作者nobody (见龙在田利见大人)
看板Diamondbacks
标题Re: Top 15 Prospects: Arizona Diamondbacks
时间Fri Nov 18 18:18:19 2011
先翻前面五个,後面十个再说啦
Pitching has become the indisputable strength of the Arizona Diamondbacks
system. The Top 10 features seven pitchers and the first four have ceilings
of No. 1 or 2 starters. Despite having a bevy of high picks in the 2009
amateur draft and using most of them on hitters, Arizona lacks premium
offensive prospects after many of those selections faltered or grew
significant warts. All in all, though, this is an impressive system that just
needs a little more depth to become elite. *Reliever Bryan Shaw was not
considered a prospect due to service time.
投手已经成为了响尾蛇系统中毋庸置疑的强项。排名前十位的新秀中有七
位是投手,且前四名被认为的最高发展成品,都有成为一号或二号先发的
潜力。即便有一堆2009年高顺位选秀权,且都用他们选打者,响尾蛇缺乏
顶级的进攻球员,这些新秀长得不太好,且显然发展得有问题。总之但是
,这是一个相当不错的系统,只需要多一点深度就能够变成顶级。*Bryan
Shaw这位後援投手因为投很久所以已经不被认为是「新秀」了。
(按:资料介绍就不翻了,以下同)
1. Trevor Bauer, RHP
BORN: Jan. 17, 1991
EXPERIENCE: 1 season (Played at A+/AA in ’11)
ACQUIRED: 2011 1st round, UCLA (3rd overall)
2010-11 TOP 10 RANKING: NA
SCOUTING REPORT: Bauer was selected third overall in the 2011 draft and had
the talent to be taken first overall, so Arizona was no doubt thrilled to get
him. He has a diverse repertoire that includes a fastball that can touch the
mid-90s, a plus curveball, slider, and changeup. He’s already established
himself as a workhorse pitcher, pitching 100+ innings in each of his three
seasons at UCLA. Bauer has an unorthodox delivery that worries some scouts
while others point to Tim Lincecum as an example of someone who made “
different” work out pretty darn well.
新秀报告: Bauer是2011年全部第三顺位被选中,且有那种第一顺位被选
的天份,所以响尾蛇无疑对选到他感到相当兴奋。他有许多球种,包含了
一颗可以到mid-90的直球,一个水准以上的曲球,还有滑球与变速球。他
已经把自己练成一只工作马,在三年的UCLA生涯中都投了超过100局。
Bauer有着非正统的投球机制,让某些球探感到担心,但其他球探认为你
看看有个叫做林盲肠的,他就是用那种「不同」机制然後投得很好的例子。
YEAR IN REVIEW: Arizona’s No. 1 prospect posted an eye-popping 1.25 ERA with
203 Ks in 136.2 innings during his junior season at UCLA. He then signed with
the Diamondbacks in time to make seven starts in the minors. All told, he
pitched more than 160 innings in 2011, which is why he did not head off to
the Arizona Fall League with a lot of the other top college picks. Bauer had
some success in pro ball by striking out a lot of batters. His 7.56 ERA (3.44
FIP) in four double-A starts was tainted by a BABIP-allowed of .429 (as well
as the small-sample size). The right-hander struggled a bit with his control
(4.32 BB/9).
年度回顾:身为响尾蛇第一轮选秀的他,在UCLA三年级投出了让人眼睛喷
出来的136.2局,203K,1.25防御率。他在被选到并签下後在响尾蛇投了七
场,总计整个2011年投了超过160局,这也是为什麽他没有像一堆大学新
秀一样去亚历桑那秋季联盟。Bauer在职业层级已经小有成就,三振了一
堆打者,他在AA的四场先发7.56防御率(3.44 FIP),BABIP是.429
另一方面,他的BB/9来到了4.32,控球方面有些小困难。
YEAR AHEAD: It’s unclear what plans the organization currently has for
Bauer. A safe bet would be to see him begin the year in double-A, pitching
along side Tyler Skaggs. There was some talk of Bauer making his MLB debut in
2011 but it ultimately did not happen. Chances are good that fans in Arizona
will be treated to his first big league appearance in 2012. He’s not far at
all from being MLB-ready.
明年展望:当前响尾蛇会要他怎样还不太确定。一个安全牌是把他开季和
Tyler Skaggs一起丢在AA。有些人在讨论2011年就让他上大联盟,不过最
终这件事并没有发生。响尾蛇球迷还蛮有可能在2012年看到他上大联盟的。
他离准备好上大联盟并不远。
CAREER OUTLOOK: Bauer has the makings of a No. 1 starter and should be no
worse than a No. 2, assuming he stays healthy – and there is no reason to
suspect that he won’t. Arizona currently has a very exciting crop of young
pitchers filtering up through the system right now and it shouldn’t be long
before Bauer sits atop the starting rotation, followed by Jarrod Parker,
Skaggs, and Pat Corbin – with Archie Bradley a few steps behind.
