http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12400 Pittsburgh Pirates Top 11 Prospects by Kevin Goldstein 1. Jameson Taillon, RHP DOB: 11/28/91 Height/Weight: 6-7/230 Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Signed: First round, 2010, The Woodlands HS (TX) 2010 Stats: Did Not Play (signed late) Best/Worst Tool: Velocity/changeup Year in Review: The Pirates had no controversy with their first-round pick in 2010, taking the highest-ceiling pitcher in the draft and signing him to a team-record $6.5 million bonus. The Good: In a state known for its power arms, some scouts felt Taillon was the best high school pitcher to come out of Texas since Josh Beckett more than a decade ago. His size is ideal, his arm action effortless, and his velocity nearly at the top of the scale as he sits in the mid-90s and consistently touched 98 mph throughout the spring. That's not even his best pitch. One scout called his 82-85 mph curveball, "the best single pitch in the draft" due to its velocity and movement. The Bad: Taillon still needs to develop his changeup, as he rarely needed it in high school; he carved up hitters with two big league-ready plus pitches. He had a few clunker starts during the spring when he lost his release point and control. He does throw across his body a bit, but not enough to give anyone considerable concern. Ephemera: Everyone calls him "Jamo," so get the cool T-shirts ready. Perfect World Projection: Taillon has the raw ability to be a true ace for a club that desperately needs such a beast. Fantasy Impact: If he hits his ceiling, he's a fantasy monster, putting up big numbers in every column. Path to the Big Leagues: While it's not official, Taillon heads into spring training with an opportunity to earn an Opening Day gig with Low-A West Virginia, which he'll likely take advantage of. ETA: 2013, with an outside shot at pulling a Clayton Kershaw and reaching the majors in his second full season. 2. Stetson Allie, RHP DOB: 3/13/91 Height/Weight: 6-4/225 Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Signed: Second round, 2010, St. Edward HS (OH) 2010 Stats: Did Not Play (signed late) Best/Worst Tool: Velocity/command Year in Review: One of the 2010 draft's biggest wild cards suddenly started throwing strikes late in the spring, and while his price tag scared many teams off, the Pirates ended up with the two highest-ceiling arms in the draft by giving Allie $2.25 million as a second-round pick. The Good: Not even Taillon can match Allie's arm strength. One of the hardest throwers ever to come out of the prep ranks, Allie can sit at 97-98 mph, touch 100 routinely, and maintain those readings late into games thanks to a linebacker-like frame that's built for stamina. His breaking ball is a 83-87 mph slider that flashes plus at times. The Bad: Allie's track record of throwing strikes consistently for a four-week period leading up to the draft. He pitched just 15 innings as a junior, and was often wild to the point of being undraftable. He's often guilty of overthrowing, and many believe his complicated mechanics need considerable tinkering. Primarily a power-hitting third baseman on the showcase circuit, he's rarely pitched against top competition and does not have an off-speed pitch in his arsenal, leaving some to already project him as a future reliever. Ephemera: Allie's father was his high school coach and is a former scout; one of his teammates was the son of Indians assistant GM John Mirabelli. Perfect World Projection: Allie's ceiling is higher than that of even Taillon, but his chances of reaching it are significantly smaller due to lack of polish. Fantasy Impact: Allie could make a fantasy impact in strikeouts as a starter or saves as a closer, but he's also likely to damage your WHIP due to a higher-than-average walk rate. Path to the Big Leagues: Like Taillon, Allie could earn a full-season assignment in 2011, but it's not as sure a thing. His lack of experience could lead to a slow development path that begins the year in extended spring training. ETA: 2014, but subtract one year if he's converted to the bullpen. 