作者fountainNess (秋本平吉千人将)
看板Diamondbacks
标题[翻译] 新秀Q&A with Bill Mitchell of BA
时间Thu Nov 19 05:11:56 2015
Kel (Flagstaff, AZ): Your thoughts on
Taylor Clarke? Thx
Bill Mitchell: We've got plenty of questions about Taylor Clarke, so we'll start
the chat with
Arizona's 3rd round pick from the College of Charleston. Clarke
had a very nice debut at Hillsboro, not allowing an earned run in over 20
innings.
The big right-hander's strength is his Plus command and control,
projecting as a fourth starter with a good three-pitch mix. One of my biggest
disappointments during the recent instructional league season was that Clarke
didn't pitch, so I didn't get a chance to see him on the mound. He'll be a high
priority for me in spring training.
Bill Michell(下称BM):今年第三轮,强像是plus的command跟control,预测是四号,三颗球种
的mix(速、变、滑)
Dave (Phoenix): Is
Marcus Wilson still someone to dream on, or is he not
progressing?
Bill Mitchell: Marcus Wilson has made
slow but steady progress during his two
years in the organization. The Diamondbacks knew that the young California
outfielder was a project who would take time.
He got a little stronger in 2015
but still needs to add strength so that he can make better contact at the plate.
It wouldn't surprise me to see him get more time in short-season ball, which
will be alright since
he won't turn 20 until late next season. He'll be ranked
in the Prospect Handbook, so you'll be able to read more about Wilson when that
fine book comes out early next year.
BM:M.Wilson虽慢但稳定的进步.他需要变得更强壮,让他的contact更好.还很年轻.
会排在Top30里面
@Jaypers413 (IL): Thanks for the chat, Bill. Could
Austin Byler become the
second coming of Goldschmidt, or is that too generous a comp? How close was he
to this list?
Bill Mitchell:
Don't get too excited about Austin Byler yet. Arizona's 11th
round pick from Nevada, Byler was a four-year college guy playing in a
rookie-level league and in a very good park for hitters. While he put up very
good numbers there,
he also struck out in 23 percent of his at-bats. Byler was
suspended for 50 games in September for a positive PED test. The clock on that
penalty doesn't kick in until the start of the 2016 Pioneer League season which
will in effect wipe out most of the year for him. He'll be 24 until he gets
a full season under his belt in 2017. I didn't write a report on him this year,
but we'll take another look at Byler next year.
BM:禁赛50场,等到打第一个完整球季已经24岁了
Grant (NYC): What did you think of
Cody Reed during his Hillsboro debut?
Bill Mitchell: Cody Reed put in a good season for the Northwest League
champion Hops and
is in the mix for the top 30. Conditioning will always be a
concern for Reed, and he reported to instructional league in better shape than
earlier in the year.
His fastball was in the 87-91 range this year, and scouts
are concerned that
his secondary pitches aren't good enough to offset the lower
fastball velocity. Let's see how he handles full-season ball next year.
BM:Top30.需要控制体型.速球87-91.不过第二球路不够好,制造不出速差
Eric (Tampa): Impressions of
Gabby Guerrero this year? Is he in your 30?
Bill Mitchell: Gabby Guerrero was
in the discussion for the Dbacks top ten list,
but will instead rank somewhere in the teens.
He struggled with plate discipline
and pitch recognition in Double-A this year, both before and after the trade
from Seattle. I recently talked with his Mobile hitting coach, who indicated
that
Guerrero knows what he needs to improve and is dedicated to working on
improving. The raw power and arm strength are both plus or plus-plus tools, so
there's
a major league outfielder in there if he can improve his approach. He
was young for Double-A this year so expect a return to Mobile in 2016 for more
seasoning.
BM:有在前十顺位的讨论中.本垒板纪律跟球路判断不好.Gabby知道自己哪里需要加强,而且
有付诸努力.力量跟臂力都是plus或plus-plus.如果打击策略能进步会是MLB外野手.还年轻
继续再2A努力
Ezra Cornell (Ithaca, NY): Any buzz around the rare Cornell baseball prospect,
Brent Jones? Pre draft word was that he could be a quick riser with back end
potential. Any change?