生涯展望:Bauer有着成为一号先发的能力,且不该比二号还糟,如果他健
康都很好的话,且似乎没有理由认为他不会持续保持健康。响尾蛇当前对
於这群小朋友的成长破关相当兴奋,应该不会等多久就可以在一起在大联
盟先发轮值圈前段,看到他和Skaggs,Parker、Pat Corbin与Archie Bradley。
2. Jarrod Parker, RHP
BORN: Nov. 24, 1988
EXPERIENCE: 4 seasons (AA/MLB)
ACQUIRED: 2007 1st round, Indiana HS (2nd overall)
2010-11 TOP 10 RANKING: 1st
SCOUTING REPORT: Not even the dreaded Tommy John surgery could knock Jarrod
Parker from his perch as the organization’s No. 1 prospect in 2010. It took
the acquisition of Trevor Bauer to dethrone the talented former No. 1 draft
pick (2007), who held the title for three straight seasons. Parker has
bounced back nicely from his injury with the help of rehab, and made his MLB
debut in 2011. He features a low-to-mid-90s fastball, slider, and changeup.
The right-hander doesn’t strike out a ton of guys right now but his rate
should increase as he improves his command post-surgery and matures as a
pitcher.
球探报告:就算可怕的TJ手术,也不能打倒Jarrod Parker在2010占据了
该队的作物第一名。一直到了选到Bauer才让他这位2007 年的球队选秀状
元从连续三年的第一名退位。Parker在复健之後,从受伤中回复的相当不
错,且在2011 年初次上了大联盟。他有low到mid-90的直球、滑球与变速
球。这位右投手当前不会三振一大堆人,不过他在增强他的术後控球与学
会如何更成熟的当一个投手之後,三振率应该会提昇。
YEAR IN REVIEW: Parker allowed just 112 hits in 130.2 innings at the double-A
level in 2011. He made up for a decent, but not great, strikeout rate of 7.71
K/9 by inducing an above-average number of ground-balls (55%). That helped
him allow just seven home runs all season. He then made one start at the MLB
level and showed decent stuff with a fastball that averaged out at 92 mph.
年度回顾:2011年Parker在AA在130.2局中只被打了112只安打。他用超乎
平均的滚球率(55%)投出了合格,但没有非常高的三振率7.71/9。他随
後在大联盟投了一场先发,展现了他合格的stuff,直球平均大概92mph左右。
YEAR AHEAD: The 22-year-old pitcher could see some time at triple-A to begin
the year if the organization goes out and secures a veteran pitcher through
the free agent market or via the trade route. But I’m betting Parker will
make a run at the No. 4 spot in the starting rotation in March, pushing the
over-achieving Josh Collmenter down into the No. 5 hole. Parker probably won’
t see his peak for a few seasons but he could be a solid NL starter right
from the get-go.
明天展望:22岁的他,如果球队有从交易或自由球员市场找到老将投手的
话,会在AAA花上一些时间。不过我猜响尾蛇会在春训的时候争取四号先
发,把那个超过期待的Josh Collmenter挤到五号去。他这几年可能都不会
到达生涯顶峰,不过应该从一开始就会成为国联的稳定先发。
CAREER OUTLOOK: At his best, Parker should top out as a No. 2 starter. With
the memories of his TJ surgery still lingering in people’s minds, his
durability may be questioned for a while but he has the potential to have a
long career as a Major League starting pitcher.
生涯展望;Parker长最好会变成二号先发。在TJ手术仍然在他的心中的情
况下,他投球续航力会被怀疑一阵子,不过他有那种可以在大联盟当很久
先发投手的潜力。
3. Tyler Skaggs, LHP
BORN: July 13, 1991
EXPERIENCE: 3 seasons (A+/AA)
ACQUIRED: 2009 supplemental 1st round, California HS (Drafted by Angels)
2010-11 TOP 10 RANKING: 3rd
SCOUTING REPORT: On the surface it doesn’t exactly look like Arizona came
out on top of the Dan Haren/Joe Saunders swap with the Los Angeles Angels.
However, Arizona has an ace in the hole. Literally. Skaggs, along with fellow
Top 15 prospect Pat Corbin were also acquired from Los Angeles and should
make the trade a huge win for Arizona before too long. Skaggs has the makings
of a No. 2 starter with a repertoire that includes an 88-93 mph fastball,
potentially-plus curveball and developing changeup. He has an excellent
pitcher’s frame and has been durable.
