http://www.ew.com/ew/article/0,,20213327,00.html 'The Dark Knight': Richer Than Bruce Wayne? 「黑暗骑士」会比布鲁斯韦恩多金？ Christian Bale's latest Batman movie should easily beat fellow newcomers ''Mamma Mia!'' and ''Space Chimps'' -- but how big will it be? 克理斯丁贝尔的最新蝙蝠侠电影应该会很轻松的打败也是新上映的「妈妈咪呀」 与「Space Chimps」，但是差距会有多大呢？ Everybody knows that the latest Batman movie, The Dark Knight, opens this weekend. And everybody knows that, in this great summer of comic-book fare, it's gonna be big. Like big big. Like, Pirates of the Caribbean big. But did you know that there are two other films debuting alongside Christian Bale's caped crusader? No kidding: The musical Mamma Mia! and the animated kiddie flick Space Chimps are also hitting theaters. And if all that weren't enough, Hellboy II, Hancock, and Journey to the Center of the Earth are still going strong. 大家都知道最新的蝙蝠侠电影「黑暗骑士」会在本周上映，大家也都知道， 在这漫画片充斥的暑假中，「黑」片情势一片大好，就跟神鬼奇航一样好。 但是你知道还有两部片会跟着克理斯丁贝尔的斗篷十字军（蝙蝠侠的外号） 一同上映嘛？这不是开玩笑！音乐剧「妈妈咪呀」与儿童动画片「Space Chimps」 也要进军电影院。如果这还不够多，请看看地狱怪客2、全民超人、与地心冒险， 他们的卖座後势仍然很强 Busy times! Anyway, I'll try to make sense of this crowded weekend at the multiplex, with my picks below; you can register your own rankings in EW.com's Summer Box Office Challenge. And let's agree to meet back here on Sunday to see how we did, eh? 好忙啊！总之，我会尝试去理解这个周末电影院的生意，看完我的分析後，你也 可以在EW.com的活动中发表意见，那各位就等到周日再看成果吧，好不好？ The Dark Knight Warner Bros. ‧ PG-13 ‧ 4,366 theaters ‧ NEW 1.黑暗骑士 华纳兄弟/PG13/4366家戏院/新上映 It's hard to write about Heath Ledger's death in the context of box office and not sound like I'm trivializing the tragedy of his passing; I don't mean to. That said, there's no doubt that the off-camera circumstances surrounding this sequel to Christopher Nolan's terrific 2005 franchise reboot, Batman Begins, will lure many viewers who are eager to see what Ledger's possibly final performance looks like (and whether his work as the Joker lives up to its pre-release Oscar hype). 虽然很不想这样写，但是我很难去评估希斯莱杰的去世对於影片的卖座有什麽影响。 所以换句话说好了，这部由克里斯多夫诺兰在2005以「蝙蝠侠：开战时刻」成功 东山再起之後的续集，毫无疑问地，戏外的状况将会吸引不少观众，目睹希斯莱杰 最後的演出会是如何（甚至还包括他饰演的小丑有无希望挑战奥斯卡） Even still, The Dark Knight was always going to be a huge hit. It is the seventh live-action installment (don't forget Adam West's 1966 Batman flick, folks!) in one of the biggest franchises in movie history, and it follows a hugely successful 2005 film that grossed $205.3 mil domestically and drew all sorts of critical coos. It, too, is drawing raves from reviewers, and its star, Christian Bale, has one of the most devoted fan bases in the business. 无论如何，黑暗骑士都会大卖座。这部已拍摄七部真人电影板的系列（各位别忘了 亚当韦斯特1966年的版本啊），可以说是影史规模最大的印钞机之一，就拿2005年 的版本来说，不仅在北美赚取超过2亿美金的票房，也让不少影评感到惊艳。 