作者cardfat ( )
看板CMWang
标题Re: [外电] 今年初的预测值
时间Tue Sep 11 18:06:49 2007
这边有有在看球的专家不同的预测
不全引了
http://www.replacementlevel.com/index.php/RLYW/direct
/looking_ahead_to_2007_chien_ming_wang
里头有趣的
看的真仔细
For whatever reason, with two outs, Wang’s K rate spikes up considerably.
This tells me he may have the skill to strike out batters more frequently
than he has to this point, but is comfortable with his current approach
since it’s working. It’s worth mentioning that even if you apply that
12.2% K/BF to all his innings, it’s still just a K rate of about 4.5 per
9 innings.
I know what the numbers say, but I also know what I see when I watch Wang
pitch. Wang should be able to continue to succeed in the majors, although
he may have to make some adjustments along the way if his current style
stops working. I think he’s talented enough to do that, and I think he’ll
be fine, perhaps with some growing pains as he makes those adjustments.
Outs PA AVG OBP SLG CERA G% F% P% L% G/F K/BF
0 486 0.244 0.294 0.333 3.04 70% 14.6% 1.9% 13.4% 4.23 7.6%
1 467 0.305 0.34 0.424 4.48 63.5% 15.7% 4.7% 16.2% 3.12 7.1%
2 433 0.261 0.319 0.361 3.57 58.4% 19.7% 4.6% 17.3% 2.4 12.2%
今年
59.0% 23.2% 17.7% 4.53(K/9)
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