话说前头 懒得管到底是不是重要的参考资料 反正我就贴贴顺便翻翻赚批币 不想看请按← http://cleatgeeks.com/blog/2016/02/24/snakes-alive-ranking-the-diamondbacks-top-10-prospects-10-5/ 10. Yoan Lopez, right-handed pitcher, 23 years old YoanLopezWhy He’s in the Top Ten: Signed out of Cuba, Lopez agreed to the largest bonus in history for an international amateur at $8.25 million on January 13, 2015. He was coveted by many MLB teams, including the Yankees, Giants, and Padres, mainly because of his stuff and his effective pitching for Isla de Javentud in the Cuban National Series. Over that three-year span when he was between 18 and 20 years of age, he combined to throw 232 innings, allow 235 hits and just ten home runs, and strike out 117 batters while posting a 3.76 ERA. His final season in Cuba in 2013 was his bet yet, when he surrendered 17 earned runs and tallied a career-low 11 walks over 49 innings. He has a good, moving fastball that consistently started out in the low 90s, but can now reach the mid-90s thanks to the size and strength he has added to a relatively small, 6-3, 195 pound frame, to go along with a plus side-arm slider that can be very difficult on right-handed hitters. At the time he was signed, he was only given a minor-league contract, but the Diamondbacks invited him to spring training and general manager Dave Stewart expected him to legitimately compete for a spot in the Opening Day starting rotation. 为什麽他在前十： 从古巴签来，Lopez在2015年一月13号签了史上国际业余球员最高的的825万签约 金。他之前被很多MLB球队追，包含养鸡、巨人和教士，主要的原因是因为他的 stuff和他为古巴国内联赛的sla de Javentud有效率的投球。在他18~20岁的这 三年之间，他投了232局，被打了235只安打，只有十只全垒打三振了117位打者， 同时有着3.76ERA。他在2013年也就是最後一年在古巴的球季更加出色，49局只有投 出生涯最低的11次保送，17分自责分。他速球很好而且会移动，大部分稳定的在 low-90不过因为他的相对小只6-3，190磅的骨架所以可以投到mid-90，加上一颗 对右投而言可能会很难打的侧投滑球。在他被签的当下，他只有被签小联盟约， 不过响尾蛇因请他到春训来，且GM Dave Steward期待他能够加入竞争开幕先发轮值 的行列中。 Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: Lopez ended up starting the 2015 season with the AA Mobile YoanLopez2BayBears, but he never really got on track. Over ten games, he went just 1-6 and allowed 46 hits, 27 earned runs, and 24 walks in 48 innings. He battled through a blister and elbow soreness, and he took an unexpected leave of absence from the BayBears in July. Control and command has always been an issue for Lopez; in his first two years for Isla de Javentud, he walked more batters than he struck out (109 to 89) and had elevated WHIPs (1.63 and 1.59). He also hit 11 batters in 2012 and – in Cuba ’s 18U National League in 2011 – he ranked second in walks (45) and third in wild pitches (9) despite dominant numbers elsewhere (1.74 ERA and 88 strikeouts over 77 1/3 innings). He’s a huge wild card with limited upside; he’s capable of being a starting pitcher in the middle to back end of the rotation, but he’s more likely to be a shut-down reliever in the seventh or eighth inning mainly due to his fastball and slider. His changeup and curveball are average at best. Unless Lopez develops a consistent third pitch, harnesses his control with his fastball, and really dominates the minors, I don’t see him having an impact for the Diamondbacks in 2016. The big-league pitching staff is deep and has a lot of options with more upside. 为什麽他没有排更高：Lopez後来在AA的Mobile开始他的球季，不过他从来没有在 该在的轨道上。在十场比赛中，他只有1胜6败，48局被打了46只安打，27自责分， 还有24次保送。他遇到了水泡和手肘的伤势，而且他在七月无预警的暂时离队。 控球对他一直都是问题：他在古巴的前两个球季，他保送得比三振得还多（109对89） 且WHIP相当高（1.63和1.59）。他在2012也投了11个触身球，而在古巴十八岁以下的 联盟的2011年球季中，他在保送排名第二（45），暴投第三（9）虽然其他方面还蛮 宰制的。（77.1局内1.74防御率和88次三振）他是个具有有限优势的外卡球员、他 可以变成一个轮值圈後段或中万的先发，不过看起他应该更像个因为他的速球和 滑球，变成个可以封锁打者的七或八局後援。他的变速球和曲球就顶多普通而已。 除非Lopez长出个稳定的第三的球路，并且找到控制速球的方法，还有真的在小联盟 宰制，我不认为他能够在2016能对大联盟有什麽战局影响力。目前的大联盟投手们 阵容很深、有很多可以选的而且优点更多。 