Bill Mitchell: We ranked Jones in the 20s last year and, as you said, looked
like he could move quickly. But
injuries put him out of action for most of the
second half of the season. Scouts believe
his stuff will be better out of the
bullpen. With better health in 2016 he could be back on the fast track.
BM:因为下半季伤势而无法出赛.球探认为他的stuff比较适合以牛棚出击.
Dave (dallas tx): Are you convinced that
Bradley's future is not as a SP at this
point?
Bill Mitchell: I don't believe that anyone's ready to give up on Archie staying
in the rotation, especially since he looked good there at the start of 2015, but
more scouts than before are voicing the opinion that the back end of the bullpen
may (and I say MAY) be his best role moving forward. Let's see how he looks when
pitchers and catchers report in the spring.
BM:阿漆...更多球探认为牛棚比较适合他
(有一题土鸡的跳过XD)
DR (MD):
Isan Diaz put up great numbers and showed defensive versatility, yet
most DBacks lists have him low. Is that simply a product of the hitter friendly
league? Or do scouts not think the bat is for real?
Bill Mitchell: Scouts and Pioneer League managers were
universally high on Diaz
during my research into that league's prospects. As good as the reports were
from the Pioneer League,
scouts were even more glowing about his potential after
viewing him in instructional league. He probably won't stay at shortstop, but
it looks like the bat is real.
BM:大家都很看好Diaz.越来越看好.可能不会留在游击.但打击应该是真的.
Rick (Arizona): Can you tell us about
Josh Taylor? Do you consider him a top 30
prospect?
Bill Mitchell:
Josh Taylor is a strong-armed lefty acquired mid-season from the
Philadelphia organization. He's not in the top 30 but is on my list of
potential sleepers who could boost their stock next season.
His fastball gets up
to 94 and he complements it with a big, slow curveball. He's one to watch when
he moves up to the Cal League.
BM:强壮的左腕.速球有到94mph而且有个变化幅度大且慢的曲球
Patrick (Glendale, AZ): Hi Bill, do you have a scout report for
Tyler Mark? He
was a college relief pitcher but transit into a SP for Hillsboro Hops this year.
I am wondering if he has what it takes to be a SP in professional baseball?
Bill Mitchell: The Diamondbacks are giving 6th round pick Tyler Mark a chance to
start,
but so far most scouts believe he'll wind up back in the bullpen but
with a chance he could be a back-end starter if he improves his command. He's
got a good sinking fastball up to 94 and good feel for his changeup. His
delivery needs work but he's athletic and should improve with experience. Look
for Mark in full-season ball in 2016.
BM:大部分球探认为会是牛.不过控球进步的话可能有後段的潜力.有94mph不错的下速球.
变速的感觉不错.不过投球机制还需要修
Nick (Nashville): Will
Stryker Trahan ever hit enough or catch well enough to
be a regular?
Bill Mitchell: It was a very rough year for Stryker, who still has big power but
doesn't make enough contact and hasn't progressed behind the plate. The fact
that he's dropping out of the top 30 should answer your question.
BM:还是有炮瓦.不过没contact而且防守也没进步.掉出Top30.(惨了)
Irene (Phoenix): What is the latest status of
Felipe Perez? He was once a top 30
but didn't didn't pitch in 2015?
Bill Mitchell: Felipe Perez was
suspended last January for 50 games for a second
positive test of a drug of abuse. I can't find any record of him being released,
but I haven't seen or heard anything about him in over a year. His stuff had
backed up after he was signed as a non-drafted free agent out of high school,
but that's as much as I know on him right now.
BM:禁赛.Stuff还在.
Patrick (Glendale AZ): Both
Jason Morozowski and Zach Nehrir performed well in
the short season leagues. Who do you rank higher? Can you tell us about these
two 2015 draft signings?
Bill Mitchell: Jason Morozowski was Arizona's 13th round pick from Mount Olive
in North Carolina. I got good reports on him as a potential sleeper when I was
researching my Pioneer League list. He also pitched in college so he's
relatively inexperienced as a position player for a college product. He's still
plenty raw but showed good bat speed, gets on base and has above-average speed.
