 球队通常不会在季中突然有一大笔现金，所以需要老板点头额外掏钱。如果老虎愿意分摊部 分薪资，回报可能会更好。」 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 114.39.2.40 (台湾) ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Baseball/M.1779493136.A.0A2.html ※ 编辑: polanco (114.39.2.40 台湾), 05/23/2026 07:52:27