作者uniformmei (赌烂中)
看板Jeremy_Lin
标题[讨论] NBA命中地图
时间Mon Mar 12 22:38:11 2012
参考来源:
http://offthedribble.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/03/mapping-the-n-b-a/
这是一篇纽约时报的报导,从一个惊人的统计中,探讨谁是NBA最佳射手,以及半场中
哪个角落拥有最高的出手次数,以及每次出手可得到的分数(points per attempt)
(左右底线命中率超高!)
-------------------------------以下正文------------------------------
Many basketball statistics focus on discrete events — whether a player made
a shot, or blocked one. But doesn’t it matter where those events happen?
许多篮球统计专注离散的事件上--球员是不是出手了,是不是盖了个火锅,但是,
这些事件在哪里发生的就不重要吗?
Kirk Goldsberry, a visiting scholar on geography at Harvard, is one of the
people at M.I.T.’s Sloan Sports Analytics Conference dabbling in sports after
developing skills in another field. He has worked as a professor, and creating
maps that give insight into public health issues.
同时是哈佛地理学学者,也是MIT运动分析会一员的Kirk Goldsberry,运用他的专业
,涉猎其他领域,他是一位教授,并且曾经创造出可以给与公众健康议题洞察的地图。
He set out to answer who was the best shooter in the N.B.A., a quality that
traditional metrics like shooting percentage do not fully address.
(Tyson Chandler currently leads the league in field-goal percentage, for
instance, largely because he specializes in the kind of jump shots that end
with both of his hands touching the rim.)
他想知道谁是NBA里最佳的射手,传统的统计像是命中率,并不能明确说明。举例来说,
拳王是联盟里命中率最高的球员,可能他都是用他的双手灌爆篮框。
To do this, Goldsberry divided the area from just behind the 3-point line
down to the rim into 1,284 “shooting cells,” and looked at how players shot
during every N.B.A. game between 2006 and 2011. Not a single player took a
shot from every spot on the floor. (Kobe Bryant came the closest, shooting
from 1,071 places. ) Then, Goldsberry looked at which players averaged more
than one point per attempt from the greatest percentage of the places they
shot from.
为了做到这个,教授把三分线到篮框的半场区域,分割成1284个"出手细胞",并且看看
从2006年到2011年,NBA的球员是如何出手。每一个球员不是在任何一点都会出手。
Kobe最接近(所有点都能出手),在1071个点上有出手过(编按:老大真是无所不在阿..)。
教授进一步分析,从这些他们最常出手的点上,哪些点球员平均每次尝试出手,能够
得到超过1分
By this analysis, Steve Nash and Ray Allen were the best shooters in the
league.
透过这项分析,飘发哥Nash,和雷枪是联盟中最佳射手。
-------------------------------原文下略-------------------------------------
边译心得:
纽时PO出的这张统计图,每一个"出手细胞"方框愈大者,表示愈常在那个点出手。
颜色遇偏红者,每次出手能得到的分数期望值愈高。看起来还满合理的。和站2-3区域
的防守布阵有像XD
只是这张应该是所有NBA球员的统计,如果有个别球员的分布图就酷惹。
原文中还说了这张图可以看出,哪里最容易被抄,哪个球员哪里命中率好之类的。
不知道书豪哥的图是长怎样?
希望没OP,感谢各位先进!
--
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◆ From: 220.136.29.49
1F:→ ChenDotQ:lin的数据太少了,打个五百场再说 03/12 22:41
2F:→ olivelee:五百场要10年了 @_@ 03/12 22:44
3F:推 Lintendo:有趣 03/12 22:47
4F:→ yeswater:LIN的投篮姿势在大学和现在差很远 现在的姿势其实没很稳 03/12 22:48
5F:→ yeswater:他之前苦练的影片都是三分定点基础投射 他将来要像NASH那 03/12 22:49
6F:→ yeswater:样 学人家不停运球跑动射篮 实战才有把握 03/12 22:50
7F:→ spittz:LIN大学时都靠切入弹上去上篮吧...xd 03/12 23:19
8F:→ yeswater:键盘酸民.....人家大学时代的外线还蛮大号的呢 03/12 23:29
9F:→ olivelee:楼上,S大不是酸民啦!好像有点误会了 ^^; 03/12 23:38
10F:→ spittz:原来是在说偶?XD 03/12 23:51