作者searoar (G.I.JONES)
看板Pirates
标题Re: [Fangraph] draft review 06-09
时间Fri Nov 27 22:45:59 2009
2008 1st Round: Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Vanderbilt
2. Tanner Scheppers, RHP, Fresno State (Did not sign)
3. Jordy Mercer, SS, Oklahoma State
4x- Chase D’Arnaud, SS, Pepperdine
6x- Robbie Grossman, OF, Texas HS
20x- Quinton Miller, RHP, New Jersey HS
The club failed to sign second rounder
Scheppers, who was re-drafted this
past season by Texas and has looked very good. The club did not skip a
beat, though, and
Alvarez looks like an impact bat despite a slow start to
his pro career in ‘09. Third rounder
Mercer has been hurt by career-low
BABIPs, including a .295 rate in ‘09, which led to a .255/.314/.400 line.
He did show some gap power this past season with 36 doubles and an ISO of
.144.
D’Arnaud has passed Mercer on the middle infielder depth chart. The
brother of Phillies catching prospect Travis D’Arnaud, Chase has gone
from a potential future back-up to a possible big-league starter in two
short years. With 35 steals and a walk rate of 14.5%,
Grossman had an
“interesting” first full season when you couple those stats with an
alarming 36.4% strikeout rate.
Miller had a modest first full year with
a 4.69 FIP and 6.39 K-rate in low-A ball.
══════════════════════════════════════
2007 1st Round: Daniel Moskos, LHP, Clemson
2. Duke Welker, RHP, Arkansas
3. Brian Friday, SS, Rice
You can thank the ‘07 and ‘06 drafts for helping to educate the
organization on how not to draft and develop players.
Moskos was a poor
pick right from the get-go. He recovered a bit in ‘09 with a 4.41 FIP
but his strikeout rate has plummeted in the past few years from 9.24 to
6.36 to 4.65 K/9. Right-handed batters give him a fair amount of grief.
Welker’s command and control both deserted him in ‘09, while
Friday
looks like he’s going to top out as a utility player.
══════════════════════════════════════
2006 1st Round: Brad Lincoln, RHP, Houston
2. Mike Felix, LHP, Troy
3. Shelby Ford, 2B, Oklahoma State
28x- Rudy Owens, LHP, Arizona HS
Lincoln was an OK pick at the time, but he’s been slowed by injuries.
He could still end up as a solid player, but his low strikeout totals
suggest he won’t be an impact pitcher. Injuries and significant control
problems have ruined
Felix’s potential, while
Ford’s numbers plummeted
in ‘09, in part due to terrible BABIPs.
Owens was a slick pick in the
28th round and is arguably the most talented southpaw in the system.
Jim Negrych (6th round) could end up as a solid utility player or platoon
infielder.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 59.104.137.71
1F:推 seekforever:Scheppers没签下来实在太可惜122.116.167.172 11/27 23:01
2F:→ searoar:Evan Chambers 78K 50BB 49H..babip .381 59.104.137.71 11/27 23:14
3F:→ searoar:moneyball !! 59.104.137.71 11/27 23:15
4F:→ searoar:lincoln和alderson都不太会K... 59.104.137.71 11/27 23:47
5F:→ searoar:谁会是我们的ture ace... 59.104.137.71 11/27 23:47
6F:推 yij:Alderson虽然不太会k,他还是充满成为#1,2 97.65.36.97 12/01 23:59
7F:→ yij:的条件 97.65.36.97 12/01 23:59
8F:推 seekforever:Alderson数字看起来比较像後段轮值122.116.167.172 12/02 01:44
9F:推 soilstone:他年纪还不算大,而且今年连跳两级,希 122.126.48.52 12/04 21:49
10F:→ soilstone:望他还会长 122.126.48.52 12/04 21:49