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标题[新闻] Obama Declares Bid ‘Within Reach’
时间Wed May 21 16:49:27 2008
标题:Obama Declares Bid 'Within Reach’
新闻来源: 纽约时报
http://tinyurl.com/52lueg (需有正确连结)
By ADAM NAGOURNEY and JEFF ZELENY
Published: May 21, 2008
Senator Barack Obama took a big step toward becoming the Democratic
presidential nominee on Tuesday, amassing enough additional delegates to
claim an all but insurmountable advantage in his race against Senator Hillary
Rodham Clinton.
While Mrs. Clinton’s campaign continued to make a case that she could
prevail, Mr. Obama seized on the results from Democratic contests in Kentucky
and Oregon to move into a new phase of the campaign in which he will face
different challenges. Those include bringing disaffected Clinton supporters
into his camp; winning over elements of the Democratic coalition like
working-class whites, Hispanics and Jews; and fending off attacks from
Senator John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, especially on
national security.
Mr. Obama won easily in Oregon. But his obstacles were underlined by a
lopsided defeat in Kentucky, where just half of the Democratic voters said in
exit polls that they would back him in the general election this fall.
Under the rules used by Democrats, the split decision was enough for Mr.
Obama to secure a majority of the delegates up for grabs in primaries and
caucuses. His campaign has portrayed success in winning those pledged
delegates as the most important yardstick for judging the will of Democratic
voters, and has encouraged superdelegates — elected officials and party
leaders who have an automatic vote at the convention — to fall in line
accordingly.
“We have returned to Iowa with a majority of delegates elected by the
American people, and you have put us within reach of the Democratic
nomination for president of the United States of America,” Mr. Obama said in
an address on Tuesday night, standing in front of a moonlit Capitol in Des
Moines.
Even as Mr. Obama moved closer to making history as the first black
presidential nominee, he stopped short of declaring victory in the Democratic
race, part of a carefully calibrated effort in the remaining weeks of the
contest to avoid appearing disrespectful to Mrs. Clinton and alienating her
supporters. Instead, he offered lavish praise for his rival over 16 months.
“Senator Clinton has shattered myths and broken barriers and changed the
America in which my daughters and your daughters will come of age, and for
that we are grateful to her,” Mr. Obama said.
Mrs. Clinton, declaring victory in Kentucky, made clear that she had no
intention of stepping aside before the Democratic voting ends on June 3. “
This is one of the closest races for a party’s nomination in modern history,
” she said. “We are winning the popular vote, and I am more determined than
ever to see that every vote is cast and every ballot is counted.”
Going into Tuesday, Mr. Obama had 1,915 of the 2,026 pledged delegates and
superdelegates needed to claim the nomination, according to a count and
projection by The New York Times. His campaign estimated that if he simply
held his own in the remaining contests, he would need only 25 more votes from
superdelegates. There are 221 undeclared superdelegates left; Mr. Obama has
been rolling out endorsements on a daily basis.
But even as he moved closer to winning the intensely fought nominating
contest with Mrs. Clinton — a battle suffused with history and the tension
inherent in a campaign defined in part by race and gender — Mr. Obama was
preparing to deal with a series of challenges in the weeks ahead.
He was planning a vigorous schedule of travel to general election states and
a voter registration drive focusing on black voters to offset any losses
among whites. Aides said he was considering delivering another speech to deal
with damage in the primary because of attacks on his relationship with his
former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr., as well as on his patriotism.
“We know we have our work cut out for us,” said Steve Hildebrand, a deputy
campaign manager for Mr. Obama. “But we are up to the task.”
At the same time, Mr. Obama’s aides said they were not concerned with exit
polls showing that he had hemorrhaged white working-class voters to Mrs.
Clinton in Kentucky, mirroring similar findings in Indiana, Pennsylvania and
Ohio. Many Clinton voters in Kentucky said they would stay home or vote for
Mr. McCain in the fall. Two in 10 Democratic voters in Kentucky said race was
a factor in their choice, and they overwhelmingly voted for Mrs. Clinton.
