http://0rz.tw/w2mdb The 82-game marathon is over. Here's a look at some questions for the two-month , 16-team NBA tournament known as the Playoffs as it begins this weekend: 本季长达82场赛事的马拉松式正规赛程已落幕。看完18231篇後笔者实在按捺不住，在季後 赛开始前也提出十个大家可能会比较感兴趣的问题: 1. Are the Cavaliers really the favorite to win it all? Judging by their record and the season LeBron James has put together, you'd have to think so. Mo Williams has fit in perfectly and the supporting cast knows its role. Something, though, just doesn't feel right. Despite one of the best regular seasons ever, Cleveland may be a year away, as crazy as that sounds, from bringing a trophy to title-starved Cleveland. While the Cavs appear destined to get out of the Eastern Conference for the second time in three years, expect the heavily motivated Lakers to be there waiting. More on that later. 1. 骑士队果真是众望所归的总冠军? 在看完这季小皇帝的带领下骑士队所打出的战绩以及表现，会这麽想的确是很合理的。想 当初没有多少人看好的莫不传竟跌破众人眼镜的成为天子身边的红人，而其余的众臣也都 认命的尽全力护驾。然而在小皇帝治国有方的表面下却还是有一些说不上的怪异之处。虽 然开创了队史以来的最佳盛世，但我还是斗胆认为今年骑士队没有办法如愿为饥渴已久的 克里夫兰带回他们垂涎的那根大老...那个总冠军。如无意外骑士队应该可以在三年内第二 度杀入总决赛，但在那里等着他们的是同样为了总冠军而望穿秋水的小飞侠Kobe所带领的 湖人队。稍後将多加着墨於此。 2. Can anyone give the Lakers a challenge out West? Doubtful. The Jazz, on paper, may have been the team most equipped to put a scare into L.A., but they've fallen apart down the stretch and don't figure to pose much of a threat in the first round. From there the candidates are muddled and flawed. Playoff newcomer Portland gave the Lakers the most trouble during the season, but the Blazers may be out before getting a shot at Kobe Bryant and Co. The Nuggets -- bursting with athletes, plus the steady hand of Chauncey Billups -- could put a scare into L.A. if they keep their heads on straight. The Rockets are a possibility with defenders to hassle Kobe in Ron Artest and Shane Battier, plus Yao Ming in the middle. But the Spurs and Hornets are just too banged up, and the Lakers own the Mavericks. 2. 在西区到底哪一队才有实力挑战无敌的湖人呢? Ker ker no king，这问题你想知道就去问香蕉。理论上最能够威胁湖人的便是他们第一轮 的对手犹他爵士队，但爵士在正规赛的尾声陷入了低潮，因此威胁性大减。这一季季後赛 的新面孔，年轻的拓荒者在本季对战湖人时给他们带来了很大的麻烦，但怕是怕他们还来 不及见到湖人就先领便当了。金块队有很多体能哥，再加上本季换来的Billups的稳定领导 下，是有机会去挑战这西区的王者的。另外一个有潜力的挑战者便是火箭队，有着两把大 锁Artest与Battier充当武藏和小次郎，再加上坐镇禁区的喵喵姚明，白洞，白色的明天正ꘊ 在等着他们! 马刺与黄蜂的阵容残破不堪...因此不列入讨论范围。什麽? 你说还有小牛? 别逗了，湖人的其中一个称号就是"小牛支配者"。 3. Which of these big guys -- Kevin Garnett or Andrew Bynum -- figures to be healthy enough to contribute to a long playoff run? Garnett's status has to be considered iffy. He sat out the last nine regular- season games and 16 of the final 20. The knee strain suffered back on Feb. 19 continues to be a concern, no matter the positive spin. Boston has the luxury of a relatively stress-free first-round matchup (against the Bulls) to give KG more time to work his way back into the mix. But the C's need a healthy Garnett to anchor their defense in the conference semis and beyond. Watching how he ended the season, the Lakers' Bynum looks to be on track to take a bigger role as the postseason progresses. The 7-footer is finishing at the basket and running without pain. His defensive timing still isn't there and his stamina needs to improve, but the Lakers can continue to bring Bynum along at a steady pace. 3. 