: Colin Wyers, "The root" : Part 1 : http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-root-part-1/ : Part 2 : http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-root-part-2/ Part 3 http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-root-part-3/ 这篇论其实际比较像... 第二点五篇？ XD （方法的问题当然很重要，可专门开 一篇在讲这个... 读起来实在挺累人。 lol） 摘录几句以备参考。 ... So instead of looking at these results and concluding that fielding percentage is not a significant measure of fielding performance, a lot of very smart people instead decided that fielding is not a significant part of playing baseball. This is not a consequence of regression, this is a consequence of not doing it correctly. "This is what my regression says" is not a defense of the assumptions made when creating the regression. You are responsible for what goes into your regression, and so you're accountable for what comes out of your regression. It's as simple as that. If advanced econometric techniques are capable of the role they've played in our current economic downturn, they can certainly make mistakes on how much baseball players should be paid. ... 似乎不像是多真正的棒球文呴。 : : 里头又是经常忘记、又是通通忘记的，显然又是篇不真正棒球文。 : : 第一篇介绍了两种评估的方法（marginal-revenue-product 以及 free-market- : return），第二篇则用方法一试算了一下，其间并穿插说明相关背景知识、不同评 : 估方法各自面临的局限、跑回归时要有的心理准备等。 : -- 元 CanCam看板娘 蛯原友理 (Ebihara Yuri) http://dufflin.pixnet.net/album/photo/40339229 --

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