Nehrir was the 16th round pick from Houston Baptist and anchored the Hillsboro
outfield. Neither player made the top 30 but are ones to keep an eye on next
year when they both likely head to Low-A.
BM:13轮那只打者的经验相对不足.不过有好的挥棒速度、上垒技巧、高於平均的速度.
第二个没特别说明.
Brad (Taiwan): How did
Huang rank in D-Backs farm system? Thanks!
Bill Mitchell: Wei-Chieh Huang is a right-handed pitcher from Taiwan who made
his stateside debut in the Midwest League at the age of 22. He had an excellent
season with Kane County after starting the year in extended spring training due
to a back issue.
Huang uses a fastball that sits 91-92 and has a double-plus
changeup that rates as the organization's best. He'll rank somewhere in the
11-20 range when the Prospect Handbook shows up in your mailbox next year.
BM:91-92速球,plus plus变速(很高的评价)
11-20之间
(一直再宣传Handbook XD)
Rich (NJ): Can you please give us your opinion on the future of young catcher
Jose Herrera. Also, where do you see him starting in 2016 and do you see him
ranking in the 11 - 20 range?
Bill Mitchell: I've always been high on Jose Herrera,
a switch-hitting catcher
from Venezuela who signed with Arizona for just over a million in 2013. He had
a small setback this season, spending a second season in the Arizona League due
to a
foot injury that kept him from an assignment to one of the other
short-season affiliates.
Scouts still like his ability to catch and the
potential to hit. He'll still be only 19 next year when he gets a second chance
to move on to Missoula or Hillsboro. We had him at #15 last season and he'll
still be a top 30 guy in what is now a deeper organization.
BM:两打捕手.今年有伤.球探喜欢他接捕的能力还有打击潜力.明年才19.Top30.
Ray (New York): How do you rank the three Kane County outfielders (
Bray, Reyes,
Taylor)? Who do you think have the upside to become a MLB regular?
Bill Mitchell: I've got them on the depth chart in this order: Victor Reyes,
Colin Bray, Chuckie Taylor. Reyes, who the Dbacks got from Atlanta in that
two-part trade with Atlanta that allowed them to dump Trevor Cahill's salary,
is the only one of the three likely to rank in the top 30. Reyes has
hit well
at every level
but with absolutely no over-the-fence power. None of his other
tools stand out so he'll have to continue to rope line drives into the gaps to
project as a starting outfielder at the big league level.
He's got the frame to
add more strength so he could develop more power, but he doesn't get much loft
in his swing. I'll be curious to see how much power comes out when he moves up
to the hitter-friendly California League.
BM:Reyes是三个里面唯一比较有机会top30的.打得很好,不过没有打出全垒打的能力.没有
特别突出的tool,所以需要持续打出找洞的平飞球才有可能成为MLB OF.有可能可以增加炮
瓦.
Sam (LA): Thanks for the chat.
Carlos Hernandez pitched really well in 2015. Did
he receive any top 10 consideration?
Bill Mitchell: Carlos Hernandez ranked as the 20th best prospect in the
Northwest League, but didn't get any push to rank high in the Dbacks
organization. He's a small right-hander
with good pitchability and a plus slider
. He'll need to prove he can get advanced hitters out as he moves through the
system, with his first taste of full-season ball expected in 2016.
BM:小右投,耐投,有plus滑球.不过必须证明能够解决更高阶的打者.
Noel (Portland, OR): Will the Dbacks use
Drury as a utility guy? Play some 3b
and 2b. Maybe learn the of and play SS in a pinch.
Bill Mitchell: Drury projects to have enough bat for a starting job, but he
could fill a utility role until a spot opens up. I expect that he'll head back
to Reno for more seasoning since Phil Gosselin is around to be the utility
infielder. But if Drury has as good a spring as he had last year, I wouldn't
rule out the chance for him to make the 25-man roster coming out of spring
training.
BM:可能会回去3A练一下.不过春训打的好的话可能成为25人.
