Jrue's Opportunity 一次大展鸿图的机会：Jrue Holiday的爆发开关 Brian Ward / DepressedFan.com AUG 15, 2012 10:25 AM http://www.depressedfan.com/basketball/sixers/jrues-opportunity.php The first three years of Jrue Holiday's career have been equal parts tease, promise and growth. Unbiased observers could say he's been a disappointment, an overachiever or a burgeoning star without being totally off base. Year four, however, is when the ambiguity needs to end. 如果你要把Jrue的生涯前三年分成三等份，那三成份元素就是哄他长大 、给他机会并看他成长。公正的观察家们都没有办法统一对Jrue的评价 ：有的可能会说他令人失望，却有的人可能会说他超出预期，甚至有人 会说七六人得到了一个迅速成长的明星，而且他们没有搞错养成的方向 (看看可怜的Rodney Stuckey..)。总之第四年，这些意义不明的定论必 须要被破除。 If you look at Jrue's career arc on the offensive end statistically, it's not a great picture. There was a jump in his second season, followed by a dip last year. He did make great strides in reducing his turnovers, but that can at least partially be credited to spending less time initiating the offense. I'd be much less hopeful about Jrue's potential if not for the stellar playoff performance (his second chance in the post season, and the second time he out-performed his regular season numbers.) 如果你看了Jrue在进攻端的成长曲线，他绝对不会是一个平顺的图形。 第二年他有了一个爆炸性的持长，但是随後却又一根黑K打下来。他的 确在限缩自己的失误方面有着很不错的进步，但是也有可能只是因为他 的组织机会被抽离了(按:不要忘记过去三年七六人最好的playmaker叫 做Andre Iguodala)。要不是他在季後赛当了七六人毫无疑问的主角之 一，有着爆炸的表现，我可能就认为他到此为止。(一年的季後赛好， 有可能只是侥幸，就如同Jerome James一样；连续两年他在季後赛的成 绩都超出了季赛，这显然就不是巧合。) His scoring regression on the offensive side of the ball can be summed up pretty easily. He took too many long twos (4.2/40 minutes vs. 3.3/40 minutes the previous season) and he didn't get to the free throw line nearly enough. One probably had something to do with the other. 而在得分上的回档症头也很明确。他投了太多长中距离(而非三分)，二 年级的时候他一场才丢3.3个长中距离，而三年级他丢了四个；另外他 太过远离罚球线，制造犯规的积极度不够。而这两个症头似乎可以一起 看，他稍微对自己的手感过度自信，而放弃了自己切入的能力与机会。 One thing Jrue proved last season, however, was that his defense is no mirage. He made the leap in a big way and became an elite perimeter defender, both on-the-ball and off-the-ball. Add the defense to his solid three-point shooting and you've got a player whose floor is a viable starter on a contender. The question, and it's a question which should be answered definitively this season, is whether he can be more than that. Whether he can be a pure point guard responsible for running an offense for 30+ minutes/game and possibly score efficiently enough to be a team's #2 scoring option. Whether he can earn something close to the max contract he was rumored to be seeking earlier this summer. 不过上个球季的季赛不代表Jrue一事无成，至少他证明了他的防守能力 绝对不是昙花一现。他朝着成为一个强悍的外围防守者的目标迈开大步 前进，无论是第一线对上持球者，还是穿越掩体追逐正在cutting的对 手。但是在未来的一年，一个决定性的问题是，他能不能做得比现在还 要更好？当然他可以选择当一个进攻端至上的控球後卫，搭上他很不错 甚至可以当第二得分点的得分能力，而不需要拥有拔尖等级的防守；但 是如果他希望能拿到封顶的合约，并且成为球队不可或缺的支柱，防守 的再进步显然就是那个长约跟顶级合约的决定性差距。 On the positive side of the ledger, you've got several extended streaks of inspired play throughout his first three seasons, and more excuses than you can shake a stick at. In his rookie season, he was stuck behind Lou Williams at the point for half the year, playing for an imbecile coach in a horrific system. He played for his second coach in as many years as a sophomore, and still put up solid numbers. In his third season, the team had a draconian aversion to turnovers, no training camp and a helter-skelter schedule. Add to that Jrue's age in each of the seasons: 19, 20 and 21. And, of course, for the entirety of his career he's played with a helpless group of bigs. A group who, for the most part, could neither catch nor finish an interior pass to save their lives. On the perimeter, he was surrounded with playmakers, guys his coaches trusted more to initiate the offense (and not turn the ball over). This season, he's got Andrew Bynum to alleviate the first problem, and the team is bereft of alternate options to initiate the offense. 总的来说，有非常多的理由你可以正面看待他明年将可以打得比他前面 三个球季还要好。在他的菜鸟球季他待在Lou的後面，在一个鸟蛋教练 麾下的糟糕系统打得还不错，也没有养成任何坏习惯。