类似的文章不少，作者自己也提了，不过这篇文章比较特别的是... 他列出了比较负面的例子... @@ The truth about Kobe Bryant in crunch time By Henry Abbott/ESPN 关於Kobe在关键时刻的真相。 ESPN亨利阿伯 撰写 At the end of Game 2 of the 2009 Finals, the Magic knew who to guard, and got the block. 在2009冠军赛第二场关键时刻，魔术知道要防守谁 也成功的盖了「他」火锅。 Ask pundits. Ask general managers. Ask players. Ask almost anybody. Who would like to have take the last shot with the game on the line? 问任何跟NBA有关的人最後一击要给谁？ Kobe Bryant wins by a country mile. Every time. (In a general manager poll this season, he earned 79% of the vote, his ninth consecutive blowout.) Kobe几乎每次都在类似投票中大幅度领先（本季对个球队经理的调查， 他以高达79%的比例连续九年获得压倒性胜利。） There is not really any other serious candidate. 几乎没有人能在这项投票中望其项背。 Ask me, though, (as Ryen Russillo did last week and Mike Trudell the other day) and I'll tell you I don't know who's the best, but with all due respect to Bryant's amazing abilities scoring the ball, there's zero chance he's the king of crunch time. 如果你要问我（或是之前有在注意关键时刻的专业球评），那 我会跟你说我不知道谁是最好的，我也非常尊敬Kobe惊人的得分能力， 但是他百分之百不是（0%）关键时刻的王者。 The sin of predictability 观察一：可预测性 Bryant makes crunch time defense easy for opponents by shooting just about every time he touches the ball (over a five-year period, he mustered 56 clutch shots, to go with one assist). Kobe的可预测性在於他几乎一碰到球就一定要射， 让关键时刻对手对他的防守相对简单许多。 （过去五年中关键时刻中他总共投了56球，只有一个助攻） Fans of his raw machismo howl that such criticism misses the point, but the point is that when Bryant gets the ball in crunch time, it's a virtual certainty that he'll shoot it, and it's better than two-to-one odds that he'll miss. 很多kobe迷喜欢嚎叫说批评者搞不清楚状况。 但是重点是kobe在关键时刻几乎肯定一拿到球他就一定要出手， 而且有远大於50%的机会他会投失。 In 1997, he famously airballed two shots that could have beat the Jazz -- instead the Jazz won the series. In 1999, he whiffed on a 3-pointer at the buzzer that would have tied Game 2 against the Spurs. In Game 4 against the Kings in 2002, he missed a 2-pointer that would have tied the game (before the ball was tipped out to Robert Horry for the winning 3). In Game 7 of that same series, Bryant missed a tip that would have won the game in regulation. In Game 3 against the Timberwolves in 2003, he missed two key shots in the last seconds of overtime, and the Lakers lost. 1997年，他季後赛对爵士有名的投了两颗篮外空心，而这两颗如果进了 都有可能获胜。结果是爵士把湖人横扫。 1999年，他在季後赛第二场对马刺投失一棵可能追平的三分。 2002年第四战对上国王，他投失了一个可追平的两分球（虽然结果 球弹到威尔史密斯手上投进致胜三分） 在第七战时Kobe一个补篮不进，否则可以不用打延长赛。 2003年第三战对上灰狼，他最後连续投失了两球导致输球。 I'll spare you the entire list, but it's long. In the final 24 seconds of playoff games, Bryant has racked up almost as many airballs as makes, making just below 30 percent of game-tying or go-ahead shots. He hasn't hit such a shot in a playoff game, in fact, since 2008, including key misses in the closing moments against the Jazz and Magic in 2009, and the Thunder and Suns last spring. He made one of his four shots in the fourth quarter of Game 7 of last year's Finals. 举凡种种，不甚枚举，我也不想统统列出来给你们看， 只能说名单很长很可怕。 但是在季後赛里，最後24秒进攻中的Kobe投进的球跟他投出的篮外空心 差不多一样多，总计命中率不到30%。 事实上，自从2008年以後他在季後赛就没有在关键时刻投中过了，包括 2009年对上爵士和魔术，和2010年对上雷霆和太阳。 而他在去年的总冠军赛第七场第四节只勉强投进一球。 No matter how you define crunch time -- from the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime to the last 24 seconds -- and no matter how you define production -- field goal percentage, offensive efficiency, David Berri's Wins Produced, the results tell the same story: Bryant is about as likely to hit the big shot as any player. 不管你怎样定义关键时刻--常规赛最後五分钟和延长赛，或是只算最後 24秒-- 也不管你要怎麽计算一个球员的贡献--命中率，攻击效率， 带来的胜场精算等等，结果通常只有一个：Kobe关键时刻的表现很一般， 跟一般球员没啥两样。 ESPN Stats and Information's Alok Pattani dug through 15 years of NBA data (see table below) -- Bryant's entire career, regular season and playoffs -- and found that Bryant has attempted 115 shots in the final 24 seconds of a game in which the Lakers were tied or trailed by two or fewer points. He connected on 36, and missed 79 times. 根据我们ESPN的统计，过去15年来（请看下表），也就是Kobe的全部生涯 在内，包括所有季赛和季後赛，Kobe在最後24秒球队落後或平手的局面 他总共投了115颗，进了36颗，投失了79颗。 