@Jaypers413 (IL): I'm curious why a power hitting, defensively-challenged player
such as
Pete O'Brien got traded to an N.L. club in the first place. Doesn't he
fit more into the role of a future DH to you?
Bill Mitchell: At the time I believe there was hope that O'Brien could catch
well enough that
if the bat also developed he could be a Mike Piazza type of
offensive backstop. I'm not saying he had Piazza-like potential but at least to
be that kind of power-hitting catcher. He's going to get another chance to
catch
but few observers see that working out for him. It wouldn't surprise me
to see him heading back to the American League at some point.
BM:仍然对O'Brien成为攻击型替补捕手抱有期望.不过很少人觉得回去捕手可行.
Albert (Phoenix): Did you have a chance to see
Luis Madero and Emilio Vargas in
the AZL? They pitched well for AZL D-Backs so I am wondering if you are high
on them?
Bill Mitchell: Madero and Vargas are both interesting enough to rate positions
on the Dbacks right-handed starting pitcher depth chart. As first year rookie
ball pitchers they both classify as lottery tickets to file away for the future.
On a quick search I was able to find my notes on Madero:
good command, fastball
up to 92, loose actions, good shape on his breaking ball. Vargas has more zip
to his fastball,
consistently sitting 94. Secondary stuff is still inconsistent.
One more name to file away for the future is a right-hander out of the
DSL - Melvin Ovalles.
BM:前者控球不错,92mph,柔软的投球动作,变化球轨迹不错.後者速球有94mph,但没有第二
武器(还不稳).
Harry (Phoenix, AZ): While you don't get a vote in this, how many of the top 10
do you think are worthy of making BA's top 100?
Bill Mitchell: I'm guessing the top five on the list (Swanson, Blair, Shipley,
Bradley, Drury) will all get consideration for the final BA top 100.
BM:前五名都会是BA top100.
Mick (Chicago): I'm guessing recent draft pick SS
Kal Simmons may appear in the
top 30 prospect book. Is his ceiling any higher than utility player?
Bill Mitchell: Like Austin Byler, Simmons received a
50-game suspension and will
miss most of the 2016 season. I heard that the Dbacks were going to give him a
chance to work behind the plate in instructional league. He was at their Salt
River complex for early workouts but then I never saw him in a game during the
fall. No top 30 for Simmons this year.
BM:禁赛50场.可能练捕手.
Teddy (Granville): Hey Bill, living in Chicago, are there any players I should
look forward to watching next season at Kane County? or is it just Isan Diaz
Bill Mitchell: You should have a solid crop of prospects making their way to
Kane County in 2016, including most of the Hillsboro pitching staff (Taylor
Clarke, Alex Young, Carlos Hernandez, Cody Reed, Breckin Williams, Tyler Mark,
etc.). As you mentioned, Diaz will probably be there, as well as Jason Morozowski
(mentioned in an earlier post) and Sergio Alcantara getting a second try at
that level. It will be a fun team to watch.
BM:明年Kane County有很多人可以看.
Ringo (Octopusses Garden): Who just missed the top 10?
Bill Mitchell: I mentioned
Gabby Guerrero, Taylor Clarke and Wei-Chieh Huang
earlier, but I'll throw one more name your way ---
Anthony Banda. The southpaw
acquired from 2014 from Milwaukee had a nice season in Visalia and could be a
potential top-10 candidate with a strong showing in Double-A.
BM:跟Top10擦肩而过的除了Gabby,Clarke,黄还有Anthony Banda.
Dan (Augusta, ME): Thoughts on 3rd rdr
Taylor Clarke? The Dbacks kept him in the
pen for his pro debut just to limit innings right? Thanks.
Bill Mitchell: I talked earlier about Clarke, but I'll answer your question
about his bullpen role in Hillsboro. Yes, that was to limit his innings in his
first pro season. The organization did the same with Alex Young, who only
pitched one inning at a time after a long season with TCU.
BM:球团为了保护他们让他先投一些後援.
Chung Han (Taipei): Wei-Chieh Huang is the first Taiwanese pitcher signed by
Arizona and finished a good season for class A Kane County. Other than Huang,
do you know if there is any Taiwanese players signed by Arizona that will have
their debut in the U.S. In 2016?
