作者swallow73 (吃素,减碳,救地球)
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标题[评论] Over and out, Hillary
时间Thu May 8 09:48:23 2008
Over and out, Hillary
US elections 08: Obama has outpolled, outmanoeuvred, out-fundraised and
out-organised the Clintons, but she never looked a winner
http://tinyurl.com/5twqqq
The Guardian
Niall Stanage
It's all over bar the shouting. The most remarkable party nomination battle
in a generation, joined four months ago in the snows of Iowa, was brought to
a de facto end on a balmy spring day yesterday.
Hillary Clinton, five hundred miles away in Indianapolis, told her supporters
"It's full speed on to the White House". But even she cannot really believe
it.
She had gone in to yesterday's contests in North Carolina and Indiana hoping
for what she called a "game changer". The game changed alright. But the
results were a mirror image of what she had hoped for, propelling Barack
Obama tantalisingly close to the finish line.
Clinton needed, at a minimum, a landslide in Indiana and a close enough
result to claim a moral victory in North Carolina. Instead, Obama crushed her
by 14 points in North Carolina, while she had to wait until the early hours
of this morning to be declared a skin-of-the-teeth winner in Indiana.
Clinton's hopes of running her younger opponent close in the pledged delegate
race were slim even before yesterday's contests. They have now been
extinguished.
But the results were even more devastating because they kicked the legs out
from under the arguments she and her aides had been making to Democratic
Party superdelegates.
The Clintonistas had argued that the sheen had finally come off Obama in
recent weeks and that he was fatally flawed as a presidential election
candidate. But the Illinois senator proved his resilience, performing much
more strongly in Indiana than in the demographically comparable state of
Pennsylvania two weeks ago - and this despite the bizarre re-emergence of his
controversial former preacher, Jeremiah Wright, in the interim.
The Clinton camp had also insisted that Obama was unable to bring together
the traditional Democratic coalition, his support among African-Americans
allegedly offset by a disastrous weakness among whites.
But Obama, even at this supposed low ebb, still won 40% of white votes in
Indiana. And if the former first lady's supporters would still claim this to
be too poor a showing, there is a rather obvious rebuttal: around 90% of
African-Americans in both states yesterday supported Obama. Exactly where
does Clinton get the idea that she would be best at weaving together the
traditional strands of her party's support when she can persuade only one in
ten blacks to back her?
The former first lady may well fight on until the primaries end on June 3 -
unless, of course, the financial strains that caused her to lend her campaign
more than $6 million over the last month force her out before then. But the
result - barring some catastrophe of unimaginable scale hitting Obama - is no
longer in doubt.
Clinton will soon have time to reflect on the reasons why she was vanquished
in a contest she was expected to win easily. Much of the blame must lie with
her campaign, which took too long to offer a compelling rationale for her
candidacy, failed her organisationally (especially in caucus states), and
seemed awash in a sense of entitlement that turned voters off.
The former first lady was also, truth be told, a candidate with serious
weaknesses.
Poll after poll showed that even Democrats viewed her as fundamentally less
honest than Obama. Her apparent enthusiasm for the dark side of politics -
"This is the fun part," she famously said as the campaign turned negative in
the run-in to Iowa - rankled.
And, covering the campaign, I lost count of the number of times I heard some
variation of the comment made to me by Karen Cox, a part-time realtor who
showed up to see Michelle Obama speak in Charlotte on the eve of polling.
Referring to Clinton, Cox said succinctly, "She lacks authenticity."
Yet, parsing the weaknesses of the Clinton campaign only tells half the story
of this remarkable election. And it risks blocking out the sheer
extraordinariness of Barack Obama's achievement. A man who was toiling in
obscurity in the Illinois state legislature four years ago is on the brink of
defeating the dynasty that has dominated Democratic politics for almost two
decades.
He has outpolled, outmanoeuvred, out-fundraised and out-organised the
Clintons.
But that alone is not what makes Obama special. He has done what the former
first lady could never have done: held out the promise of a politics that
transcends division, that does not get down in the mud but calls voters to a
higher purpose, that strains for decency and even, on occasion, nobility.
Clinton promised to play the same old game better than anyone else. Obama
said the game itself could be changed.
"Don't ever forget that we have a choice in this country," he said at the
conclusion of his victory speech in the Reynolds Coliseum here last night.
"We can choose not to be divided... we can choose not to be afraid... we can
still choose this moment to finally come together and solve the problems
we've talked about all those other years and all those other elections.
"This time can be different than all the rest."
Can it? Time - and a long, punishing general election campaign - will tell.
But, last night, it seemed at last that the answer might indeed be: yes, it
can.
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