http://cleatgeeks.com/blog/2016/03/02/snakes-alive-ranking-the-diamondbacks-top-ten-prospects-5-1/ This is the second part of my two-part series ranking the top ten prospects in the Diamondbacks system, with #5 being the worst and #1 being the best. You can read the first part of this 2 part article here. 这是这位作者十大新秀中的第二部份（第一部份6-10晚点再看），第五是最低， 第一是最高。晚点看第二部份。 5. Alex Young, left-handed pitcher, 22 years old Why He’s in the Top Five: Thought to have first round draft potential, Young was instead taken in the second round by the Diamondbacks following his junior season at Texas Christian University – my brother’s alma mater – and could break into the majors as early as September of 2017. In three seasons with the Horned Frogs, Young registered 180 strikeouts, 136 hits allowed, 48 earned runs, 48 walks, and 181 innings pitched; his 2015 season was particularly dynamic, as he threw 97 innings, had 103 strikeouts to just 22 walks, and posted a 2.22 ERA. Upon being drafted by Arizona, he pitched just one game with the team’s Rookie ball affiliate in the Arizona League before being promoted to Hillsboro in short-season Single A ball. With the Hops, he dominated to the tune of five strikeouts, one walk, and one run allowed covering six innings and five appearances (one of which was a start). He was predominantly a reliever at TCU (just four starts in 44 appearances in his first two years at the school), which means he has limited wear and tear on his arm, but 16 of his 17 appearances in 2015 were starts and a loaded TCU rotation that included 2014 Royals first-round pick Brandon Finnegan was probably the main reason Young was relegated to the bullpen in the first place. He has three pitches that are at least average currently, his fastball has topped out at 94, and both his changeup and his slider have plus potential. His 6-foot, 2-inch, 205-pound frame allows him to develop even further. 为什麽他在前五： 虽然他曾经有着第一轮的潜力，但响尾蛇在他TCU大三结束後用第二轮选了他，他 被预估最早上大联盟大概是2017年九月扩编。在三季的TCU生涯中，Young总共投了 180三振，被打了136只安打，48责失分，48次保送以及吃了181局。他大三球季更是 威猛，投了97局，103次三振，只有22次保送，2.22防御率。在被响尾蛇选上之後， 他仅仅在Rookie投了一场就被升上短 A的Hillsboro。在Hops他很杀，在总共五场 （一场先发），六局，5K，1保送，失一分。他在 TCU主要是後援，（前两年44场 出赛只有4场是先发），这代表他的手臂并没有使用太多。不过他的2015球季，在 17场出赛中有16场是先发，不过当年 TCU有着满满的先发阵容，包含14年第一轮 皇家的Brandon Finnegan，可能是他一开始被摆在牛棚的原因。他球路中有三种至少 是平均以上的水准，他的直球可以到94mph，滑球和变速球都有水准以上的潜力。 6-2，205磅的体型让他有机会继续成长。 Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: There’s a recurring theme here, and it’s not necessarily a great one. For all the pitchers the D-backs have in their system, very few – if any – appear to be obvious ace or front of the rotation starters. Young is another of that group; his ceiling is probably a #3 starter. Furthermore, Young likely needs at least two more seasons to reach the stamina and workload level of a full starter, his secondary pitches are still raw, and he allowed 10 longballs in his junior season at TCU, a weakness that is further glaring when you keep in mind that Chase Field is one of the most homer-friendly ballparks in the majors. It will be pivotal if he’s able to consistently keep the ball on the ground with his changeup and sinker combination. The Diamondbacks could elect to provide Young with a stiffer challenge by starting his 2016 season at High A Visalia as opposed to the lower-level Kane County. 为什麽他没有被评更高：这边有个可以讨论的选秀话题，而且可能不是多好的。 在所有响尾蛇系统中的投手，非常少----如果有的话，有那种可以变成王牌或前段 轮值的先发投手。 Young是另一个在这群投手里面的，他的天花板顶多三号。更者 ，Young还需要至少再两年才能达到他如果要当先发的所须体力和工作量，他的第二种 球路还很嫩，而且他在大三TCU的时候被干了10只全垒打，当你想到Chase Field是 大联盟的打者球场的时候，这就看起来更严重。能够用他的变速球和沉球让球继续被 打到地上对他来说是很重要的。响尾蛇可能会把他丢到到有挑战的 High A Visalia 而非低阶的Kane County。 