第二年，他换了 第二个教练，而且他仍然缴出了很漂亮的成绩。在他的第三年，球队像 是全队感染某种对失误偏执洁癖，甚至这个数字是在没有经过训练营， 并且面对魔鬼赛程所作到的。这些事情Jrue都参了很大的一角，而且不 要忘记这是他在几岁的时候作到的：19岁、20岁、21岁。而且更不要提 起，他的生涯前面三年索取得的这些成绩是在内线并没有决定性的支援 之下所达成的，有些笨蛋不要说传进去放不进篮框，甚至连接球都有问 题；另外他的身边充满着各式各样的playmaker，而且其中有些人(按: 这边指的是Lou跟AI9)是教练较为信任也比较愿意授权指挥进攻的球员。 这个球季，他有了电车男孩帮他搞定第一个问题，而再也没有人可以成 为挡住他第一指挥官的障碍了。 If you're a pessimist, there's certainly an alternative view of Jrue's first three years. Maybe there's a reason Jrue was told to stand in the corner while Iguodala and/or Lou Williams initiated the offense. His failure to get to the line might be more about a lack of explosion near the rim than settling for long twos, maybe settling for long twos is his game. Maybe he lacks the court vision to find guys for easy looks. How you feel about Jrue's potential now is probably directly related to what you thought of him as a prospect three seasons ago. He's shown just enough to stoke the flames of your hopes for him as a player if you were excited by the pick. He hasn't shown enough to change your mind about him if you were down on the pick. Either way, this season should tell us everything. 如果你是个悲观者，你的确可以从反方向去挑Jrue这三年的骨头。也许 他在切入与跳投的取舍让他失去要犯规的能力，也是让他的顺位被排在 AI9跟Lou之後的原因。你也许可以认为他就是个跳投型的球员，你也许 会认为他找到easy basket的视野比不上另外两个人。不过你现在怎麽 看待他，就跟你当年怎麽看待七六人选入他的态度是有直接的关联的。 如果当初你对於选择Jrue Holiday表示兴奋，那你今天仍然会是；反之 如果你当初就觉得这个签没有办法让你满意，那到现在他的确也还没有 能够拿出够份量的表现去改变你的想法。不过无论你悲观还是乐观，这 个球季Jrue是龙是虎，很快就会揭晓。 Iguodala and Lou are gone. The only option for a backup PG is Evan Turner. The team has replaced those guys with catch-and-shoot options who can knock down open threes. Most importantly, he's now got an athletic big man in the middle. A safety valve who he can dump the ball to in the post, run the pick-and-roll with, and find for lobs if the defense collapses on him when he drives. Jrue has gone from a tough situation for a PG to thrive in to a perfect situation. The excuses are all gone now. Iguodala跟Lou都离开了，唯一的替补控球是由Evan Turner负责(按:即 便他是先发二号，但是他将会在轮替当中接手Jrue不控球时的大部分时 间)。球队找了一批catch 'n shoot的专家，而且这批专家通通有一手 三分。最重要的，他现在有个有活力的内线球员帮助他。他把球扔进去 Andrew Bynum的位置，或者跟其他的内线球员打pnr，而且只要有人在 他切入撕裂防线并且强迫对手做出补防的时候，他能够把球往上一扔做 出一个漂亮的lob。他将从一个对控球後卫来讲最糟糕的阵型转换到一 个对完全为控球後卫天造地设的阵型。换句话说：阻挡他的绊脚石统统 都不见了。 On the offensive end, expectations for Jrue have to be high this season. I liken his situation to Jameer Nelson's in Orlando. He should have 7 assists/game in his sleep, any worthwhile point guard should average 7 assists with this team. A cornerstone, a Robin to Bynum's Batman? That guy should be nearing double-digit assists, and his scoring numbers should improve as well with the new found floor spacing and focus of the opposing defense shifting to Bynum. 在进攻端，对Jrue的期待普遍都是非常高的。我认为他现在所处的环 境就跟Jameer Nelson过去几年在奥兰多所拥有的类似，他也许躺在 场上睡觉都有七助攻，甚至找Barkley的阿骂来帮忙控下个球季的七 六人，都应该要有七助攻。如果Bynum是杯面(蝙蝠侠)，那身为他的 罗宾，助攻要超过十个才够看，而且他的得分，得利於对手对於电车 男的防守配置与因此空出来的空间，没有理由，必须直线上升。 It was easy to find excuses in his first three seasons, now there are none. If Jrue is given the keys to this team and by the end of the year we see a trade for another PG who needs decent minutes, or Turner winds up playing point forward with the first unit for long stretches, well, that's on Jrue. He needs to realize this is a golden opportunity. An opportunity point guards dream of, and he needs to prove from day one he's on his way to becoming an elite PG on both ends of the floor. You don't get better opportunities than this, and I hate to put it bluntly, but if you think you're a max player, Jrue, go out there and prove it. 你很容易找到原因去帮Jrue辩护有关他前面三个球季不尽人意的部份， 但是这些阻碍都已经消失了。如果我们在交易截止日必须去找个控球後 卫吃下後卫的时间，甚至必须让Turner去打以前Iguodala去打的那个控 球前锋的时间，那就代表责任就在Jrue身上。他必须了解他现在拥有的 是一个真金等级而非K金等级的大好机会。一个所有控球後卫都羡慕的 阵容，而从开季的第一天，他就必须证明他能够在攻守两端都成为一个 顶尖的控球後卫。我不喜欢讲得这麽白，不过如果你想当一个顶级的球 员(无论是薪水，还是受到顶级的尊敬)，Jrue你就必须展现出舍我其谁 的决心，证明给所有的人看。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.243.221.210 ※ 编辑: willyt 来自: 111.243.220.105 (09/04 14:25)