作者going70 (心静止水)
看板IA
标题[转录]Re: [讨论] 替缅甸风灾的灾民集气吧
时间Wed May 14 09:06:13 2008
※ [本文转录自 Gossiping 看板]
作者: Morbert () 站内: Gossiping
标题: Re: [讨论] 替缅甸风灾的灾民集气吧
时间: Wed May 14 06:22:04 2008
真的要集气了....
凌晨两点北印度洋有新热带低压(96B)形成，
而且有机会快速增强为今年北印度洋第二个气旋(气旋=台风，地区不同称号也不一样)
不过，这个编号９６Ｂ的热带低压目前中心刚登陆伊洛瓦底江三角洲，
没错，就是上一个气旋酿灾的地点.....
所以那边现在应该正在狂风暴雨＠＠
以下附上JTWC的预报...
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/image_archives/2008/io962008.08051318.gif
路径图..
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5N 96.1E TO 19.4N 92.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 131800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 16.7N 95.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 121210Z SSMI
MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATE PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING
OF CONVECTION AT THE WESTERN END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER,
MORE RECENTLY, CONVECTION HAS WANED SOMEWHAT IN RESPONSE TO LAND
INTERACTION.
THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY TRANSITING
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE YANGON DELTA REGION OF MYANMAR.
OBSERVATIONS FROM YANGON AS OF 131300Z, SUPPORT A 25 TO 30 KNOT
CIRCULATION WITH SEA LEVEL PRESSURES NEAR 1000 MB (3 MB PRESSURE
FALLS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS) AND SUSTAINED WINDS AT 10 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. A PARTIAL 130301Z ASCAT
IMAGE ALSO INDICATES STRONG WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
CENTER WITH SUSTAINED EASTERLIES TO THE NORTH, FURTHER PROOF OF
CYCLONIC TURNING. THE CENTER CURRENTLY LIES UNDER LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVOR-
ABLE SOUTHWESTERLY DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THOUGH
THE DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY OVER LAND, MINIMAL DEGRADATION OF THE LOW LEVEL IS
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LOW LYING TOPOGRAPHY AND FAIRLY QUICK TRANSIT
OVER THE LOW-LYING COASTAL REGION OF SOUTHERN MYANMAR. EMERGENCE
INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD WITH THE ONLY LIMITATION BEING
TEMPORARY LAND INTERACTION.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 142030Z.//
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◆ From: 140.122.150.245
1F：推 manphage:天啊 05/14 06:22
※ 编辑: Morbert 来自: 140.122.150.245 (05/14 06:23)
2F：推 liberating:囧 05/14 06:24
3F：推 littlexian:囧.... 吹翻军政府!!! 05/14 06:29
4F：推 Darius1979:拜托.. 去吹暴虐的政府吧 干嘛对人民动手 05/14 06:42
5F：推 Jasy:风应该不大 可是雨呢? 05/14 06:46
6F：推 kidd0601:祈祷 05/14 06:51
7F：→ clouddff7:不知道军政府那批人的房子在哪里...快去吹爆他们 05/14 07:01
8F：推 kuwawa:希望去救难的人不要出事 05/14 07:02
9F：推 KYOUKA:囧！吹倒军政府！！！ 05/14 07:13
10F：推 doyourselff:囧 祈福吧> < 05/14 07:30
11F：推 waternoer:祈福吧 05/14 07:33
12F：推 mikey2:鼓励美帝进攻缅甸，救助苦难的人民 05/14 07:33
13F：推 jadelin:天啊…缅甸现在已经很惨了…… 05/14 07:41
14F：推 clouddff7:军政府竟然还以公投要胁灾民,不投就不给救援物资,缺德 05/14 07:44
15F：推 JSD:地球反扑了 05/14 07:50
16F：推 wangchunyen:进攻缅甸吧!!! 05/14 07:54
17F：→ hyde2002:可不可以跳过灾民的住家,直接去把军政府吹走啊...冏 05/14 07:54
18F：→ rave760422:天灾不断 美帝快消耗过期飞弹吧 05/14 07:54
19F：推 Kamelie:赛! 05/14 07:54
20F：→ yuri533:我只想说 人类真的很渺小 05/14 08:00
21F：推 kalabecha:我开始希望真有蓝波部队出现了@@ 05/14 08:11
22F：推 YTsungL:不把军政府干爆捐再多物资都一样...快点出手啊, 世界警察 05/14 08:12
23F：→ login: 美军该出场啦 杀爆军政府 05/14 08:19
24F：推 AGIknight:! 05/14 08:25
25F：推 smalltwo:混蛋军政府.现在不打垮更待何时 05/14 08:26
26F：推 fireflyyen:灾民快革命吧 囧 横竖都是死路一条… 05/14 08:31
27F：推 clouddff7:美帝:有批蓝波好便宜的,有需要打这个电话 05/14 08:34
28F：推 tomwdc:吹倒军政府！ 05/14 08:34
29F：推 searoar:这不会是最後一个... 05/14 08:42
30F：推 tokyo730714:可怜 如果四川是人间炼狱 缅甸就是超级人间炼狱 05/14 08:45
31F：→ query:祈福吧 Orz 05/14 08:45
32F：推 foreveru:我猜 其实现在北韩应该也有一些天灾才对 05/14 09:05
33F：推 going70:借我转IA 05/14 09:06
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 60.248.194.238
34F：推 NPLNT:不... 希望不要再扩大灾情了 05/14 09:07
35F：推 OmegaWind:妈呀...再来一个就太糟了 05/14 09:14
36F：推 simmon989:推改变路径 吹翻军政府 05/14 13:49