4. Socrates Brito, outfielder, 23 years old SacBritoWhy He’s in the Top Five: Signed out of the Dominican Republic as a 17-year-old in 2010, Brito is the main reason why the Diamondbacks were not afraid to trade Ender Inciarte to the Braves for Shelby Miller. Brito is a five-tool star who has put it all together over the last two seasons. He discovered his power stroke at High A Visalia in 2014, rapping 10 homers and 30 doubles, and then followed up with 9 longballs, 17 doubles, and 15 triples in the more pitcher-friendly Southern League at Mobile in 2015. He’s an exceptional runner and base stealer (27, 38, and 20 steals in the last three seasons, respectively), he hits for average (.293 and 300 the last two seasons, .312 in 2012), and he has a strong throwing arm. Brito didn’t disappoint when he was promoted to the majors as a September call-up last year, either; he went 10 for 33 with three doubles and a triple. He’s 6-2, 200 pounds and is more than capable of being an above-average everyday outfielder in the majors. Even his floor isn’t that low – a fourth or fifth outfielder who would still offer some level of production. He has nothing left to prove in the minors and should play an impactful role for the Diamondbacks in 2016. 为什麽他在前五： 2010年从多明尼加以自由球员身份被签下，Brito是是为什麽响尾蛇没在怕把 Inciarte交易到勇士换 Shelby Miller的主因。 Brito是个在过去两季发展出五 项工具的明星球员。他在High A的2014年 Visalia球季找到了他的泡瓦，打了10只 全垒打，30只二垒安打；然後2015在Mobile打了9发，17只二安和15只三垒安打。 而南方联盟（Mobile所在）是更加对投手有利的联盟。他是个很棒的跑垒者， 过去三季分别有 27 38 20次盗垒，他过去三季打击率：.312 .293 .300，而且他的 传球臂力很好。他在去年九月升上大联盟扩编之後也没有让人失望，10-33，有3只 二垒安打和1只三垒安打。他有6-2，200磅的体型，这让他得以胜任每天先发的 大联盟外野手任务。就算他的地板没那麽低，在四号或五号外野手位置上他还是能够 有着产出。他在小联盟已经没啥好证明的了，他今年在响尾蛇可以扮演着具有影响力 的角色。 Why He’s Not Ranked in the Top Three: Brito has a similar problem to the aforementioned Peter O’ Brien: barring injury, Peralta, Pollock, and Tomas have a stranglehold on the three starting outfield spots, so Brito is far from guaranteed a spot on the Opening Day roster. His most likely realities are a bench role, another stint in the minors, or perhaps starts against right-handed pitching. Brito has also been bitten by the strikeout bug in the past as he fanned 124 times in 129 games and 523 at-bats in 2013 and then whiffed 109 more times last season, and it might not hurt him to boost his walks and on-base percentage, especially if he wants to stick at the top of the lineup. He drew just 29 free passes last year and 37 in 2013, and his career OBP is a modest .333. Still, there are few weaknesses to Brito’s overall game and identifying any feels like nitpicking. 为什麽他没进前三： Brito和前面提过（还没提啦）的 O'Brien有着一样的问题： 除了伤势之外。Peralta，Pollock和Tomas在三个外野手位置很稳，所以Brito离稳稳 的在开季先发还很远。他最有可能的角色是从板凳出发，或是先回小联盟，或是对上 右投先发。Brito过去也被三振困扰着：他2013在523打数129场被三振了124次，去年 被三振了109次，所以提高他的保送三振比对他来说不是坏事，尤其他如果想要在 轮值圈前面继续待着的话。他去年只有凹到29次保送，2013年37次，然後他的生涯 上垒率.333就普通而已。他的确有一些缺点，不过列出这些感觉就像鸡蛋挑骨头一样 而已。 3. Jamie Westbrook, second baseman, 20 years old JamieWestbrookWhy He’s in the Top Three: Westbrook is a local product who hails from Basha High School in Chandler, Arizona. He was drafted by the Diamondbacks in the fifth round of the 2013 draft and his rise through the minors has been meteoric. He had a solid debut year as an 18-year-old in 2013, batting .281 with a .356 on-base percentage, 11 doubles, eight triples, and four steals over 250 plate appearances and 57 total games with the Diamondbacks Summer League and Pioneer League affiliates at the Rookie ball level. That performance earned him a promotion to full-season ball at Single A South Bend for 2014, where his overall average was mediocre (.259), but