球探报告:表面上看来,响尾蛇拿Haren去换Saunders好像没有什麽赚头
,但其实响尾蛇再下面抓了一只ACE回来。就是Skaggs和另一位也从天使盘
来,也在排名前十五的Pat Corbin让响尾蛇似乎在不久之後赚饱饱。Skaggs
有变成二号的可能,球种有88~93mph的直球,可能会变成水准以上的曲球,
以及一颗正在长的变速球,他有着相当好的投手臂展且相当耐用。
YEAR IN REVIEW: Just 20 years old, Skaggs split the 2011 season between
high-A and double-A, striking out 198 batters in a combined 158.1 innings. He
threw 100.2 innings in the potent California League (A+) and came away with a
2.65 FIP (3.22 ERA) and a strikeout rate of 11.18 K/9. In 57.2 double-A
innings, Skaggs posted a 2.45 FIP (2.50 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 11.39
K/9. He showed improved control with his walk rate dropping from 3.04 to 2.34
BB/9 but his ground-ball rate also dropped from 53 to 43%.
去年回顾:只有二十岁,2011年他在high A与AA在158.1局中三振了198位
打者,在A+的加州联盟投了100.2局,2.65 FIP (3.22 ERA),三振率是
11.18;在AA的57.2局,他投了2.45 FIP (2.50 ERA)三振率11.18。他的
保送率从3.04降到了2.34;但滚球率也从53降到了43%。
YEAR AHEAD: Because his fastball is just average (or slightly above), Skaggs
will need to continue to command the lower half of the strike zone at the
upper levels of the minor leagues – and eventually the Majors. He could
return to double-A to begin 2012 with a relatively quick promotion to
triple-A in the cards. Don’t be shocked if he joins Trevor Bauer in making
his MLB debut next year.
明年展望:因为他的直球只有普通(稍微比平均高一点)而已,Skaggs必
须在高阶小联盟,之後在大联盟,继续把球投在好球带下半部。他可能会
在2012年开始回到AA,也有可能稍微快一点把他升到AAA去。如果他跟Bauer
一起在2012年有大联盟初登板,不要吓到就是了。
CAREER OUTLOOK: Skaggs will make a perfect No. 3 starter on the Arizona
Diamondbacks behind Jarrod Parker and Bauer. He has the ceiling of a No. 2
starter and the sky is the limit for the talented southpaw, especially if he
can keep the fastball down.
生涯展望:Skaggs在响尾蛇将会是个在Parker和Bauer後面完美的三号,他
的最高可能可以长到2号,当然如果只要它能够压低他的直球,要再长上去
也不是不可能。
4. Archie Bradley, RHP
BORN: Aug. 10, 1992
EXPERIENCE: 1 season (Rookie)
ACQUIRED: 2011 1st round, Oklahoma HS (7th overall)
2010-11 TOP 10 RANKING: NA
SCOUTING REPORT: Here is how good the pitching depth is in the Arizona
Diamondbacks’ system: Bradley would rank as the No. 1 prospect for about
eight to 10 other MLB organizations. Bradley received a $5 million bonus as
the seventh player selected overall – and the second prep pitcher behind
fellow Oklahoma native Dylan Bundy (who went fourth overall to Baltimore).
The right-handed Bradley has a devastating one-two punch with a mid-90s
fastball and potentially-plus curveball. The development of a changeup will
be important to his future. Like a lot of young pitchers he occasionally
loses command of his offerings and will likely move methodically through the
minor league system.
球探报告:这就是为什麽响尾蛇有着非常好的农场投手深度:Bradley可以
在八个或十个其他MLB球队排在农场第一。他在第一轮第七顺位被以500万
签约金签下,是今年第二个被选的高中投手。(第一个是金莺选走的Dylan
Bundy)这位右投手有着相当好的左拳右拳:mid-90的直球,以及一颗可能
会长到超越平均的曲球。他的变速球长得如何将会影响到他的未来。就像
许多年轻投手一样,他会偶而在投球机制上跑掉,且可能会在小联盟改姿势。
YEAR IN REVIEW: Bradley signed late and pitched just two innings in pro ball.
Outside of being drafted by the Diamondbacks, his proudest moment of the year
likely came when he pitched a two-hit shutout in the Oklahoma state
championship game against Bundy’s squad. He struck out 14 batters.
去年展望:Bradley签得很晚,只在职业球场投了两局。除了被响尾蛇选
了之外,他去年最光荣的时候就是面对Bundy所领军的球队的奥克拉河马
州冠军赛,三振14位打者,仅被击出两只安打的完封。
YEAR AHEAD: Having pitched just two pro innings, Bradley will likely open
2012 in extended spring training. However, an impressive spring training
could cause him to receive the Jarrod Parker treatment, which means an
assignment to low-A ball in his first full year. The organization wants him
to work on developing his changeup, and he also needs to work on consistency
and repeating his delivery.