One shot for all the cookies. And the NBA is nearly unanimous that this is the guy to take it, even though he has more than twice as many misses as makes? 怕了吧，所有NBA一致举手通过要给他投最後一击的人，即使他有超过 两倍的机率投失多於投进，竟然表现如斯 His crunch time production is slightly higher in the first half of this season, but still certainly not the best in the league. And analyzing any large number of games, one year, five years or fifteen years, and defining crunch time a number of different ways, shows the same pattern. (There are a many ways this has been sliced.) 他今年这方面的表现比他的平均值好一点点，但是显然跟最好差很多。 重点是不管你怎麽分析--只算某年，只算某五年，或算上过去15年， 结果还是一样的。 Bryant shoots more than most, passes less, and racks up misses at an all-time rate. There is no measure, other than YouTube highlights and folklore, by which he's the best scorer in crunch time. Kobe关键时刻出手比是最高的，传球非常稀有，而且投失球数正在往 史上新高迈进。所有统计都显示，除了Youtube和高光以外，他绝对 不是关键时刻最好的得分手。 以下是从96-97年开始统计，在24秒内，球队落後0-2分时，球员出手表现 （包括季赛和季後赛，出手数超过30次以上） Player Makes Attempts FG% Carmelo Anthony 21 44 47.7 Chris Paul 14 31 45.2 Shawn Marion 12 30 40 Brandon Roy 12 30 40 Hedo Turkoglu 12 30 40 Rashard Lewis 18 46 39.1 Glenn Robinson 14 36 38.9 Deron Williams 14 36 38.9 Mike Bibby 15 39 38.5 Dirk Nowitzki 25 65 38.5 Jalen Rose 12 32 37.5 Tim Duncan 23 62 37.1 Eddie Jones 13 36 36.1 Karl Malone 11 31 35.5 Ben Gordon 17 49 34.7 Chris Webber 18 52 34.6 Raymond Felton 12 36 33.3 LeBron James 23 69 33.3 Ray Allen 23 70 32.9 Gilbert Arenas 13 40 32.5 Vince Carter 31 96 32.3 Steve Francis 14 44 31.8 Damon Stoudamire12 38 31.6 Nick Van Exel 16 51 31.4 Kobe Bryant 36 115 31.3 Jason Terry 14 45 31.1 Allen Iverson 21 68 30.9 Kevin Garnett 22 72 30.6 Ron Artest 9 30 30 Allan Houston 12 41 29.3 Entire league 2038 6861 29.7 The un-clutch Lakers 观察二：关键时刻让湖人无法发挥 One of the key arguments in his favor is that he draws double-teams, which allows other Lakers to score. But that doesn't seem to happen much. Over Bryant's 15-year career, the Lakers have had the NBA's best offense, and second-best won-loss record. No other team can match their mighty 109 points per 100 possessions over the entire period. kobe迷常常争论说Kobe屌的就是他关键时刻能吸引包夹，这样其他人 不是就有机会了嘛。但是不幸的是，这个现象并没有发生太多。 在Kobe 15年的生涯之中，湖人队是这15年以来全NBA攻击最好的球队， 而且拥有第二高的输赢比。没有任何一队可以接近他们的进攻效率 （每100次进攻能得109分） You'd expect Los Angeles to also have one of the league's best offenses in crunch time, right? Especially with the ball in the hands of the player most suited to those moments. 在这麽显眼的数字下你会期待照理来说湖人队在关键时刻 表现应该也不俗，对嘛？尤其是还有公认关键时刻最强的 人在队上不是嘛？ That's not what happens, though. In the final 24 seconds of close games the Laker offense regresses horribly, managing just 82 points per 100 possessions. And it's not a simple case of every team having a hard time scoring in crunch time. Over Bryant's career, 11 teams have had better crunch time offenses, led by the Hornets with a shocking 107 points per 100 possessions in crunch time, a huge credit to Chris Paul. 但是这并没有如人们想像般发生。 事实上，如果只看关键时刻的24秒，湖人队的进攻效率下降到 烂透了的每100次进攻才有82分的效率。而且这并不是因为关键 时刻通常任何NBA球队都表现不好，在kobe的生涯中（15年来）， 有11队比湖人队在关键时刻都有效率，最有效率的是黄蜂队， 关键时刻每100次进攻可以得107分，这要感谢CP3的强力加持。 The Lakers are not among the league leaders in crunch time offense -- instead they're just about average, scoring 82.35 points per 100 possessions in a league that averages 80.03. They are, however, among the league leaders in how much worse their offense declines in crunch time. 上面说了湖人队并不是关键时刻进攻最好的球队，只在平均值 （每100次进攻得80分）。 不过他们在平常进攻效率和关键时刻进攻效率的差值倒是全联盟最大的。 （109分下降到82分！） When Bryant is on the floor in crunch time, Bryant's Lakers are actually outscored by their opponents. 之前有文章提过当Kobe关键时刻在场上时，湖人其实得分是输给 对手的。（+/-值是负值） A great offensive team performing at average levels, with a star setting records for number of shots attempted. Teammates left wide open. Evidence, even, that Bryant's play puts his team into nailbiters that needn't be so close. 一个强大进攻效率的球队，到了关键时刻表现平平，队中有一个 球星不断创造投球数的纪录。而队友通常都是有大空档。 这些都是Kobe让他所处的球队处於不利位置的证据。 That, my friends, is a ballhog. 我的读者朋友们，这就叫做自干王。 （文章好长，先翻一半，下半段待续....） --

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