he displayed a lot of extra-base hitting ability (27 doubles, eight homers, four doubles) and hit .285 with a .344 OBP in the second half of the season. Last year at Visalia was Westbrook’s coming-out party, especially in the power department. He walloped 17 home runs while hitting .319, slugging .510, and contributing 33 doubles. The 17 longballs could normally be taken with a grain of salt due to the hitter-friendly nature of Visalia, except that Westbrook is small at 5-9, 170, so the power display was unexpected. Even better, he only struck out 69 times and his contact rate remained high and consistent. Scouts don’t see him as any better than a utility player, but if he continues his power surge, I don’t see any reason why he couldn’t be an everyday player for the Diamondbacks at a position that is severely-weak organizationally and offensively-challenged league-wide. 为什麽他在前三：Westbrook是个当地的 Chandler出生的孩子。他在2013年第五轮被 响尾蛇选上，整个小联盟生涯都算中规中矩。他第一年18岁打得不错，.281打击率， .356上垒率，11二安，8三安，250打盗垒4次，总共57场的新秀和夏季联盟。这样的表现 让他可以在2014年完整球季被升到South Bend的A等级，他的打击率算普通，（.259） 不过他展现出他可以打长打的能力；27只二安，8只全垒打，4三安，而且後半季打了 .285打击率加上.344上垒率。去年他在Visalia就整个大爆发，特别是长出泡瓦。他 总共干了17发全垒打，.319打击率，长打率.51，还有33只二安。虽然说17只全垒打在 Visalia这种打者的球队有些水分，但因为他只有5-身高170磅，这种泡瓦是没有被 料到的。他只有被三振69次，他碰到球的比率还是很高且稳定。球探们不认为他会 长得比工具人更好了，但如果他可以继续长泡瓦，我不认为有什麽看坏他可以变成 先发球员的发展，尤其响尾蛇目前在一个不管是联盟或球队本身都需要打击能力的 状况。 JamieWestbrook2Why He’s Not in the Top Two: Westbrook doesn’t turn 21 until June 18th and the big-league club already has a surplus of options in the middle infield. Moreover, Westbrook’s tiny frame doesn’t do him a lot of favors, he’s viewed as an average defender who isn’t elite at anything, and his plate patience leaves a bit to be desired (85 walks and a .339 on-base percentage in the minors). He’s also not much of a threat to steal bases (career-high 14 last year, but only 10 total in the prior two years), although he is said to have sneaky speed. His offensive prowess is going to keep him on the radar and he will start the 2016 season as one of the youngest players in the Southern League. 为什麽他还没办法进前二：他在今年6月18日之前都还没满21岁，而且敝队在大联盟 位置上已经有超多人选。更甚者，西河的体型没有给他太多好处，他被认为只是个 平均的防守者，没有什麽太特殊的项目。他在打击区上的耐性还有有强化的空间 （85次保送，.339上垒率）。他也不是什麽盗垒强者，（生涯最高年度就是去年的 14次，不过前两年总共也才10次）虽然他据称有很快的速度。他的进功能例会让他 继续在各方的雷达上，并让他能够在南方联盟成为最年轻的球员之一。 2. Archie Bradley, right-handed pitcher, 23 years old ArchieBradley3Why He’s in the Top Two: The seventh overall pick of the 2011 draft after committing to play both football and baseball at the University of Oklahoma, Bradley has long been not just one of the Diamondbacks’ best prospects, but one of the best prospects in all of the majors. He has terrific stuff that is at times overpowering: a fastball in the low-to-mid 90s that has reached as high as 98 mph, a mid-80s changeup, and a devastaing curveball. His first full season in the minors, at Single A South Bend in 2012, was nothing shy of dominant. He struck out 152 and allowed opponents to hit just .181 off of him in 136 innings that year, then preceded to fan 162 and allow a .215 BAA as an encore performance spread over Visalia and Mobile in 2013, including a 43-strikeout, four-earned run effort in five games and 28 2/3 innings at the former level. Bradley received his first promotion to the Diamondbacks when they placed him on the Opening Day roster out of spring training start in 2015 and – in his debut outing – he held the Dodgers to one hit and in six innings while also striking out six and walking four. He had a fruitful first three starts at the big-league level, amassing a 1.45 ERA, allowing just seven hits, and striking out 12 in 18 2/3 innings. Bradley had proven to be every bit of the hype (and then some) that had surrounded him since he was drafted, and it was merely a matter of when he would be fronting Arizona’s rotation. 