Bordow: Arizona Diamondbacks doing nothing at trade deadline was their best move 没有交易就是最好的变动 原文网址：http://goo.gl/wn5dSm Baseball’s trade deadline demands action. Do something, anything, even if it's just talk of a big deal or a rumor that lights up social media. 棒球的交易大限需要行动，包括做某件事、做任何事，甚至只是讨论阶段的大交易或引 起社会媒体注意的谣言。 Standing pat has no curb appeal. A team should be good enough to go for it (see the Toronto Blue Jays) or bad enough that it begins the rebuilding process (see Philadelphia Phillies). I’m guessing fans of both those clubs are more optimistic than they were a week ago. 打定主意不换牌就没有什麽卖点可期。一支够好的球队可以积极补强（如蓝鸟），或者 够烂的球队也可以藉此开始进入重建（如费城人），我猜这些球队的球迷们这一周以来 都因此变得更乐观。 Well, maybe not in the Phillies’ case. 好吧，也许费城迷们并不是。 But what if a team is in no-man’s land, not capable of making a run at the postseason but not so putrid that it should forfeit the season and trade anyone over the age of 30. 但如果是一支面临不上不下的球队，可能打不进季後赛，却又没有难堪到要放弃球季及 交易任何三十岁以上选手的球队呢？ You know, like the Diamondbacks. 你知道的，就像小蛇。 When Friday's 1 p.m. deadline hit, the Diamondbacks were two games under .500 but 6 1/2 games out of the second wild-card spot in the National League, with four teams ahead of them. 正当周五下午一点的大限时间一到，小蛇距离五成胜率还差两场比赛，但落後国联外卡 第二名的球队还有6.5场，且还有四支球队挡在面前。 The 49-51 record reflects the significant progress the organization has made since last year’s 98-loss debacle. Chief Baseball Officer Tony La Russa and General Manager Dave Stewart might have hit on two starting pitchers – Rubby De La Rosa and Robbie Ray – and manager Chip Hale has exhibited a deft touch with his in-game decisions, so much so that he should receive some NL Manager of the Year votes. 49胜51败的纪录反映着这支去年98败崩盘般的球队，已经有了显着的进展。CBO La Russa 及GM Stewart已经赌对两名先发投手－De La Rosa和Robbie－还有已灵活展现比赛中决 策能力的总教练Hale，他在国联最佳教练的票选上应该不会缺席。 That said, there’s little chance Arizona overtakes the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West or grabs one of the two wild-card bids. So what should a team do when it’s pretty good but not good enough? 这就是说，小蛇还有一点机会可以在国联西区赶上躲人，或者拿下两个外卡席次中的一 席。所以这支表现还不错，却又不够好的球队该怎麽做呢？ Just what the Diamondbacks did: Nothing. 小蛇所做的仅是：什麽都不做。 Oh, dealing veteran infielder Aaron Hill or reliever Oliver Perez might have made sense, but those deals would have had little significance long-term. What Arizona didn’t do, thankfully, was trade part of its future to go on some wild goose chase this year. 呃，交易掉老将内野手Hill或救援投手Perez也许有意义，但这麽做对长期来说只有一 点效果。谢天谢地，小蛇没有送出任何未来的一部分，来做任何徒劳无功的追求。 The temptation was there. Arizona had won five straight games before the trade deadline. The starting rotation had been solidified thanks to Patrick Corbin's return and the unlikely aid of Zack Godley, and Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock had gotten some help from the rest of the lineup. 还是有诱因存在的；由於Corbin的回归、杂鱼Godley的惊奇演出，先发轮值表现的可圈 可点，加上Goldy和Pollock得到打线里其他人的掩护，交易大限前的小蛇已经五连胜。 Then came the kicker: The Diamondbacks were in talks with the Cincinnati Reds about acquiring closer Aroldis Chapman and his 100 mph fastball. One report had Arizona offering two or three top prospects, including starter Braden Shipley, the 26th ranked prospect in the game. 