你认为真男人KG和小鲨鱼Bynum这两位谁能够在季後赛时保持健康并对球队有所贡献? 真男人的健康状况目前还是个未知数，正规赛的最後九场他都坐在板凳上，最後20场比赛 他也只打了4场。无论伤势的复原情况如何，KG在2/19所受到的膝伤都将会是个大问题。幸 运的是超赛第一轮所面临的对手(公牛)并不会给予他们太大的压力，因此KG可以争取更多 时间休养而早点归阵。在分区准决赛以及更後面的比赛中超赛需要一个健康的真男人来维 持他们的防守强度。至於小鲨鱼，在看过了最後的几场比赛後，我想他是准备好了。这位 七尺长人很顺利的奔驰在场上并持续的在禁区内取分。虽然他在防守方面的意识还不够成 熟也可能需要跟黑色饼乾学习所谓的"斗志"，但湖人队的众人会慢慢的带他进入状况的。 4. Out of the Big Four (Cavaliers, Lakers, Celtics and Magic), which team is the most vulnerable? Book the Cavs and Lakers for the conference finals, so they're out of this discussion. That leaves Boston and Orlando. Assuming the Celtics are healthy -- and that's a big assumption -- the defending champs have the talent, experience and depth to make another title run. The Magic rely too much on the 3-point shot to be seriously considered a title contender. Dwight Howard is amazing, but don't expect Superman to carry Orlando past the semis. 4. 在今年的四大强权中(骑士、湖人、超赛以及魔术)，你认为哪一队最容易被爆出冷门? 我已经帮湖人跟骑士预约了分区冠军赛了，所以我想他们就不在讨论的范围内。假设超赛 的健康状况良好的话 -- 不过这假设会成立除非是你老爸变成了兔子，那麽这支试图卫冕 的球队在天赋、经验以及深度、灵性等各方面都有着能够助他们卫冕成功的水准。至於魔 术队的进攻大半都是倚靠三分乱射，这样是很难将他们与其他三队相提并论的。魔兽虽然 imba，但他始终不是真的超人，没办法带领魔术闯过分区准决赛，更不用谈拯救地球了。 5. Is this the year Houston finally gets out of the first round? For a franchise that hasn't advanced past the opening round since 1997, this could be the streak buster. The Rockets are stout defensively and possess a high basketball IQ -- two qualities that will serve them well in the Playoffs. Yao and Artest never had a chance to get it going with Tracy McGrady, but Houston has come together around a group of hard-working role players led by Battier, Luis Scola and Carl Landry. 5. 今年姚明是否终於能够洗刷他"姚一轮"的污名并带领火箭闯进第二轮? 火箭是只很衰小的球队，自1997以来就没有在季後赛的第一轮闯关成功过，不过我想今年 该是将这不光荣的纪录划下句点了。他们的防守十分的强硬，并且大家都拥有很高的篮球 智商(...Artest, 後卫群?)，而这两项特质将让他们在季後赛无往而不利。虽然季初声势 浩大的三巨头(Yao, Artest, TMac)组装失败，但在Battier、Scola和Landry的带领下火箭 的苦工及板凳们各司其职，使得火箭本季有望高飞。 6. Why are the Pistons so cocky? Yes, they've won it before. And it wasn't that long ago when Detroit was a staple in the East finals. But these Pistons are a shell of their former contending selves. Billups is in Denver. Coaches Larry Brown and Flip Saunders have long since left. Detroit had a losing record this season, Allen Iverson is on the shelf, and LeBron and the Cavs are a freight train. Sorry 'Sheed, we expect only one team to play hard. Just try and keep the towels on the bench. 6. 请问一下，活塞到底是在屌三小? 你要知道，他们好歹也是赢过总冠军的队伍，且这几年来他们是分区冠军赛的常客。不过 现在的活塞徒具其形，却已失去了以往的竞争力了。Billups被送去了金块，Brown跟 Saunders也已经离开好一阵子了。这季的活塞有了以往不会出现的连败纪录，而战神又被 他们束之高阁，最重要的是他们对上的是小皇帝与他的骑士队。