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System In 20 Words Or Less: Brandon Belt's explosion saves the system from the ignominy of being without a five-star prospect, who already earned a mulligan with the graduations of Posey and Bumgarner. Five-Star Prospects 1. Brandon Belt, 1B Four-Star Prospects 2. Zack Wheeler, RHP Three-Star Prospects 3. Gary Brown, CF 4. Charlie Culberson, 2B 5. Ehire Adrianza, SS 6. Thomas Neal, OF 7. Francisco Peguero, OF 8. Tommy Joseph, C/1B Two-Star Prospects 9. Jarrett Parker, OF 10.Chuck Jones, OF 11. Mike Kickham, RHP Nine More: 12. Brandon Crawford, SS: He's a good defensive shortstop with a little bit of pop, but will he hit? 13. Eric Surkamp, LHP: A finesse lefty, he will need to prove that he can get upper-level hitters out without cracking 90 mph on his fastball. 14. Heath Hembree, RHP: A fifth-round pick last June picked for his big-time velocity, Hembree is far from harnessing it. 15. Jose Casilla, RHP: This Dominican reliever gets good velocity and sink on his offerings, but he doesn't have closer-grade stuff. 16. Rafael Rodriguez, OF: His tools are still incredible, but his transition to baseball player has been slow. 17. Michael Main, RHP: A former Rangers first-round pick, he just doesn't have the stuff he had in his teenage years. 18. Chris Dominguez, 3B: A difficult player to figure out, in that he possesses both an 80 power and an 80 arm, but not much else. 19. Conor Gillaspie, 3B: A 2008 supplemental pick, Gillaspie has hitting ability but not enough secondary skills for a starter at the position. 20. Hector Sanchez, C: He's an intriguing catcher with gap power and a plus arm. 1. Brandon Belt, 1B DOB: 4/20/88 Height/Weight: 6-5/195 Bats/Throws: L/L Drafted/Signed: Fifth round, 2009, University of Texas 2010 Stats: .383/.492/.628 at High-A (77 G); .337/.413/.623 at Double-A (46 G); .229/.393/.563 at Triple-A (13 G) Best/Worst Tool: Hit/run Year in Review: An unheralded pick at the time, Belt was the biggest breakout in the entire minor leagues in 2010, with scouts being universal in their belief that it was the real deal. The Good: Belt has plus-plus pure hitting ability, showing no real weaknesses against lefties or righties, any pitch type, or thrown in any location. His hands are tremendous, and he's equally adept at going with pitches or turning on them with plenty of bat speed. The bat plays even better due to outstanding plate discipline and pitch recognition. He's a very good defensive first baseman, and runs well enough to play in the outfield, where he held is own in some late-season looks. The Bad: Belt doesn't have traditional power for a first baseman, and scouting projections for him vary from 15 to 25 home runs annually. He had some struggles in Triple-A against a steady diet of breaking balls, and might still need to make some adjustments at the highest level. Ephemera: He was a 46th-round pick in the 2005 draft by the Astros out of Hudson High School in Lufkin, Texas, a school with no football program. That's right, a Texas high school with no football. Perfect World Projection: Belt's sweet lefty swing drew multiple optimistic comparisons to Will Clark. Fantasy Impact: He could produce in every category, even chipping in with a handful of stolen bases. Path to the Big Leagues: Belt will get a long look this spring, as the re-signing of Aubrey Huff does not block him, since one of the two could move to left field once Belt's bat is deemed ready. ETA: 2011 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12935 --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
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