难题来了，小蛇和红人讨论过拥有100 mph的火球终结者Chapman。报导指出小蛇将送出 两到三名的潜力新秀，包括排名被认定是第26的先发投手Shipley。 You know the saying, that the best deals are sometimes the ones you don’t make? That applies here. Sure, Chapman would have solidified the back end of the bullpen and allowed Brad Ziegler to be used as a set-up man or when the Diamondbacks positively, absolutely had to have a ground ball. Plus, Chapman wouldn’t have been a rental; he’s not a free agent until after the 2016 season and Arizona likely would have approached him about a long-term deal. 你知道这个说法，最好的交易有时就是不做你想做的那些交易，这句话刚好适用於此。 当然Chapman可以守住牛棚的最後一道防线，让Ziegler可以回到布局投手的位置，或者 让他在小蛇需要滚地球出现的时候登场，加上Chapman不会是个打工仔，因为他要到 2016季後才会成为自由球员，小蛇可能会与他签下长期合约。 But it would have been asinine for Arizona to trade any of its top minor- league talent – particularly pitching prospects – for Chapman. Good closers aren’t hard to find. Ziegler is the perfect example. And young starting pitching is the most valuable asset in the game. You simply don’t trade that commodity for someone who throws 50 or 60 innings a year. 但是如果小蛇交易任何小联盟的天才，尤其是投手人才来换取Chapman，那就愚蠢透了 ；好的终结者并不难寻，Ziegler就是最佳证明。年轻的先发投手是球赛中最有价值的 资产，你才不会想要把这种好料拿去换一年只投50或60局的某人。 It may not be sexy but the best thing the Diamondbacks can do is stay the course. Let the season play out. Then, during the winter, if they can make a good deal for an established starting pitcher, go for it. Boost the rotation and Arizona might very well make the postseason in 2016. 保持现状也许无法引人侧目，却是小蛇现在最好的选择。本季就让我们继续看下去会如 何发展，到了冬天时，如果小蛇能找到一名完成品的先发投手，就好好把握吧；届时升 级轮值对打进2016季後赛也许大有助益。 This year? Well, the Diamondbacks are a lot better than a lot of us thought they would be. That’s good enough. 至於今年呢？嗯，小蛇已经跌破我们大多数专家的眼镜了，这已经够好了。 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 其实本来认为小蛇真的就是缺了一个Ace 可是最近轮值的状况已经趋於稳定 让人觉得只要这些人明年还能进步 小蛇很有可能成为投手王国 De La Rosa好像很容易被敲全垒打 但投到八局还有98 mph火球的能耐 左投Ray经常能投出优质先发 球速投到95 mph也没问题 Corbin回归後表现跟2013相去不远 样本数虽然不多 但目前WHIP是1.0 Anderson如果能适应冗长的球季时间 实力是不可小觑的 中继表现稳定的Hudson如果有机会回到先发并维持一样水准 加上备受期待的新人Bradley与Shipley 先发人才济济 如果季後能补进一位Ace 小蛇的先发轮值等於锦上添花 （还有屠杀小联盟 名列农场第十名的黄暐杰可以期待！） 後援部分 Ziegler虽然不中看 却非常中用 而且很耐投 希望能继续留着 Chafin Delgado Hernandez Collmenter Hudson也大都值得信赖 Castillo转队後的表现根本就强打型捕手 O'Brien如果登上大联盟会很竞争 灵魂人物Goldy虽然很优秀了 但每年都还在成长 现在只担心投手不敢跟他对决而已 Owings Lamb Ahmed组成的二三游防线 只要前两者的打击火力能复制小联盟水准 阿美继续展现一流的守备功力拼金手套 就很堪用了 当年Stephen Drew花167场小联盟比赛就登上大联盟 今年的状元Swanson如果能超越Drew 内野会更有看头 （其实蛮喜欢Hill的 觉得他很像美国张泰山和陈金锋 没机会上场所以手感才这麽差） 前几年的小蛇都在签一堆令人摸不着头绪的外野手 希望不要再浪费钱签另一个Ross 或者拿好手去换另一个Trumbo 外野的Inciarte Peralta Pollock Tomas应该是很够用了 打击能力最差的阿铁OPS+也有95 其他三人都在100以上 除了长打还没长出来的Tomas外 其他三人在小蛇都少已有两季的试炼 可以考虑趁便宜签个像Goldy一样高瞻远瞩的复数年合约 总之小蛇的未来 现在看起来是一片光明 只要GM不再被拍裸照即可 也许明年我们真的可以期望 像2011年一样的高CP值小蛇重返季後赛 生活周遭没人支持小蛇真的挺孤独 届时再来办场版聚一起看球吧 （要是没被Towers把农场像耳屎一样掏空的话 蛇迷们应该早就可以做梦了） --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 59.126.98.242 ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Diamondbacks/M.1438451746.A.58B.html ※ 编辑: reasonchen (59.126.98.242), 08/02/2015 01:56:36 ※ 编辑: reasonchen (59.126.98.242), 08/02/2015 10:35:46