3. Luis Heredia, RHP DOB: 8/16/94 Height/Weight: 6-6/185 Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Signed: Mexico, 2010 2010 Stats: Did Not Play (signed late) Best/Worst Tool: Fastball/polish Year in Review: After spending heavily in the draft, the Pirates continued to open their checkbook by paying $2.6 million for the top international pitcher. The Good: Heredia possesses every aspect of a highly projectable arm. He's tall with plenty of room to fill out, and his delivery is uncommonly smooth for such a young pitcher with his kind of height and long levers. He already has average velocity while touching 93 mph, and that should increase significantly as his game matures. He throws both a slider and a curveball, but the curve shows more promise and he'll focus on just one breaking ball as a pro. He has the ability to throw strikes and even has some feel for a changeup. The Bad: Heredia simply needs innings. He has almost no experience pitching against top-level talent save a few international tournaments, and he needs to work on various in-game aspects such as fielding and holding runners. Ephemera: Heredia's bonus was almost seven times the largest previous high paid by the Pirates for an international free agent. Perfect World Projection: Heredia's ceiling was unmatched in this year's international class, and he has true star potential. Fantasy Impact: It's nearly impossible to project exactly what kind of pitcher Heredia can be, except for "good." Path to the Big Leagues: Heredia will focus more on instruction in 2011, but the Pirates feel his game is mature enough to pitch a complete half-season when the Gulf Coast League begins play in June. ETA: 2015. 4. Tony Sanchez, C DOB: 5/20/88 Height/Weight: 6-0/213 Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Signed: First round, 2009, Boston College 2010 Stats: .314/.416/.454 at High-A (59 G) Best/Worst Tool: Glove/pure hitting Year in Review: Given an outside shot at reaching the big leagues by the end of the year, Sanchez played well in a season limited by injuries, including taking a fastball in the face that ended his season in June. The Good: Sanchez is the rare catcher with the ability to impact games both behind the plate and at it. He's a potentially special defender with plus-plus receiving skills and a well above-average arm. He has a mature approach at the plate and scouts believe that many of his doubles will turn into home runs down the road as he learns to drive balls better. Team officials gush about his makeup and work ethic. The Bad: Despite a career batting average of .312 in the minors, there are questions about Sanchez's ultimate offensive upside. While his offensive game lacks any real weaknesses, it also lacks star projection. He needs to improve the accuracy of his throws and is still learning how to work with a pitching staff. Ephemera: Sanchez graduated from Miami Killian High School with a perfect 4.0 grade point average. Perfect World Projection: He could be an above-average everyday catcher, both offensively and defensively. Fantasy Impact: Good, as long as you always throw in that "for a catcher" qualifier in the sense that you have to have one, and he should supply 10-15 home runs annually with good on-base skills. Path to the Big Leagues: Sanchez is healthy and playing in the Arizona Fall League, and will begin 2011 at Double-A Altoona. ETA: He has an outside shot at a September callup, and could be lined up for full-time work in 2012. 5. Rudy Owens, LHP DOB: 12/18/87 Height/Weight: 6-3/215 Bats/Throws: L/L Drafted/Signed: 28th round, 2006, Mesa HS (AZ) 2010 Stats: 2.46 ERA (150.0-124-23-132) at Double-A (26 G) Best/Worst Tool: Command and control/breaking ball Year in Review: This strike-throwing lefty continued to prove his doubters wrong by winning the Eastern League ERA title. The Good: With a career strikeout-to-walk rate of more than 5.0, Owens has special command and control, but he's often incorrectly labeled as a pure finesse pitcher. With a 90-92 mph fastball that touches 93, Owens actually has a tick above-average velocity for a southpaw, and the pitch adds a bit of natural sink. He keeps hitters off-balance with a solid changeup, and because of his pitching style, he's able to pitch late into games. The Bad: Owens' fringy breaking ball is still a work in progress, as it's a sweeping offering between a curve and a slider that needs to get tightened if he's to start in the big leagues. Scouts universally see him as a big-leaguer, but debate over his ultimate ceiling is considerable. Ephemera: No player selected with the 830th overall pick has ever pitched in the big leagues. Perfect World Projection: Good fourth starter and innings eater. Fantasy Impact: Low. While he could supply a lot of innings without hurting your team's ERA, don't expect big win or strikeout totals. Path to the Big Leagues: Owens will be pushed to Triple-A Indianapolis in 2011, and should make his big-league debut at some point during the year. ETA: 2011, with a more permanent role the following year. -- Love, peace and harmony? oh very nice very nice very nice oh but maybe in the next world... the death of a disco dancer - the smiths --

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