Deep Sixer blog: "Analytics" and the 76ers 数据与七六人：有关建立一个进阶数据评估体系 John Mitchell / Philly.com Posted: Thursday, September 27, 2012, 11:23 AM http://tinyurl.com/9osdb3d ￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣ Even though we’ve heard a lot of talk coming from the 76ers these days about their plans to infuse more analytic analysis into evaluating all things, you don’t get the feeling that they are by any means going to go off the deep end with it. 即便最近你已经听到很多关於七六人打算建构一个专业且全方位的数据 分析团队之相关消息，但是你可能还没办法了解他们是多认真在看待有 关数字分析的这个领域，并且希望在此投入很多能量。 During the team’s search for a new general manager, there was much talk of adding a guy experienced steeped in applying analytics (think baseball’s Billy Beane and “Moneyball”) to the front office. However, we now know, with the hiring of Tony DiLeo the Sixers still value the tried-and-true talent evaluator to handle the day-to-day operations of their front office. 在球队寻找新GM的过程当中，我们一直听到很多关於他们想签下一个对 於数字较为敏感，对分析富有经验的经理人作为GM来协助七六人（有点 像是Billy Beane的故事，就是俗称的Moneyball）。但是无论如何，我 们知道他们最後还是找了一个传统的篮球经理人，也就是在七六人团队 当中服务22年的Tony DiLeo；不过即便如此，他们还是在寻找有关於能 够加强七六人制服组数字分析能力的优秀人才，来进行日常的分析与顾 问工作，协助行政团队更有效的进行他们的鸿图大业。 This is not to sell the analytic’s role short, not at all. When DiLeo had the second of two interviews for the position with team owner Josh Harris, Harris made it abundantly clear that the front office would incorporate and place significant emphasis on hiring someone to ascribe value to draft picks, free agents and anything else player related that goes beyond pure talent evaluation. 基本上不代表他们不认为数字没有这麽重要了。DiLeo在接受大老板第 二次面试的过程中，大老板很清楚的表明了希望让现在的篮球事务运营 部门能够吸收有关数字分析的养分，尤其重视有关选秀球员、自由球员 以及其他在雷达上的球员们的价值分析，协助制服组作决定；而非仅单 独凭靠有关於天份与传统技能的评估。 “I have a formula that I have been using,” DiLeo said, “ but what we are planning will take it to a whole different level of advanced analytics. That’s the approach the ownership group has. They want to make sure that our front office has every advantage. It’s important to them to make sure that nobody is better prepared to make decisions.” Tony DiLeo: 过去我在也在分析的过程当中使用过一些公式，但是我们希望将这个领 域的处理能力提昇到一个完全不一样的层次，并且得到更为进阶的分析 结果。这也是大老板们希望七六人能够提昇的，他们希望能够确保七六 人的制服组在短期可预见的未来当中，在每一个领域都能有保持一定的 优势。换言之，大老板们不希望有人在做决定之前，有其他球队的制服 组在事前准备与评估的质量上胜过七六人。 Analytics will play a large role in making the more nuanced decisions. For instance, making the trade for Bynum, a giant 24-year-old, two-time all star capable of 20 points, 10 rebounds, two blocks and multiple changed shots per night (and the fact that he’ll require nightly double teams in the center-poor Eastern Conference), probably didn’t require a whole lot of deep thinking and numbers crunching by the Sixers to determine the benefits of adding him. 这些分析的结果将会在未来扮演更重要的角色，不过通常是面对分析的 标的有着细微且需精密分析才能得到结论时，才显得这些演算法非常重 要。举个例子，就如同Drew的交易案好了，他是个二十四岁的巨人，两 度全明星获选，并且在可预期的未来能够成为一个平均20-10-2b的战力 中坚，并且大幅改善七六人的进攻模式（在此我们还没有列入他在缺乏 优秀中锋的东区能够有效吸引包夹并找到更多空档队友的好处），第一 印象是这似乎不需要很精密的计算，就能够得到一个清楚的结论：七六 人引进他虽然有风险，但是一言一敝之就是百利无一害的买卖，而不需 要用到各种复杂的公式才能得到一样有效的结果。 “You can’t let it dominate your decisions; there has to be a happy marriage,” is how DiLeo described it. Tony DiLeo: 你不能让这些数字去主宰你的思考过程与逻辑，就如同一段幸福的婚姻 一般，没有哪一方特别压过另一方的问题。 DiLeo says that throughout the league there are teams who use analytics to a very high degree (he pointed to Houston and Oklahoma City as the top proponents) and some who use it to a much lesser degree. Tony还表示，在整个联盟当中，有些球队对於使用演算法工具已经到了 高度依赖的程度，休士顿以及奥克拉荷马市尤甚；但是反过来说，也有 很多球队对於分析数字带来的结果并不是这麽感到兴趣。 While DiLeo did not give a time frame for bringing in this person, it is clear that the team is focused on making this happen much sooner rather than later. 到目前为止，Tony DiLeo还没有提出延揽这样的优秀人才的明确时间表， 但是毫无疑问的是，七六人目前对於数字分析这个领域确实是求才若渴， 他们希望越快开始组织他们新型态的数字分析部门越好，而非落人之後。 ￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣ 嗯，头脑很清楚XD -- Definitely one of the all-time under-rated sixers. Glad to see him finally getting some league wide recognition the last few years (All-star, All-NBA defense, Team USA). As much as he's been bashed on these boards over the years I'm sure he'll be missed. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV0ubjT6eDk 76ers' ACE of Spades in the past Decade, Andre Iguodala #9 forever. --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.243.223.231 ※ 编辑: willyt 来自: 111.243.223.231 (09/28 02:19)