作者hsiuchuanwin (win)
看板Economics
标题Re: [讨论] 美国利率与美国股市
时间Tue Aug 1 08:47:43 2006
※ 引述《phelyl (残念......)》之铭言:
: 美国利率的升息和降息常常是财经媒体的焦点
: 可是有一个矛盾我不太懂想请教版友
: 调升利率不是要在经济循环处於成长状态才会这样做以抑制经济过热
: 而美国调升利率
: 不正代表了美国的经济状态很好
: 但相反的
: 最近却听到美国的经济成长走缓所以要调降利率
: 调降利率不是会降低资金的成本对股市是利多
: 那如果要投资美股
: 是要在美国调升利率的状况下较佳
: 还是调降利率的状况下较佳
: 这个问题一直困惑我很久了
: 请版友解惑
: 谢谢(如果有或是前文有请提示一下,我找了但是好像没找到要不然就是看不懂)
As economy (market) is boom, the inflation would be likely to increase.
Hence, the Fed would increase interest rate to restrain economy and inflation.
In contrast, if economy is recession, the Fed would lower interest rate to
increase investment and push economy.
Thus, if you get information about an increase in interest rate, you should
know stock market would go to a bear market. In contrast, if you know the Fed
will lower interest rate, you should know stock market would go to a bull
market. As I know, the relationship between interest rate and stock market is
negative.
Best regards.
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