这里的板友应该是没有rule committee的成员。其实真要找人帮忙的话，应该 想办法找有志一同的支持者一起写请愿书拜托rule committee做出对Clinton 女士有利的裁决。 从一般新闻要找到对这两州初选争议发生的来龙去脉做纵观的交待是比较困难的。 或许参考一下维基条目的相关说法，包括Democratic Party (United States) presidential primaries, 2008这项条目的3.3 Nullified primaries部份 (http://tinyurl.com/2fckll)，以及Florida Democratic primary, 2008 (http://tinyurl.com/52ogbe)、Michigan Democratic primary, 2008 (http://tinyurl.com/4v3a7h)两个条目。 另外Michael Tomasky的A Possibly Super Problem虽然对局势的分析比较旧 了(这是三月份的文章)，不过对两州争议初选产生的原因有比较详细的交待， 值得一读。 简单来说，就是在Howard Dean担任主席之後，设立了一个Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC)，业务主要项目之一就是决定初选时程。它的主席是前柯林 顿政府下的劳工部长Alexis Herman跟Franklin Roosevelt的孙子 James Roosevelt Jr。这个委员会的成员目前表态支持Clinton的是略多一些， 可能因此会在5/31号做出对Clinton女士相对有利的裁决；总之至少这个委员 会并不是被一群疯狂热爱Obama的黑人给阴谋占据的，Clinton女士的支持者可以 稍微放心一些。 这个委员会决定Navada跟South Carolina可以加入Iowa与New Hampshire成为 少数可以在2/5号前举行初选的州。 接下来: Other states were unhappy with this decision, notably Florida and Michigan, which have long sought to increase their influence over the nomination. On May 3, 2007, Florida voted to defy the RBC and hold its primary on January 29. In mid-August, Michigan followed suit, moving its primary to January 15. Leaders in both states were warned repeatedly that continued defiance of the DNC could result in at least 50 percent or even 100 percent of any delegates awarded from a primary held in violation of the calendar being "stripped," i.e., excluded from voting at the convention. Not quite believing that the DNC would follow through, neither budged. 虽然两州的民主党人士不相信RBC有胆惩罚他们，不过RBC还是做出来裁决: The vote of the thirty-member committee had only one dissent 只有一票反对票，看来剥除这两州党代表资格的裁决应该也不是黑人的阴谋。 想当然耳，曾在5/2号说过"如果民主党提名人只接受48州党代表支持背书 ，那实在很奇怪"、非常重视这两州民意的Clinton女士应该会气急败坏的马 上跳出来抗议吧。 不过... All of the Democratic campaigns were notified that Florida and Michigan would not count. As far as is known, none protested at the time. Clintno女士当时的竞选经理Patti Solis Doyle甚至还说: We believe Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina play a unique and special role in the nominating process.... We believe the DNC's rules and its calendar provide the necessary structure to respect and honor that role. Thus, we will be signing the pledge to adhere to the DNC approved nominating calendar. 当Clinton女士本人在Iowa跟New Hampshire竞选时，她也对当地的选民说Michigan 跟Florida的初选" "don't count for anything." Clinton女士是什麽时候开始重视起这两州民意的? 并不是在Obama看来对她仍构不成重大挑战的时候，而是在她输掉Iowa、在New Hampshire以2%险胜、以及预期将要在South Carolina大败前夕的1月25日，她说: I believe our nominee will need the enthusiastic support of Democrats in these states to win the general election, and so I will ask my Democratic convention delegates to support seating the delegations from Florida and Michigan. 持平来说，就算最後做出对Clinton女士有利的裁决，Clinton女士也因此胜出； 她吃亏的地方就在於没有趁局势大好时早点提出异议、提出的时候这两州的党代 表是否算数也很刚好的成为她救命的稻草；选民难免会把她看的有点权谋、甚至 有点不择手段。这方面可能造成的伤害跟部份选民的不满，是她得小心处理的。 -- 让原本痛苦、僵化的作文课，变成创意纷飞、想像奔驰、文思泉涌的学习乐园 ---培力作文补习班 http://www.empower.idv.tw/ --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 122.127.66.237 ※ 编辑: swallow73 来自: 122.127.66.237 (05/14 13:27)