为什麽他在前两名：2011年第七顺位被选，而且是在他已经答应Oklahoma大学打 美式足球和棒球之後，他已经被认为不只是响尾蛇的头号新秀之一，还是整个大联盟 的头号新秀。他有着很棒的 stuff，有些时候甚至是压倒性的：速球在low和mid 90s ，最高可以到98mph，mid 80变速球还有一颗很威的变速球。他的第一个完整小联盟 球季在 2012 A的 South Bend，就是整个杀爆。他136局中三振了152次，对手打击率 只有.215，并且在2013年的 Visalia和Mobile复制了差不多的成绩，尤其在前面那 个等级，28.3局五场，喷了43K，和4分责失分的表现。Archie在2015年赢得了第一次 上大联盟的机会 --- 被纳入开幕阵容之中。他的第一次先发就在六局之中只让躲人 打出一只安打，三振6保送4。他的前三次先发是很威的1.45防御率，只被打七只安打， 并在18.2局中三振了12个人次。 Archie已经证明了各种他在被选以来的期待和宣传， 现在只差他到底什麽时候会进想响尾蛇前面轮值圈而已。 Why He’s Not #1: Given the adversity that Bradley has been through over the last couple of seasons, he’s either going to be a major boom or a massive bust. It feels like there is no in-between with him at this point, and I doubt there would be much argument if I placed Bradley in the #1 spot of these rankings or left him off the top ten list altogether. His 2014 season was largely trashed by a UCL injury to his elbow; he only pitched 83 innings (which included his rehab assignment in the Arizona Summer League), registering a 4.45 ERA, 75 strikeouts, and 76 hits allowed in 83 innings. His opponents batting average ballooned to .248, he walked 48, and his WHIP was 1.51. His 2015 season didn’t end up any better following the rousing first three games. Bradley took a line drive off his face in the second inning of his fourth start against the Rockies on April 28th, missed approximately three weeks, and returned appearing gun-shy. He would make just four more starts in the majors the rest of the season, lasting just 15 2/3 innings, allowing 19 runs on 27 hits, issuing 11 free passes, and striking out nine. He had another disabled list stint for shoulder inflammation, then continued to struggle in the minors. Even before the injuries, the biggest knock on Bradley was his wildness. He has walked 212 batters over 402 1/3 innings in the minors, and he had a career-high 84 walks in his first season in 2012. For the Diamondbacks, he walked 11 in his first three starts and his overall strikeout-to-walk ratio in the majors is 23-22 in 35 2/3 innings. He enters spring training this year having to fight for the #5 spot in the Opening Day rotation with a host of candidates, although I think his still-sheer ceiling will get him the job. If it doesn’t, he’ll probably be in Reno again, where I wonder if the hitter’s environment and any struggles would kill whatever remaining confidence he has. Bradley isn’t 24 until August, but this feels like a now or never scenario for him. 为什麽他没有第一：在过去两年衰小的球季之後，他不是整组爆炸就是会超威。在目前 看起来好像没有什麽有在这两者中间的可能，而且我觉得我把他摆在这个列表的第一 ，或是把他丢出十名之外其实都可以。他2014年球季差不多都因为 UCL伤势废掉了， 整年只丢了83局（还包含亚历桑那夏季联盟复健）4.45防御率，75次三振，74只安打， 对手打击率喷到.248。他的2015年球季在很杀的前三场之後也没多好，他在4月28日 第四次先发对上洛矶的第二局被平飞球尻到，三个礼拜後才回来而且感觉有点怕。 他之後只在大联盟投了四场先发，然後只撑了15.2局，总共19分和27只安打，11次保 送，9K。他後来还育到了肩膀伤势，然後在小联盟投得很抖。就算在这些伤势之前， 他最大的问题是他狂野的投球。他在402.1局的小联盟总计投了212次保送，并且在 2012第一个球季就喷了生涯最高的84次保送。在响尾蛇阵中，他前三次三振投了11次 保送，他的总共35.2局之中三振保送是23-22。他今年是在准备跟很多人抢五号先发 ，虽然我认为他会单纯因为他的天花板（很高）所以抢到这个工作。如果他没抢到， 他可能又会回 Reno (AAA)，那里我认为这麽偏打者的联盟会因为任何的挣扎状况就 杀光了他所有的自信。Archie在八月之前都还没满24，不过现在看起来就是一个要嘛 现在要嘛一辈子就没了的状况。 