作者rr444 (earth scrap)
看板CCF
标题Re: [新闻] 合理推估 锋仔单季27发
时间Sat Jan 7 04:24:32 2006
※ 引述《rod007 (123)》之铭言:
: 【记者王惠民/报导】
: 陈金锋返国投入中华职棒,单季能敲出多少支全垒打,球迷都很想知道答案,若从他最近
: 四年在3A的表现来看,单季27支红不让是个合理的推估数字。
: 一般而言,国内职棒的水准,被评价为稍高於美国小联盟2A,但仍不到3A的水准,而一般
: 长打型球员,在2A的全垒打单季产量,大约会比在3A多出八到十支左右。
: 陈金锋最近四年,在道奇3A拉斯维加斯51区队的全垒打产量都很稳定,2002和2003年都出
: 赛133场以上,全垒打同样是26支,2004年只打81场就有20支,去年87场有15支。
: 以陈金锋在3A具有单季26支全垒打的实力来看,来到大约是2A层级的中华职棒,应该可以
: 增加十支左右的产量,因此单季可以达到36支。
: 不过,中华职棒球季每年只有100场,不比陈金锋在3A出赛的133场左右,因此折算比例,
: 陈金锋大约可以在中华职棒敲出单季27支全垒打。
: 当然,若以陈金锋2004年只出赛81场,就敲出高达20支全垒打的3A表现来推论,他在中华
: 职棒单季将会有单季35发红不让的产量,不过,陈金锋离开台湾已经七年,对国内职棒并
: 不熟悉,这个要求可能是太严苛了一点。
: 【2006/01/06 民生报】
I had been a basball player for more than ten years and I believe
I know more knowledge in how to play baseball than most people.
I had been watching A, AA, and MLB for more than 10 times in the
U.S. according this experience, I have reason to believe that
CPBL is more or less equivalent to AA.
But people always argue the point some taiwanese players, even
though their team is only A class or below, really
outbeat those players who play in the CPBL in any respect.
I totally agree with this point.
But remember, most taiwanese players is the "hot babe" for those
franchise who admire their ability to be a MLB star like what
Wang did last year, paying the unaccountable amount of signing bonous and
taking them to the other end of the pacific ocean.
so, don't be surprise that they are so good because they already good
enough or those teams would not sign them.
so why those teams are so stupid, putting them in such a team that
is not corrosponding to their ability? I can't actually
answer the part. the reasonable response is that the teams think
they are immature. in the long term speaking, it probably is a better
method to train a baseball player to be a future star.
to sum up, Hu, Chin-Lung is good, a prospect, an invaluable property
for the Dodgers. what does matter is how good he can be!!
a baseball team is composed of more than 20 guys no matter in waht side
of the pacific ocean, so, besides the propects, there are other
players who are not as good as them but the game needs them. I had
been playing baseball 5 on 5 for a long time when I was a kid in
the tiny alley by using our special rule, but do you thnk AA will play
this way, letting 5 prospects play with another 5 prospects and
call it a baseball game? no, i don't think so.
so here is the point. how good is those roster fillers? according
to my exeprience, I would say roster fillers (AA) are more or less
equivalent to CPBL's lineup of each team. They made stuid mistakes
like CPBL player, they never become a MLB star like CPBL player and
they know their situation.
so, the conclusion is :
i believe CPBL champion team can compete with a regular AA team
with less than 5 prospect, called MLB material. Any team in CPBL can
defeat A in any kind of series gaming.
when i hear people say CPBL's lineup player is worse than regualr
A players, I just think, without disrepect, you guys have no ideas
what you are talking about.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 128.59.150.27
※ 编辑: rr444 来自: 128.59.150.27 (01/07 04:31)
1F:→ Bris:中职水准确实是介於1A到2A之间阿 好一点就大概2A附近 01/07 04:41
2F:推 doa2:而且我觉得是因为投手有加分..台湾投手还算不错 01/07 05:47
3F:→ doa2:打击跟守备..可能1A都不如..XD 01/07 05:48
4F:推 Debugger:比较 CPBL与小联盟, 并不是只能比台产选手 01/07 06:48
5F:→ Debugger:至於打球打了十年, 杜福明肯定打得更久, 经验是多少时间 01/07 06:48
6F:→ Debugger:累积出来的, 跟说出来的有没有道理, 没什麽直接关系 01/07 06:49
7F:推 mltsl:you guys have no ideas what you are talking about. 01/07 07:45
8F:→ mltsl:coz u ain't gotten enough money to fly to U.S. to 01/07 07:46
9F:→ mltsl:watch american baseabll game :P 01/07 07:51
10F:→ mltsl:sorry for my poor english expression 01/07 07:51
11F:推 mtgun:楼上用英文在施放某以种大绝招..XD 01/07 09:22
12F:推 angusyu:嘴炮功? 01/07 09:50
13F:推 mtgun:应该是开个小玩笑吧 ^^ 01/07 10:47