“You can’t look at it that way,” said David Plouffe, Mr. Obama’s campaign
manager. “There’s enough evidence now in public polls that in a general
election against McCain, in the states that will determine the presidency,
her supporters are coming our way. I think this is an issue that in 30 or 60
days we will not be talking about.”
Mr. Obama marked this moment with a return to Iowa, the state that kicked off
his campaign with a big win on Jan. 3, He used his stage to portray Mr.
McCain as running for a third term for President Bush, an argument that Mr.
Obama’s aides said would be a central point of attack as he sought to move
from the primary into the general election.
The Republican primary campaign, Mr. Obama said, “was a contest to see which
candidate could out-Bush the other, and that is the contest John McCain won.”
Mr. Obama’s aides said they were increasingly concerned that the long fight
with Mrs. Clinton had given Mr. McCain a free ride in critical general
election states like Iowa.
Mr. Obama is scheduled to spend Wednesday through Friday in Florida, focusing
on the corridor between Tampa and Orlando, a region bustling with swing
voters. The trip starts an effort to repair wounds caused by the deadlock
over recognizing the Florida primary and seating the state’s delegates.
Next week, Mr. Obama heads to Colorado, a state he believes Democrats can
win, and other Western states.
Over the next month, he plans trips to the traditional general election
battlegrounds of Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania and Ohio, even as he
continues to compete in the three remaining Democratic contests in Puerto
Rico, Montana and South Dakota.
The rally in downtown Des Moines offered evidence of steps Mr. Obama was
taking to try to unite the party. Thousands of telephone and e-mail
invitations went out across Iowa — where Mr. McCain is already running
television commercials — to party activists and independent voters,
including many who backed other candidates this year.
David Axelrod, the chief strategist for Mr. Obama, said he was not worried
about the significant share of Clinton supporters who said they would be
disappointed if Mr. Obama became the nominee. He predicted a “natural
coalescence” among Democrats after the nominating battle concluded because
of a concern over the war, the economy and the direction of the country.
“We’re going to reach out and try to unify this party,” Mr. Axelrod said
in an interview on Tuesday. “It will happen naturally based on a commonality
of interests.”
Since 1972, when modern exit polls first began, no Democratic presidential
candidate has won a majority of white voters. The closest division was in
1992, a three-way contest when 39 percent of whites voted for Bill Clinton
and 40 percent voted for the first President Bush. In 2004, President Bush
defeated John Kerry among whites by 58 percent to 41 percent.
While Mr. Obama has struggled with Mrs. Clinton to win the support of
Hispanic voters — something Mr. McCain’s campaign has taken note of in
focusing on states like Colorado and New Mexico — a Gallup tracking poll
released on Tuesday, taken Friday to Sunday, showed Mr. Obama leading Mrs.
Clinton 55 percent to 39 percent among all Democratic voters. Among Hispanic
voters, the race is tighter, with Mr. Obama receiving 51 percent to Mrs.
Clinton’s 44 percent.
Even as Mr. Obama’s aides disputed the notion that the exit polls raised red
flags about his merits as a general election candidate, they acknowledged
they would have to deal with that perception among critical party leaders who
might be worried about the fall — in particular, contributors and supporters
of Mrs. Clinton. To offset the voters who may rule out supporting Mr. Obama,
because of his race or other reasons, the campaign is working to register new
voters. In Georgia, for example, 600,000 black residents are eligible to vote
but are not registered. In Virginia, there are 200,000 black residents not
registered to vote.
But most immediately, Mr. Obama faces the task of bringing the party back
together, and finding the right tone to strike in being deferential to Mrs.
Clinton — making concessions that might make his opponent and her supporters
happy in the end — without appearing to be ceding authority to his rival.
Several Democrats said the model he needed to avoid was the 1980 primary
fight between President Jimmy Carter and Senator Edward M. Kennedy, with its
awkward spectacle at the nominating convention that made the party look
divided and Mr. Carter seem suppliant.
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