1. Braden Shipley, right-handed pitcher BrandonShipleyWhy He’s #1: The 15th overall pick of the 2013 draft, the former University of Nevada product was primarily a shortstop for his first two seasons in college, but his talent as a pitcher had always been evident. He transitioned to the mound for good as a junior in 2012 and had immediate results. He dominated his initial season to the tune of 88 strikeouts, 73 hits, a 2.20 ERA, and just three home runs allowed covering 98 1/3 innings and then followed that up with 102 strikeouts, a 2.77 ERA, 84 hits, and just four homers allowed over 107 1/3 innings in his senior season. He also spent time as a reliever in the Alaska League in the summer of 2012, where he was lights-out for 17 innings. In 2013, he struggled over two levels of Single A ball, walking 14 and allowing 22 earned runs in 39 2/3 innings, but his last two seasons (3.86 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 126 innings spanning Visalia, South Bend, and Mobile in 2014 and a 3.50 ERA and 118 strikeouts in a career-high 156 2/3 innings for the BayBears last year) have been solid. 为什麽他是第一： 2013年的第一轮十五顺位，内华达大学毕业的他在大学的前两个球季主要都是游击手， 不过他一直以来都有当投手的天赋。他大三球季也就是2012年转换成投手然後马上就 发光发热了。他在第一季98.1局就喷了88次三振，73安打，2.20防御率，只被打了三 只全垒打。他大四球季107.1局只被打84只安打，102次三振，2.77防御率，只有四只 全垒打。他也在2012年跑去打阿拉斯加夏季联盟当後援投手，投了17局。2013年， 他在两个等级的A联盟都有点斗，39.2局投了14次报送和22分自责分，不过他过去两 季都不错，Visalia和South Bend和Mobile总共126局投了3.86防御率，127次三振， 126局；隔一年在Mobile投了生涯最高的156.2局，3.50防御率和118次三振。 He is incredibly athletic and has an electric fastball that is consistently in the mid-90s, but has reached as high as 98 mph, a devastating changeup that is one of the best in the minors, looks to be his “out” pitch in the majors, and has a lot of movement, and a plus curveball that has continued to get better. He has minimal wear and tear on his arm due to only pitching ten total innings in his freshman and sophomore seasons with the Wolfpack and his current 6-2, 185-pound frame allows him to fill out and add more power to his arsenal. Worst-case, Shipley will be a reliable #3 starter in the majors, but he has the ceiling of a high-end #2 starter. He’s currently in Diamondbacks camp as a non-roster invitee, but he should start the 2016 regular season at Mobile and earn a promotion to the majors as a September call-up. 他难以置信的运动天份和超的速球可以平均在mid-90，可以最快98mph，一颗很威在 小联盟是最强之一的变速球，看起来是他可以把打者弄出局的球路而且很大，还有 一颗水准以上的曲球，还有可能会变更好的潜力。因为在大一大二只有加起来投了 10局，所以他没什麽手臂耗损，他当前的6-2，185磅体型让他可以再继续变壮。 最糟的状况，Shipley也可以变成一个值得信赖的三号，不过他有可能可以变成 相当强的二号天花板。他当前是响尾蛇春训邀请球员，不过应该会在2016年在 Mobile开始球季然後九月被叫上来观光。 Braden ShipleyWhy He Could Be Lower: His progression through the minors has been slow and his curveball and secondary pitches still need refining, but – then again – none of this is surprising considering that 2016 will only be his fifth season as a full-time pitcher. He’s still more of a thrower than a pitcher, he doesn’t always finish his delivery, and his fastball could use more movement. His biggest problem is his command and control, especially with the curveball; he has issued 42 and 56 free passes over the past two seasons and he walked as many as 40 in his tenure at Nevada. His strikeout rate per nine innings dipped from 9.07 in 2014 to 6.78 in 2015 and his strikeout to walk ratio was a career-low 2.11. Still, there is plenty to like about Shipley and he should only get better as he gains experience. This writing ranks him as the Diamondbacks top prospect entering 2016 because of his stuff, his athleticism, and the fact that he looks like more of a sure thing at this point than Bradley. 为什麽他有可能比较低：他在小联盟的升级有点慢，而且他的第二种球路还要 继续加强，不过，再说一次，这一点都不意外因为其实2016年只是他生命中第 五个全职投手球季而已。他现在还是比较像在丢球不像在投球，他并没有很常 把他的投球机制做完整，而且他的速球可以再多一点移动。他最大的问题是控 和控制球路，特别市区球。他过去两年投了42和56次保送，而且在Reno他投了 40次保送。他的九局三振率从2014的9.07降到的6.78儿且三振保送比是生涯最 低的2.11。但是，还是有很多可以喜欢他的原因而且他只会在经验增加之後变 强。本文把他摆在第一是因为他的stuff和运动力，而且他目前来说跟 Archie 比起来是比较确定的那一个。 --

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