希蛙，请你节哀顺变，大 家都看好骑士，乖乖把毛巾拿在手上不要乱扔方为上策。 7. Can Dwyane Wade beat the Hawks by himself? Wade did a fair imitation of the one-man act in 2006, but that Heat team had considerably more talent than this one. The Hawks parlayed last year's surprising first-round seven-game series with Boston into the East's No. 4 seed and the home-court edge over Miami. Atlanta has the defenders to throw at D-Wade, starting with Josh Smith and Joe Johnson, plus superior depth. Wade alone is enough to steal a couple of games in this series, but his postseason won't last past seven games. 7. 炎帝可凭一己之力大啖一顿红烧鹰翅膀吗? 在2006的时候Wade确实是展现了一夫当关的气势，但当时的热火队比现今的有实力多了。 老鹰队延续了去年与超赛凿战至第七场的气势今年顺利的拿下了东区第四种子，且在此系 列赛中占有主场优势。鹰王Joe Johnson以及J-Smooth都是防守Wade的适合人选，再加上 他们绝佳的板凳深度，Wade或许可凭一己之力在系列赛中取得几场胜利，但燃烧殆尽後 晋级的将会是振翅高飞的老鹰们。 8. Which of the Spurs is most likely to step up in place of Manu Ginobili? The obvious answer is nobody if you're not counting Tim Duncan or Tony Parker. No doubt the other two cogs of the Spurs' celebrated trio have taken their games to another level at times, but finding another gear for the Playoffs may be a stretch. Duncan, after all, has been plagued by sore knees since the All-Star break. As for the rest of the roster, look to Roger Mason Jr., Michael Finley and Ime Udoka trying to squeeze into Ginobili's irreplaceable sneakers. Each brings something to the table -- Mason (late-game heroics), Finley (veteran know how) and Udoka (much-needed athleticism). 8. 妖刀‧马努报销後，谁能够有效的填补他的空缺呢? 除去TD以及Parker外，这很明显是个无解的问题。虽然马刺知名三巨头的其中两位依旧保 有着他们掌控比赛的能力，但为了季後赛而找出合用的伪‧妖刀‧马努依旧是最令马刺 头大的问题。大家想必都还记得最近Popovich怜惜TD伤势而将他换下场的事件。环顾马刺 阵中，Roger Mason Jr.、铁牛以及Udoka或可分工来填补马努的空缺。Mason拥有决定比赛 胜负的大颗心脏，铁牛是有经验的老将，而Udoka则是体能充沛的小夥子。 9. What lower-seeded team is most likely to pull a first-round upset? Since we're scratched Miami off the list in Question 7, expect the East to play out according to plan. That brings us to the West. The Jazz, no chance. The Rockets, Mavericks and Hornets aren't going in intimated by their respective matchups. Stealing one on the road in Games 1 or 2 would swing home-court advantage and set up a possible six-game upset. Of the three, Dallas has the most momentum on its side and is quite familiar with the Spurs. 9. 在第一轮的对战中哪一个组合最有可能爆出冷门? 在前面我们讨论过了热火的机会并不高，随之我们把整个东区移出讨论范围外。就西区来 说的话，爵士八成会GG。火箭、小牛以及黄蜂并不畏惧他们的首轮对手，只要能够在前两 场客场中偷得一胜，那麽主动权便回到他们手中，并有可能在六场内买单。而这三者中又 以小牛的气势为最高，且他们对於马刺也非常的熟悉。 10. Is there a better potential Finals matchup out there than Lakers-Cavs? Can you think of one? If this June is the beginning of a Magic-Bird run for years to come for Kobe and LeBron, the NBA and its fans are in for something special. 10. 每个人都预测总冠军将会是湖人vs骑士，油梅油新的说法~? 你想一个来听听看阿。我认为六月将会是Kobe和Lebron之间宿命性对决的一个起始点，就 如同过去的Magic Johnson和Larry Bird一样。若果真如此，那麽这几年NBA的球迷们将有 眼福了! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.114.99.95