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http://www.ew.com/ew/article/0,,20210530,00.html Box Office Preview 'Hancock': Box-Office Fireworks Ahead 「全民超人」的票房庆功烟火准备好了! After a strong Wednesday premiere, Will Smith's superhero flick looks to blow open the record books over the July 4th weekend 在很猛的星期三首映票房之後,威尔史密斯的这部超级英雄电影可望打破 美国国庆日的票房纪录 By Joshua Rich Joshua Rich Joshua Rich is a staff editor for EW.com It's Fourth of July weekend, everybody — America's favorite time of year for picnics, fireworks, and Will Smith movies! In case you haven't heard, the Biggest Movie Star in the World's latest release, Hancock, got off to a stellar start on Tuesday evening, banking $6.8 million in preview screenings. And it added another $17.4 mil when it officially opened on Wednesday. 各位,现在是国庆周末,美国人必备的活动包括:去野餐、放烟火、以及去看威尔 史密斯主演的电影!如果你资讯还没有update的话,这位最大咖巨星的最新作品 「全民超人」,在星期二的抢先首映就赚到了680万美金,在星期三的正式上映日 更是添加了1740万(单位也是美金,所以不再重复单位) So, yeah, it's a lock for the weekend win. But how big will it be against a slew of super-strong holdovers? And can the expanding kiddie hit Kit Kittredge: An American Girl put a dent in WALL-E's shiny metal body? My predictions are below, and you can register yours in EW.com's Summer Box Office Challenge. Our game may not be as sparkly as a Roman Candle, but it's 10 times the fun. 所以,这个周末的冠军得主已经产生了,但是这位新冠军到底会有多强呢?还有, 扩张戏院的儿童小品「Kit Kittredge: An American Girl」是否能更击倒瓦力的阳光 金属铜体呢?以下就是我的预测,你也可以去EW.com注册帐号并作出预测。我们的游戏 或许不像持火筒那样耀眼,但是绝对比他们至少有趣10倍 THE (LIKELY) TOP FIVE 预测前五卖座电影 Hancock Columbia‧PG-13‧3,965 theaters‧NEW 1.全民超人 新力/PG13/3965家戏院/新上映 Here's the place where I would ordinarily analyze Hancock's plot and discuss why you may or may not go see it this weekend. But why bother? It doesn't matter what Will Smith movies are about, because they all wind up being hits. Science fiction (Independence Day; I, Robot; Men in Black), action-horror (I Am Legend), romantic comedy (Hitch), animation (Shark Tale), thriller (Enemy of the State), even straight drama (The Pursuit of Happyness) — there's no genre in which Smith isn't hugely successful. And, amazingly enough, he seems to be getting more popular as the years go on: Last winter's I Am Legend drew the actor's biggest box-office bow yet ($77.2 mil) and second-best total domestic gross ($256.4 mil). 依照惯例,我将在这里分析全民超人的剧情,以及讨论你会不会去看本片的原因。 但有这个必要嘛?威尔史密斯的电影,剧情并不重要,因为他们每部都会很卖。 无论是科幻片(星际终结者、机械公敌、星际战警)、动作惊悚片(我是传奇)、 浪漫喜剧(全民情圣)、动画片(鲨鱼黑帮)、惊悚片(全民公敌),甚至是单纯的 剧情片(当幸福来敲门)-威哥没有一种类型不是成功的。 而且更惊人的是,这几年来他变的更受欢迎了;去年冬天的「我是传奇」不仅创下 这位演员的首映票房新高(7720万),在美国的总成绩也排名第二(2亿5640万) So will Hancock, his first foray into superhero movies, be any different? Aw, hell no! When we combine Smith's current track record, with the fact that the movie is the only major new thing in theaters, with the fact that it grossed $24.4 mil on its first day and a half, with the fact that this is the holiday weekend on which Smith has had so much success in the past (Independence Day and the Men in Black movies all opened mightily around July 4th)...we're looking at a debut for the ages. 所以他的超级英雄初体验「全民超人」,也会有不一样嘛?X的,当然是不会啦! 当我们追踪威哥这次的纪录时,我们发现几个事实: 1.本片是戏院本周唯一新上档的大片 2.首映的第一个1.5天就赚了2440万 3.威哥在过往国庆周末的卖座纪录实在太优了 (ID4与MIB都是在7月4日附近开演) 换句话说,我们等於是在见证一个惊人的首映成绩 The film's Friday-to-Sunday numbers may not be as big as Iron Man's $98.6 mil bow earlier this summer (after all, Transformers brought in $70.5 mil on this weekend last year, Hancock's CinemaScore grade from audiences is a good-but-not-great B+, and I suppose it's possible that some folks might actually avoid the multiplex this weekend). But they should be close. Weekend prediction: $83 million 本片的周末首映数字可能不会像暑假第一档「钢铁人」一样有9860万的惊人成绩, 毕竟去年的「变形金刚」首映周末也只赚取了7050万,另外全民超人在CinemaScore的 观众分数是OK但还不够棒的B+,我也假设有些乡民真的会避免在首映周就去电影院, 但成绩应该跟我想的差不多 预测首映票房:8300万 WALL-E Walt Disney/Pixar‧G‧3,992 theaters‧2nd weekend 2.