This is shaping up to be the best-race of the year, with two teams looking to battle down the stretch for the right to square off against the mighty Philadelphia Phillies. How do the odds stack up for both teams? Here’s a look at the National League West: Team W L W-L% GB Rs/G Ra/G Dbacks 71 59 0.546 - 4.4 4.3 Giants 69 61 0.531 2 3.4 3.6 Rockies 63 68 0.481 8.5 4.6 4.6 Dodgers 60 69 0.465 10.5 3.8 3.9 Padres 60 71 0.458 11.5 3.8 3.8 Interesting how, according to run differential, the world champion San Francisco Giants rank dead last in the division in run differential. And yet, thanks in large part to a 29-19 record in one-run games, the Giants are right there in the division, well ahead of statistically better teams and just two games behind the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks. Those same Diamondbacks, by the way, have shocked the baseball world with their turn around this season, led mostly by a pitching staff that went from the bottom of the league to the middle in most pitching categories while maintaining their 4.4 runs per game from last season. Ian Kennedy has emerged not only as a staff ace, but as a legitimate contender for Cy Young votes. Justin Upton, meanwhile, could be your National League MVP. Coolstandings.com basically gives the Diamondbacks a 2-1 shot at winning the division over the Giants. And who can blame them? The Diamondbacks sport by far the better lineup balance; whereas the Giants are second in the league in pitching and last in hitting, the Diamondbacks rank near the middle in both. The Giants recently lost All-Star closer Brian Wilson to the disabled list along with lefty starter Jonathan Sanchez. In my mind, the Giants can and will flip this thing around. For one thing, Carlos Beltran is finally back in the lineup, thus giving the Giants the offensive shot-in-the-arm that they will need to stay in contention. Secondly, the Giants open up a 10-day homestand starting with matchups against the two worst teams in the National League, the Astros and Cubs. With those teams coming to AT&T Park, the Giants should be looking at six wins in seven games. The next three games will be against the very Diamondbacks they need to beat to earn the division crown. Arizona does not get to face either of these two teams—their only remaining inter-divisional games after tonight’s game in the nation’s capital are a three-game set against the much more formidable Pirates. Thirdly, both teams square off almost exclusively against National League West opponents down the stretch. The Giants have a much better record (29-18) against this division than the Diamondbacks (23-21) do, and I have a feeling that this will manifest itself down the stretch. The smart money is to bet on the Diamondbacks coming out on top. I'm apparently not smart so I’m going to give the edge to the Giants, with both teams ending up somewhere in the mid-80’s in victories. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 蛮有趣的一篇文章我觉得 作者认为我们最终会失去分区冠军的宝座 巨人会在Beltran 归队之後 再次夺回西区冠军的宝座 虽然我们现在领先两场(今天变成三场) 作者会这样认为的原因有三 1.Beltran归队之後他们会拥有更为强大的火力 2.巨人接下来10场都是在主场 分别是对上Astros and Cubs 还有我们 这位作者 估计巨人前7场会赢六场 然後会在跟我们的三连战中 试图问鼎西区冠军的宝座 然而 我们却要三连战海盗(再来不是对教士吗? 还是我误解了作者的意思) 作者认为我们不会取得太大的优势(? 这边我看不太懂) 3.跟同区的战积当中 巨人29-18明显得比我们的23-21来的有优势 作者相信这将会是 我们落败的原因 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 在这篇文章发表的隔天 巨人的七连战 第一场已经输了 再来要取得6连胜 才能符合作者的估计 我们在来对上教士的三连战 这一季到现在我们对教士的战绩是4-4 但是在明星赛之後 我们的救援投手表现得蛮好的 J.J. Putz (11-for-11), David Hernandez (4-for-4) and Zach Duke (1-for-1) 16次的救援成功全都拿下 这将会是我们取得胜利的一个保障 希望我们可以顺利封王XDD PS:话说 巨人claim Bell的消息是错误的 巨人没这麽做 原文网址 : http://0rz.tw/CVUMN(原文)http://0rz.tw/RPbYL(官网教士三连战的报导) --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.129.113.151 ※ 编辑: seven8211 来自: 220.129.113.151 (08/26 21:30) ※ 编辑: seven8211 来自: 220.129.113.151 (08/26 21:32)