http://tinyurl.com/pwy6t Ex-Cubs bear bad news for playoff teams Joseph A. Reaves The Arizona Republic Aug. 6, 2006 12:00 AM Now that the non-waiver trade deadline has passed and the rosters for the stretch run are fairly set, it's time to see how the Ex-Cub Factor is going to affect the postseason. The Ex-Cub Factor, for those who don't know, was discovered in 1981 by Chicago writer and teacher Ron Berler and modified five years later by Chicago Tribune columnist Mike Royko. Berler determined any team with three or more former Chicago Cubs players on the roster was doomed in the World Series. Since 1945, the last time the Cubs were in the World Series, only two teams have won with the three or more ex-Chicago North Siders on the roster - and both did it with miracle comebacks: the 1960 Pirates and 2001 Diamondbacks. advertisement Royko modified Berler's theorem by arguing the team with the most ex-Cubs on its roster was bound to lose. So, if Royko and Berler are correct, and the current rosters don't change, the Cardinals and Mets will play for the National League pennant with the Cards prevailing. That's because the Cardinals don't have any ex-Cubs. The Mets have one (Steve Trachsel) and the leading teams in the NL West all have more: the Dodgers at two with the addition of Greg Maddux at the trade deadline and three each for the Padres (Scott Williamson, Mark Bellhorn, Todd Walker) and Diamondbacks (Luis Gonzalez, Juan Cruz, Miguel Batista). The American League should be more competitive. Three teams - the Tigers, A's and Angels all are free of ex-Cubs. The Red Sox have one (Julian Tavarez) and the Yankees two (Kyle Farnsworth and Miguel Cairo). Whichever of the three AL teams without any ex-Cubs makes the World Series will beat St. Louis. That's because Cardinals manager Tony La Russa played the last game of his big-league career with the Cubs, scoring the winning run as a pinch-runner in the 1973 season opener. --- 这简直就是胡扯。XD 不过很有趣，所以贴上来， 等一下附上翻译。 --

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