9. Peter O’Brien, catcher/infielder/outfielder, 25 years old peterO'Brien1Why He’s in the Top Ten: Originally selected by the Yankees as the 94th overall pick in the 2012 draft and then shipped to the Diamondbacks in a 2014 trade deadline deal featuring infielder Martin Prado, O’Brien is coveted simply because he has extraordinary power. He has smashed 92 total home runs in 408 games and 1,548 at-bats in the minor leagues, including 34 alone for three different teams during the 2014 season, and he’s pounded at least ten jacks in all of his minors seasons. He participated in the 2015 Triple A All-Star Game as a member of the Reno Aces, finishing as the runner-up with 20 total homers. Additionally, he has 107 doubles on his register, with a career-high 39 coming at the Single A level in 2013 and another 35 coming last year. He’s been known to put up decent walk rates (41 in 2013 and 31 in 2014) and his career on-base percentage isn’t horrible (.323). He drove in 107 runs in 2015, his first time reaching the triple-digit plateau in that category. 为什麽他在前十：本来是被洋基2012年全部94顺位选，他在2014年因为那个Prado 交易被送来响尾蛇。 O'Brien被人期待就因为他有非一般的炮瓦。他在小联盟 的408场比赛，1548个打数共干了92只全垒打，包含2014在三个不同队伍总共干了 34只。他小联盟球季每一季都至少干了十发。他2015在Reno Aces被选进AAA明星赛， 总共干了20只全垒打。他总共生涯打了107只二安，生涯最多是2013年在A的39只， 後一年则是35只。他的保送率还可以，（2013年41，2014年31）他的生涯上垒率也 不差。他在2015年首次打了到达三位数的107分打点。 Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: As is the case with every power hitter of O’ Brien’s caliber, he is one dimensional. He has struck out 431 times in his minor-league career, and he has topped 120 Ks in each of the last three seasons. He has no speed to speak of (one stolen base, caught five times) and his walk rate could still improve (he walked a meager 21 times in 2014). His glove leaves much to be desired and he lacks a true position anyway. He has primarily been behind the plate and that is where the Diamondbacks wanted him to stick, especially since they are in sorely need of talent and depth at that spot, but they scrapped that experiment with O’ Brien in May of 2014 and converted him into a full-time outfielder instead. The three current starters in the major-league outfield – David Peralta, A.J. Pollock, and Yasmany Tomas – are locked in for the distant future, and Socrates Brito and Gabby Guerrero are probably first in the wings in the event that one or more of the incumbents goes down to injury. If O’Brien is going to be in the field, he is best-suited for first base, but that spot is taken by Paul Goldschmidt, one of the five best players in all of baseball. Given his overall pedigree and his enormous build (he’s 6-4, 235), he logically projects as a designated hitter. Unless he figures out how to catch, he doesn’t fit the Diamondbacks and – quite frankly – it is a shock that he’s still in the organization. He might scratch out a spot on the bench on the Opening Day roster in 2016, but he more than likely will languish in Reno, where he has nothing to prove. 为什麽他没有排更高：在和他一样有泡瓦的人一样，他就只强这项。他在小联盟生涯 总共被三振了431次，过去三个球季每季都被三振120次以上。他也没有任何速度可言。 （一次盗垒，五次被抓到）他的保送率可以再加强。他的守备还有进步空间而不管怎样 他没有什麽天然属於他的位置。他之前有主要在本垒板接球过，这也是响尾蛇当初 把他弄来想要他的位置，尤其是当年他们非常需要那个位置有天份的球员，不过他们 发现这O'Brien的实验炸裂所以在2014年五月开始把他转成全职的外野手。不过现在 响尾蛇大联盟有三个：Pollock、Peralta和Tomas，而且短期内都不会变。就算有人 受伤，Brito和Gabby Guererro还是在第一波补上去的名单。如果他要上场守备的话 他的最好的位置是一垒手，不过你也知道那个位置现在被一个叫GoldSchmidt的那个 大概是全联盟前五强的球员站着。以他的出身跟大只程度，他理论上最好的位置是 DH。除非他在接球方面开窍，响尾蛇并不是个适合他的地方，而且老实说，他现在 还在敝队其实都让人有点惊讶。他可能会在开幕战的板凳某处，不过更有可能回去 那个叫Reno的地方，而且在那边他也没啥能进步的了。 8. Brandon Drury, infielder, 23 years old BrandonDrury2Why He’s in the Top Ten: Acquired from the Braves on January 24, 2013 in the blockbuster trade involving Justin Upton, Drury is a contact and line drive hitter, as he has hit .285 over 2,487 at-bats in the minor leagues. His two best seasons are 2013, when he posted a .302 batting average with 15 home runs, 51 doubles, and four triples at Single A South Bend; and 2014, when he posted a .300 average with 19 home runs and 35 doubles in 107 games at High A Visalia. He also had a strong 2015 season spanning AA Mobile and AAA Reno, hitting .303 with 40 doubles and 159 total base hits, although his power dipped considerably (five total homers). He has a good eye and discipline at the plate, drawing a career-high 48 walks while posting a .362 on-base percentage in 2013 and registering a .384 OBP over 63 games and 251 at-bats at Reno last season. For his minor-league career, he has walked a total of 162 times and has a .334 on-base percentage, and he has not reached the 100-strikeout mark in any minor-league season. The Diamondbacks called Drury up to the majors for the first time on September 1st of 2015. 