Bill Mitchell: They recently signed another right-handed pitcher,
Kai-Wei Lin,
who participated in instructional league this fall. He'll debut in the system
next year but it's too soon to tell at what level.
BM:签了林凯崴.
Chung Han (Taipei): Arizona has demonstrated the ability to sign good talents
from the Independent Leagues. Can you suggest some Independant League signings
that we can follow in 2016?
Bill Mitchell: One player to watch is right-handed pitcher
Ethan Elias, who
pitched in the independent Frontier League in 2014 after being released by the
Cubs. The 22-year-old Elias had a nice season in Low-A before playing with Team
Canada in the Premier 12 tournament.
BM:Elias值得关注.今年在低阶A投得不错.代表加拿大打P12.
(Chung Han是谁!来自首XD)
Ringo (Octopusses Garden): Did
Silvino Bracho make the handbook? Can he close at
the big league level?
Bill Mitchell: Bracho jumped from High-A to Double-A to the big leagues this
year, and pitched well during the latter part of the season. His stuff is
average across the board but I've heard he has "nerves of steel." He can't
close at the big league level, profiling instead as a productive 7th inning
reliever. We haven't yet finalized the rest of the top 30, but it wouldn't
surprise me to see Bracho in there when it's all said and done.
BM:听说他有钢铁般的意志.不过stuff只有平均.
Roy (Indiana): Wasted year as expected for
Oscar Hernandez. Does he still have
roster time at big league level and what are the impressions of him?
Bill Mitchell: Oscar Hernandez was the Dbacks Rule 5 pick from Tampa Bay last
year, thus requiring him to spend all season in the big leagues. He spent time
on the DL after breaking his hamate, but can now be sent back to the minor
leagues without Arizona losing his rights. He'll probably start next year at
Double-A Mobile.
Hernandez is near major league ready defensively, but has a lot
of work to do at the plate.
BM:明年可能2A开季.防守是大联盟级.打击需要加强.
(卖掉的Palka略过)
JD (Arlington, VA): Given his advanced pedigree, is there a chance
Swanson makes
it to The Show next year, or is mid-2017 looking more likely? With the desert
air there in Arizona, is there a chance he hits 30 homers a year?
Bill Mitchell: 2017 is more likely for an arrival date for Swanson, but I
wouldn't put it past him to be able to handle the big leagues as early as late
2016. As for 30 homeruns, that's a little rich for him even in hitter-friendly
Chase Field. He's not that kind of hitter.
BM:可能2016有办法handle大联盟等级.不过打不出30轰啦.
a.j. (las vegas): I know
Nick Ahmed is not good enough to "block" a #1 overall
pick but might the Diamondbacks look at
Swanson at second base in the minors
this year?
Bill Mitchell: Another question on Swanson's future: I'm sure they will keep him
at shortstop for now, but I wouldn't rule out a move to second base at some
point in his career. We know he can handle it. If Ahmed's bat comes around
enough to go with his superb defense, it could create an interesting dilemma for
the team in a few years.
BM:应该会让他留在游击.以後可能会练练看.他守二垒应该没问题.
Joe (South Bend):
Seth Simmons. Still a prospect?
Bill Mitchell: Simmons, a short right-handed reliever with
a big fastball, has
been on my
annual "sleeper guys waiting to break out" list for several years.
He had a strong season split between Double-A and Triple-A, but still hasn't
made it to the 40-man roster. He'll be 28 by mid-season next year, so the clock
is ticking.
BM:长年都在沈睡者名单.28岁,快没时间罗.
John (Michigan): Not long ago,
Jose Martinez wasn't far behind Bradley, Blair
& Shipley. He's still young. What are the chances he regains top prospect status?
Bill Mitchell: Martinez suffered a stress fracture in his elbow in 2014, finally
making it back to full-season ball in June. His days in the rotation are now
over and
he's taken to a relief role very well. The mid-90s fastball is back
as well as the plus curveball. If he can stay healthy and get better command,
he's got 8th inning potential and perhaps even a future as a closer.