明年展望:在职业只有投两局而已,Bradley将会在2012年先在延长春训
待着。不过如果他能够有着不错的春训的话,将会像Parker一样被拉到
Low-A去过第一个完整的球季。球团希望他能够继续练他的变速球,同时
也要固定他的投球机制。
CAREER OUTLOOK: Although Bradley probably won’t be the quickest mover, the
organization has a lot of high-ceiling pitching depth a head of him, which
will buy him time to realize his potential of No. 1 starter. He should be
ready for the Majors right around the time Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson
start getting expensive and/or begin their declines.
生涯展望:Bradley可能不会升很快,因为小蛇在他前面还有很多可能可
以长到很前面的投手,透过时间的考验,才能够确定他能不能长成一号
先发。他可能会在Kennedy和Hudson开始便贵或者是鸟掉之後准备好上
大联盟。
5. Matthew Davidson, 1B/3B
BORN: March 26, 1991
EXPERIENCE: 3 seasons (A+)
ACQUIRED: 2009 supplemental 1st round, California HS
2010-11 TOP 10 RANKING: 2nd
SCOUTING REPORT: Davidson was selected at the top of the 2009 draft along
with another prep third base prospect named Bobby Borchering, who was
actually the club’s first pick. Borchering has more power than Davidson but
does not project to hit for average and almost certainly will not stick at
the hot corner. Davison, on the other hand, doesn’t have quite as much power
but he has a better chance to hit for average and stick at third base. One
scout familiar with the 20-year-old infielder had this to say:
球探报告:Davidson是2009年在选秀和另一位高中三垒手,其实是该队第
一顺位的农作物Borchering一起被选。Borchering比Davidson更有炮瓦,
不过并不认为是个打击率不错的打者,且似乎也不会继续待在三垒。另一
方面,Davidson就没有像他那麽有炮瓦,不过他可能可以有着平均的打击
率,并继续待在三垒。一个对这位20岁的内野手很了解的球探表示:
“Matt has always had power and now he is learning to use the whole field to
hit, and then his power is now translating to all fields. He has a chance to
hit lots of doubles and his share of home runs to be an average to above
average third baseman in [terms of] production.”
「卖特一直都有炮瓦,且他正在学习怎麽把球打到球场的每个地方,那个
时候他的炮瓦就可以跑到每个方向去了。他有机会可以喷出一堆二垒打,
然後打出三垒手一般或更多的全垒打。」
YEAR IN REVIEW: Like Borchering, Davidson split the 2011 season between third
base and first base at high-A ball. He was respectable at the hot corner but
still has work to do. He took to first base quicker than Borchering and
actually looked like he could become an above-average fielder at the
position. Davidson enjoyed his time at the plate in high-A ball in 2011. He
used the offensive-oriented league to his favor and hit 20 home runs and 39
doubles. He also hit a respectable .279 despite having a strikeout rate of
24.3%. He drove in 107 runs.
年度回顾:就像Borchering一样, Davidson在AA一垒三垒都守。他在三垒
是个可尊敬的对手,不过还是需要努力一下。他比Borchering更快熟悉一
垒,且看起来他可以守备变成超过一般那个位置的选手。Davidson在2011
年AA表现得相当不错,在这个以打者为主的联盟打了20HR和39只二安。.279
的打击率,三振率24.3%。打了107分打点。
YEAR AHEAD: It’s possible that Davidson and Borchering could be split up if
the club decides to give the latter player a little more seasoning in A-ball
before making the significant jump to double-A. Davidson, though, should open
the year in Mobile, Alabama. He’ll look to continue to use the whole field
and make consistent, hard contact.
明年展望:可能Davidson和Borchering会分开,如果小蛇想要让後面那只
多花点时间在A长再升到AA的话。不管怎样,他应该会在阿拉巴马的Mobile
开季,他需要继续把球打到球场的每个地方,且要持续且有炮瓦的打。
CAREER OUTLOOK: Arizona still believes in Davidson as a third baseman. In
response to a question about his defense, the scout stated:
“This is one area that Matt needed to improve on when he signed. He has
really taken the bull by the horns and improved dramatically. I think he
stays at third base but he can also play first base. His footwork, confidence
and knowledge has greatly improved. He has plenty of arm as well.”
Davidson has the potential to be an average to slightly-above-average
offensive third baseman at the MLB level in the mold of long-time Tiger
Travis Fryman.
生涯展望:响尾蛇仍然认为Davidson是个三垒手。有个球探在谈到他的防
守的时候说:
「这是他在被签下的时候就需要变强的部份。他已经采取不畏艰难的态度
且引人注目的长得相当不错。我想他(应该要)待在三垒,不过也可以守
一垒,他的脚步、自信和知识都大幅成长。他也有相当不错的臂力。」
Davidson在大联盟有着变成稍稍超过一般进攻型三垒手的进攻潜力,大概
就像过去老虎站很久的三垒手Travis Fryman那样。
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