为什麽他在前十：从那个2013年着名的 Justin Upton的勇士交易盘来，Drury他 就是一个把球打结实和打平飞球的打者。他在小联盟的2487个打术打了.285的打击率 他最好的两个球季是A的2013，.302打击率，十五发和51只二垒安打，四只三安： 还有2014在High A的.300打率，19发和35只二安。2015在AA和AAA总共.303打率40 二安和159只安打，不过泡瓦就少了不少（五发）他选球不错而且对好球带判断很好 ，2013年凹了生涯最高的48次保送和.362上垒率，去年则是在Ren63场，251次打击有 .384上垒率。在他的小联盟生涯中，他总共凹了162次保送，.334上垒率，而且他从 来没有被三振超过一百次过。响尾蛇在2015年九月一号第一次拉他上来。 Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: Take away his performance at Reno and Drury’s 2015 season is BrandonDrurylargely unimpressive. The Aces play at a high elevation in the notorious hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, so any top hitting prospects should have impressive offensive numbers at that level. Drury put up a .278 average with 14 doubles in 273 at-bats and 63 games overall at Mobile, but he batted just .250 with a sub-.300 OBP in his first 85 plate appearances, and his power all but disappearing (especially at Reno) is a major concern since that was the primary aspect of his game that caused his prospect stock to rise in the first place. Visalia is also in a hitters’ league – the California League – so the 19 jacks that Drury had there can probably be considered a fluke. His swing is choppy and his hardest hit balls tend to be line drives right at infielders. He lacks speed (17 stolen bases, 17 caught stealings in the minors) and he has a below-average arm. His lack of strikeouts and his consistent contact should allow him to stick in the majors, but he doesn’t have a true position. His power potential and quick hands and footwork on defense probably make him a better fit for third base, but the Diamondbacks already have 26-year-old Jake Lamb entrenched there full-time. Second base is probably the organization’s weakest spot, but Arizona just acquired Jean Segura to play there and they also have Chris Owings as an option at the position. 为什麽他没有排更前面：不算Reno，他的2015年球季其实他没有表现很好。Reno在 恶名昭彰的高海拔偏打者太平洋岸联盟，所以任何很前面的新秀都应该在这联盟有 很威的打击表现。Drury在Mobile的273打席，63场是.278打率，14只安。不过他前 85个PA只有.250和低於.300的上垒率。他的泡瓦不见了（尤其在Reno）而他之所以 会突然被注意到一开始就是因为他的泡瓦。Visalia一样也是打者联盟（加州联盟） 所以19发可能只是个假象。他会砍球而且打最强的球通常都是喷向内野手那种。 他没有速度（17次盗垒，17次被抓）而且他的臂力也低於平均。他的低三振率和 碰球能力应该可以让他待在大联盟，不过他没有什麽真正的位置。他的泡瓦潜力 和防守的快手、脚步可能会让他比较适合三垒，不过响尾蛇已经有个叫做羊的26 岁三垒手，而且会在那里待着。二垒手可能是整最弱的位置，不过响尾蛇刚盘来 Segura，而且Owings也会是个那位置的选项。 累了晚点翻 XD 7. Silvino Bracho, right-handed pitcher, 23 years old SilvinoBrachoWhy He’s in the Top Ten: Born in Venezuela, Bracho has somehow failed to grab a lot of headlines despite ascending through the minors rapidly. He was at Single A South Bend as recently as 2014, where he had 70 strikeouts, just eight walks, and a WHIP of 0.76 covering 43 1/3 innings. He started 2015 at High A Visalia, where 14 strikeouts, one hit, and one walk earned him a promotion to Mobile after six games. With the BayBears, he surrendered just nine free passes and ten runs while striking out 59 over 44 2/3 innings. The Diamondbacks called him up to the big leagues for the first time on August 30th, 2015 and he didn’t miss a beat there, either. He allowed two runs (both on homers), issued four walks, and struck out 17 over 12 1/3 innings. His full minor league career reads like this: a 1.52 ERA, 28 runs allowed, 211 strikeouts, a .193 opponents’ batting average, and 26 walks spanning 148 1/3 innings. Simply put, Bracho has been lights-out at every level of professional baseball he has played and has given little reason to doubt his ability to be a fixture in a major-league bullpen for many years to come. He’s not overpowering, but his four seam fastball hovers in the low-90s and is mixed with a slider that touches the low-80s, a cut fastball, a curveball, and a slider. He’s also able to change speeds effectively, as his curve and slider can be thrown as low as 79 mph. He’s the Diamondbacks closer of the future. Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: He won’t be a prospect for much longer because he is likely in the SilvinoBracho2majors for good. He had a high chance of pitching in high-leverage situations for the Diamondbacks in 2016 before they signed veteran setup man Tyler Clippard, but he will now likely have to settle for a role as a middle to back-end reliever in the immediate future. Also, no matter how strong his credentials are, the upside of a relief pitcher like Bracho is always going to be limited because he probably won’t be pitching more than one or two innings unless he is a long man, and he’s a bit susceptible to the longball (eight total homers in the minors, three in each of the last two years). 6. Zach Godley, right-handed pitcher, 25 years old Godley1Why He’s in the Top Ten: Drafted by the Cubs in the tenth round of the 2013 draft out of Tennessee, he was picked up by the Diamondbacks on December 9, 2014 as part of a trade that Arizona made mostly to dump the bloated salary of catcher Miguel Montero, so expectations of Godley were incredibly low. He preceded to break out in 2015, compiling a 2.27 ERA, 78 strikeouts, 19 walks, and a .228 opponents batting average in 14 games (12 starts) and 75 1/3 innings at High A Visalia before earning his first promotion to the majors on July 23. Godley would become the first starting pitcher since 1900 to pitch at least six innings, walk none, and strike out at least seven in his MLB debut, and he would surrender just three total runs while striking out 17 in 18 innings over his first three starts. Overall, he would finish his big-league season with a 5-1 record, a 3.19 ERA, 34 strikeouts, and a .227 opponents batting average covering 36 2/3 innings and nine appearances (six starts). Like Bracho, he’s not overpowering, but he has four reliable pitches with considerable movement and he can change speeds well. He features cutting and sinking fastballs that reach 91 and 92 mph, respectively, and he includes a changeup and curveball that are each in the low-80s. His four-seam fastball can hit as high as 93 mph, but he rarely displays it. Both his change and his curve are high swing and miss pitches. Why He’s Not Ranked Higher: Considering he had never advanced beyond Single A before last godley2season, Godley is pretty old (he turns 26 on April 21st) and not likely to get much better. He can have difficulty throwing strikes (24 walks and a 1.32 WHIP in 55 1/3 innings over two levels of A ball in 2014 and at least two walks in four of his six starts with the Diamondbacks – including six in just 3 2/3 innings in a September 4th start), his cut fastball velocity and secondary pitches are largely uninspiring despite all the movement, and he seemed to benefit from tremendous luck last season. Also, despite starting 23 of the 30 games he pitched in during the 2016 season, all 54 of his appearances covering the 2013 and 2014 seasons were out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks optioned him down to Mobile on August 5th in an effort to conserve his arm, but he still ended up shattering his previous career-high in innings by approximately 80. Godley will enter spring training of 2016 in a crowded competition for the #5 spot in the rotation and that is probably his ceiling. Still, it’s difficult to complain about what Godley brings to the table when he was originally nothing more than a throw-in to a salary dump. --

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