BM:受伤缺阵2014,终於在六月回来.可能无法当SP,在牛棚投得很好.mid-90的速球跟plus的
曲球都回来了.可能的8局人选甚至是终结者.
mez (SC):
Ryan Burr a quick riser? Could he make it all the way to the backend
of the bullpen?
Bill Mitchell: Burr, no stranger to Phoenix-area baseball fans after his
three-year career at Arizona State, had an excellent season split between
Hillsboro and Kane County. The slider improved with a change in the grip and he
showed better command than at ASU.
It's a power arm with a fastball that
touched 99 this year. With major college experience on his resume, Burr is a
candidate to move quickly. I'm betting he gets to Double-A at some point in 2016
.
BM:滑球跟控球都有进步.能投到99mph.可能会迅速爬升.
Bill Mitchell: While there are still plenty of solid questions in the queue,
I'm out of time for today. Thanks to all for your participation. You may hit
me up on Twitter @billazbbphotog with more questions. Don't forget to order the
Prospect Handbook so that you can read all 30 reports from every organization.
Join us on Friday when Mike Lananna covers the Rockies organization. I'll be
back in the chat room in January to talk about the Angels system.
(最後不忘推销一下Handbook)
感谢他回答这麽多问题...好多没听过的名字,未来某一天也许能看到他们
--
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1F:→ tywei: Seth Simmons有来打P12,太矮加上快速球威力不够,主要靠很 11/19 05:26
2F:→ tywei: 好的滑球,日韩不要这麽矮的,或许有天会出现在中职 11/19 05:26
3F:→ tywei: 是说1000签约金能上AAA已经很赚了 11/19 05:28
4F:推 tywei: Jason Morozowski的高抬腿会让人想到Jose Bautista 11/19 05:30
5F:推 tywei: Banda有机会变成3号SP,聪明、变速好,今年均速极速都增加 11/19 05:33
6F:推 tywei: Guerrero秋训的时候在墙前五步传了一球直接进捕手手套 11/19 05:36
7F:→ tywei: 身材长相tool都很像uncle,挥棒和选球还要加强 11/19 05:36
8F:推 tywei: Josh Taylor是凤凰城人,身材很好,投球动作有在学Kershaw 11/19 05:40
9F:→ tywei: Burr和黄是室友,每天和黄传接球之後滑球就变好了(神奇) 11/19 05:41
10F:推 seeyou1002: 推 XD 怎麽一堆人被禁赛啦 11/19 11:49
11F:推 tywei: 据说秋训某天教练会议时出现「我刚看twitter发现Kal被禁赛 11/19 11:59
12F:推 Zamned: XD 11/19 11:59
13F:→ tywei: 了」这种对话 XD 11/19 11:59
14F:→ Zamned: 你们要抓虫了?这麽多人出包。可能有不乾净的人士混进来 11/19 12:00
15F:推 tywei: 和其他队比起来其实没有比较多,BA有个禁赛tracker 11/19 12:02
16F:→ fountainNess: 被禁赛的三只...感觉都还好 11/19 12:03
17F:→ fountainNess: 希望Jose Martinez可以上major 11/19 12:04
18F:→ fountainNess: 本来蛮期待的,可惜受伤,整个掉评价 11/19 12:04
19F:推 tywei: Byler能长成platoon就很好了,Simmons个性很好内野捕手都能 11/19 12:05
20F:→ tywei: ,是UT料,前提是能不能打,Felipe Perez比较有趣 11/19 12:05
21F:→ tywei: Perez选秀时因为strong UCLA committ所没人选,最後直接用 11/19 12:06
22F:→ tywei: 40万签下来,身材很好,但一直受伤投不出来 11/19 12:07
23F:推 Zamned: 小熊比较乖。今年好像是老杂鱼Adron Chambers被抓,就他而 11/19 12:09
24F:→ Zamned: 已。 11/19 12:09
25F:→ fountainNess: 22岁,应该还可以等等看 11/19 12:13
26F:推 tywei: 贵的永远比别人机会多这点是千古不变 11/19 12:19
27F:→ fountainNess: 希望他值得XD 11/19 12:22