网址如下 是国外着名财经评论网站彭博社的文章 (如果你没看过这个网页的文章我觉得你在金融界不用生存了) 内容大致翻译如下 纽西兰央行官员认为纽币今年对美元跌9%是反应经济基本面 因为纽西兰财政部预测纽西兰今年经济成长会减缓到1%(去年是2.2%) 纽西兰央行官员也认为这是汇率的循环性调整 而且之前纽币的汇率过度高估 再者纽币和美金的利差缩小也造成纽币大跌 http://0rz.net/471oa N.Z. Dollar's Drop Reflects Economic Fundamentals (Update1) May 19 (Bloomberg) -- The New Zealand dollar's 9 percent decline this year better reflects the fundamentals of the economy, Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said. The currency is the world's worst-performing currency this year amid expectations that economic growth will slow, reducing the attractiveness of the currency. The Treasury department yesterday forecast growth will slow to 1 percent this year from 2.2 percent in 2005. The currency decline was ``a cyclical adjustment to better reflect the underlying fundamentals of the economy,'' Bollard said in the bank's Financial Stability Report released in Wellington today. There has been a correction from an ``unjustified and over-valued exchange rate.'' Expectations of a narrowing yield differential may lead to reduced demand from offshore investors in the year ahead, the Reserve Bank said. Bollard on April 27 left the benchmark interest rate at 7.25 percent and said he is unlikely to raise the rate further. Policy makers in Japan and Europe are expected to increase benchmark rates in coming months. The Federal Reserve raised U.S. interest rates for the 16th straight time on May 10. Also weighing on the currency outlook is expectations that there won't be demand from overseas investors for New Zealand dollar bonds sold to retail investors in Japan and Europe. Sales of Uridashi and Eurobonds the past two years have buoyed the currency and many of those issues are maturing this year. Uridashi sales are part of the cyclical demand for the currency, which could be easing as economic growth slows, Deputy- Governor Adrian Orr told reporters. Investors may ``look elsewhere for more high yielding currencies as interest rates globally are rising,'' Orr said. ``The question remains how much of these maturing Uridashi will be rolled over.'' To contact the reporter on this story: Tracy Withers in Wellington at [email protected]. Last Updated: May 18, 2006 20:17 EDT --

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