作者jason050117 ()
看板Baseball
标题[新闻] Acuña成为首位代言预测市场的大联盟球星
时间Fri Oct 9 16:31:33 2026
本篇新闻来自The Athletic 因为台媒只有TSNA写
但又不能贴TSNA新闻 所以转外媒
以下claude翻译
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https://reurl.cc/qa2xgp By Andrew Baggarly
罗纳德·阿库尼亚二世(Ronald Acuña Jr.)与 Kalshi 合作,成为首位代言预测市场的
大联盟球星
亚特兰大勇士队外野手阿库尼亚与预测市场平台 Kalshi 合作,成为第一位踏入预测市场
这片潜藏争议领域的美国职棒大联盟(MLB)球员。
这片荆棘丛仍在持续扩大。就在不到两个月前,Kalshi 才宣布与五支大联盟球队合作,
包括波士顿红袜、洛杉矶道奇、圣地牙哥教士、旧金山巨人与勇士队。在此之前,纽约大
都会(与 Novig)和纽约洋基(与 Polymarket)已率先宣布与金融交易平台合作。据报
导,Kalshi 也正与大联盟洽谈全联盟层级的合作。
阿库尼亚并非第一位与预测市场合作的现役职业运动员。高尔夫球手布莱森·德尚波(
Bryson DeChambeau)今年稍早率先与 Kalshi 结盟,随後是 NBA 球星安戴托昆波(
Giannis Antetokounmpo)与足球巨星梅西(Lionel Messi)。不过,监於大联盟过去在
赌博问题上的历史,以及长期以来极力让球员远离赌博争议与操纵比赛的作为,这项消息
恐怕会受到更严格的检视。
周三晚间,勇士队与道奇队的国联分区系列赛第四战期间,播出了一支由阿库尼亚担纲
的 Kalshi 广告。
虽然 Kalshi 等预测市场的运作方式与涉及金钱往来的赌博服务相近,但这些业者在全美
都属合法,且不受各州博弈管理委员会的监管。纽约州检察总长目前正对 Kalshi 与
Polymarket 提起诉讼,指控两家公司经营「非法赌博业务」。
然而,各大职业运动联盟与球队似乎愿意接受这片灰色地带,积极攀附这个可能带来丰厚
收益的新财源。把合作对象延伸到球员身上,可能会让界线更加模糊,即使这些合作仅限
於以品牌大使身分拍摄广告。今年 2 月 Kalshi 宣布与安戴托昆波合作时,声明中明确
表示,他被禁止交易与 NBA 相关的市场,因为「Kalshi 的严格服务条款禁止内线交易与
操纵市场」。
大联盟球员同样被禁止参与与「棒球事件合约」相关的预测市场交易。2025 年球季後段
,联盟联盟主席曼佛瑞(Rob Manfred)办公室与大联盟球员工会曾联名发出备忘录,要
求球员不得就任何与棒球比赛或赛事相关的结果下注。
2025 年 7 月,克里夫兰守护者队投手克拉斯(Emmanuel Clase)与路易斯·奥提兹(
Luis Ortiz)在联盟调查他们涉嫌操纵投球赌注期间,被安排非惩处性质的有薪休假。同
年 11 月,两人遭联邦起诉并被逮捕。
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原文:
Ronald Acuña Jr. partners with Kalshi, becoming first MLB star to promote
prediction market
Atlanta Braves star outfielder Ronald Acuña Jr. has partnered with Kalshi,
making him the first Major League Baseball player to venture into the
potentially thorny area of prediction markets.
It’s a thicket that continues to grow. Kalshi’s first deal with an MLB
player comes less than two months after the company announced it had
partnered with five major-league teams: the Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles
Dodgers, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants and Braves. They followed the
New York Mets (Novig) and New York Yankees (Polymarket), who were the first
MLB teams to announce deals with financial trading platforms.
Kalshi is also reportedly in talks with MLB for a leaguewide deal.
Acuña is not the first active professional athlete to form a partnership with
a prediction market — golfer Bryson DeChambeau was the first to align with
Kalshi earlier this year, followed by NBA star Giannis Antetokounmpo and
soccer star Lionel Messi — but the announcement is likely to be met with
greater scrutiny given MLB’s history with gambling and strenuous past
efforts to keep its players away from wagering controversies or game fixing.
A Kalshi commercial featuring Acuña aired Wednesday night during Game 4 of
the Braves’ National League Division Series with the Dodgers.
Although Kalshi and other prediction markets operate similarly to a gambling
service in which money changes hands, the businesses are legal nationwide and
not subject to individual state gaming commission regulations. New York’s
attorney general has litigation pending against Kalshi and Polymarket,
accusing the companies of running “an illegal gambling operation.”
But major sports leagues and teams have shown a willingness to accept the
gray area while cozying up to what are likely to become lucrative revenue
streams.
Extending partnerships to players could blur the lines further, even if those
relationships are limited to appearing in commercials as brand ambassadors.
When Kalshi announced its deal with Antetokounmpo in February, its statement
made clear that he was forbidden from trading on markets related to the NBA,
“per Kalshi’s strict terms of service that ban insider trading and market
manipulation.”
MLB players are also prohibited from engaging with prediction markets on “
baseball event contracts.” Commissioner Rob Manfred’s office and the Major
League Baseball Players Association sent a joint memo to players late in the
2025 season instructing them against risking money on any outcome related to
baseball games or events.
In July 2025, Cleveland Guardians pitchers Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz were
placed on non-disciplinary paid leave while the league investigated their
involvement in a scheme to rig wagers on pitches thrown in games. In November
2025, Clase and Ortiz were served with a federal indictment and arrested.
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也有国外YT讨论到这件事:
https://youtu.be/WGXSNDdeDdg
reddit:
https://reurl.cc/aEgo1G
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 1.173.142.194 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Baseball/M.1791534696.A.AF0.html
※ 编辑: jason050117 (1.173.142.194 台湾), 10/09/2026 16:33:14
1F:嘘 huaiken: 酸LBJ的记得酸一下这篇 10/09 16:33
2F:→ k33536: 阿库尼亚.悔 10/09 16:33
※ jason050117:转录至看板 MLB 10/09 16:35
3F:→ Mikufans: 之前就有不少球团合作了 10/09 16:35
4F:嘘 Edison1174: 又一个跟山羌看齐的人 10/09 16:39
5F:推 Sabaurila: 季後赛打那麽烂还敢代言这个阿 10/09 16:41
6F:嘘 wang7752: LBJ那个是在美国布合法好吗 10/09 16:46
7F:→ cvvbcvvb: 淘汰马上转行 10/09 18:02
8F:→ waitla: LBJ那个问题不是违法吗? 10/09 18:43
9F:→ sunnyyoung: 有这麽缺钱吗 10/09 18:53
10F:嘘 nomosa: 好的,猩猩詹下去 10/09 20:53
11F:推 TinyGiant: 美国职业运动都向赌博靠拢了 10/10 05:38