瓦力 迪士尼-皮克斯/G级/3992家戏院/第二周 Okay, clearly, I have a bit of a man-crush on Will Smith. Ah, well, I bet it's something that most moviegoers can empathize with: Just look at how everybody fell in love with Pixar's cuddly little robot last weekend! That $63.1 mil debut was sweet, indeed, and considering how well the animated flick has been holding on during the week (it has grossed more than $7.5 mil per day), a 33 percent decline on this holiday weekend is all I expect it to face. Weekend prediction: $42 million 我先承认,我个人是对威哥有一点着迷啦。 不过,我也敢打赌有不少影迷会去力挺瓦力。 看看有多少人被迷倒於这个皮克斯创造的可爱小机器人吧!超过六千万的首映 真的是很棒的成绩,所以你可以想像这部动画片的持久度会有多强 (每天至少收入750万),我预估这个假期周末他只会有百分之33的下跌程度 预测周末成绩:4200万 Wanted Universal‧R‧3,185 theaters‧2nd weekend 3.刺客联盟 环球/R级/3185家戏院/第二周 And then there's Angelina Jolie's R-rated shoot-'em-up, which has also struck gold at the box office. The film's $50.9 mil debut far exceeded expectations, and it remains the only major truly adult action offering in theaters right now. Weekend prediction: $28 million 这可以说是安洁丽娜裘莉的R级大屠杀,这也让她在票房上有黄金等级的表现。 本片超过五千万的首映成绩,已经超乎大家的预期,而且他看样子也会成为影城里面 唯一一部专门吸引成人的火爆动作片 预测周末成绩:2800万 Kit Kittredge: An American Girl Picturehouse ‧ G ‧ 1,843 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend 4.Kit Kittredge: An American Girl Picturehouse/G级/1843家戏院/第三周 This live-action children's movie features Academy Award nominee Abigail Breslin as a Depression-era lass, a role modeled on a doll in the American Girl line of toys. Then again, I suppose if you needed me to explain that to you, you're not likely to be seeing this movie. 这部儿童电影由「小太阳」爱碧贝斯林演出一个在不景气年代,根据American Girl 玩具产品线设计的女孩。如果有需要的话,我想再次跟你说,我假设你不会去看本片 But many others will: The film has been a smash in limited release for the past two weeks (it earned nearly half-a-million bucks in just five venues), and this expansion seems to be a sure thing, financially. The only minor — very minor — caveat is that Kit Kittredge may have a harder time striking it rich in cities that don't have an American Girl Place store. Of course, if the success of movies like Hanna Montana & Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert ($65.3 mil) is any indication, that won't matter: Tween girls adore a movie that's made just for them. Weekend prediction: $13 million 但这部片还是有机会卖座,因为他在两周以来的限量地区上映非常成功 (五个城市收入50万),所以全国大规模联映绝对可以赚更多。唯一的一个小小障碍 ,就是Kit Kittredge在没有American Girl Place的地区要有好票房将会比较吃力。 当然,如果他像孟汉娜演唱会那样成功铺设的话(收入超过6500万),那就不重要了, 因为年轻美眉就是喜欢专门为他们打造的电影 预计周末收入:1300万 Get Smart Warner Bros. ‧ PG-13 ‧ 3,574 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend 5.特务行不行 华纳兄弟/PG13/3574家戏院/第三周 Steve Carell's spy spoof should clear the $100 mil mark by the end of the weekend, making it the Daily Show alum's third live-action star vehicle — and sixth feature overall, including animated pics and flicks in which he had a supporting role — to do so. Could he be the next Will Smith? (Okay, probably not.) Weekend prediction: $12 million 史帝夫卡尔的这部谍报喜剧应该可以在本周末达到1亿关卡,让他成为「the Daily Show」当中第三位有成功拍动作片的校友,也是他第六部有如此成绩的电影,当然, 这也把他配音的动画片与他当配角的影片也算进去了。他会是下一个威哥吗? (好吧,也许不会) 周末预测:1200万 -- LA NY B  D   NY SD S  α StL Λ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙   郭泓志 郭维拉 郭冈岛 郭马雅 郭格纳 郭夫曼 郭JJ 郭莫兹 郭四零 郭-Rod 郭德华 郭宝贝 郭德琼斯 --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.230.49.206
1F:→ spree:Hancock的weekend预测早就下修到6000万了,另外,本片完全没打 07/05 11:30
2F:→ spree:破任何米国国庆日卖座纪录,输Transformers一大截 07/05 11:31
3F:→ spree:依目前走势,Hancock的首周末票房也不及Spidey 3和世界大战 07/05 11:34
4F:→ spree:附带一提,EW自己的影评只给本片C+ 07/05 11:40
5F:推 bigboss:BOM的周五成绩出炉了.HANCOCK如果从首映日当天开始加到周 07/06 09:00
6F:→ bigboss:日结束的话是有可能8200万,单周五到周日显然是没办法.其它 07/06 09:01
7F:→ bigboss:片子的预测也太过乐观.看来作者不大清楚美国现在不景气XD 07/06 09:01
8F:推 Eunoia:Hancock评价不够好... 07/06 17:12
9F:推 darksaber:结果出来了,最终是66M,5天票房107M,算差强人意 07/07 12:52
10F:→ darksaber:主角魅力真是可怕,另外2,3名的票房还是很猛 07/07 12:53







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