至於「黑」片，也一样引起影评人的赞扬，而且男主角：克里斯丁贝尔，很幸运的 ，是影坛拥有最忠心影迷的演员之一 And, oh! I almost forgot: It's bowing in more theaters than any other movie in history (breaking Pirates 3's record of 4,362 venues). So how big will The Dark Knight's opening be? Certainly larger than Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull's $100.1 mil three-day bow (the year's biggest so far). I'd argue that the anticipation, buzz, and present-day relevance of this film (also starring Aaron Eckhart and Maggie Gyllenhaal) is bigger than that of Indy 4 — and, hey, the fact that it's playing on scores of IMAX screens (which charge more for tickets) helps even more. Weekend prediction: $128 million 喔，我差点忘记了：他的首映将会创下美国影史最多戏院上映的纪录 （打破神鬼奇航3的4362家），所以黑暗骑士的首映票房会有多高呢？ 绝对会比「印第安那琼斯：水晶骷髅王国」的後三天多（今年最高首映） 因为无论在期待度、上映前行情，与该片的现代感（也包括亚伦艾克哈特与 玛姬葛伦霍的演出），黑片都比印地4还高，而且，嘿，本片将会在不少IMAX 萤幕上映的事实，也会将首映票房拉更高（因为可以收更高的票价） 预测周末票房：1亿2800万 Mamma Mia! Universal ‧ PG-13 ‧ 2,976 theaters ‧ NEW 2.妈妈咪呀 环球/PG13/2976家戏院/新上映 Counterprogramming! It's obvious that that's what the folks behind this adaptation of the hit Broadway musical (about a wedding holiday where everybody breaks out singing ABBA ditties) were thinking. It's so easy: Here we have a movie meant for the ladies, so it's a perfect foe for the boy-baiting Batman. Simple, right? 行销很重要！很明显，这就是看过这出在婚礼假期中，每个人都在唱着Abba 经典歌曲的百老汇音乐剧的观众想到的。很简单，既然有吸引男孩的蝙蝠侠， 那就用本片吸引女性观众吧！不难达成，对吧？ Weeeeeellllll...I'm not convinced. The movie has done bang-up business overseas, where it opened last week. But while stars Meryl Streep and Pierce Brosnan are proven box office draws, their core fans tend to be folks who won't necessarily rush out to see a film on opening weekend — in part because they have to stay home to fill out their AARP membership applications. 嗯…我才不信咧！本片上周在非美国地区的行销很成功，但是一提到主角是 梅莉史翠普与皮尔斯布洛斯南，他们的核心影迷很容易不在首周就冲去戏院－ 有一部分的原因是他们必须在留在家里，填写AARP的入会申请表 （按：AARP是美国退休者协会的缩写，这一段在暗示他们两人的影迷年龄层偏高） The other thing keeping Mamma Mia! from matching the $27.5 mil premieres of both Hairspray and The Devil Wears Prada: The counterprogramming plan is all well and good, but with The Dark Knight earning $128 mil this weekend, how many people will be left to see this film? Weekend prediction: $23 million 另一个不能让妈妈咪呀首周卖到2750万的理由则是：虽然本片跟「发胶明星梦」 与「穿着Prada的恶魔」一样有好的行销措施，但是有了黑暗骑士一下子吸走 1.28亿，有谁还会想去看本片呢？ 预测周末票房：2300万 Hancock Columbia ‧ PG-13 ‧ 3,776 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend He's hardly the new superhero on the block, but Will Smith continues to show strength at the box office. His flick has brought in more than $175 mil, and it even beat upstart Hellboy II every day during this week. Weekend prediction: $16 million 3.全民超人 新力/PG13/3776家戏院/第三周 他在街上简直没有超级英雄的榜样，但是威尔史密斯在票房上仍然保持竞争力。 他的新片赚进了超过1.75亿，甚至还在非周末期间每天都卖赢地狱怪客2 预测周末票房：1600万 Hellboy II: The Golden Army Universal ‧ PG-13 ‧ 3,212 theaters ‧ 2nd weekend Though an impressive No. 1 finisher last time around, Guillermo del Toro's comic-fantasy sequel stands to be the biggest victim of Batman's entrance into the marketplace, especially if those semi-soft mid-week numbers are any indication. Weekend prediction: $14 million 4.地狱怪客2：金甲军团 环球/PG13/3212家戏院/第二周 虽然在上一周令人印象深刻的拿下冠军，但吉勒摩戴托洛的这部奇幻漫画续集， 显然会是蝙蝠侠进入影城市场後的头号牺牲者，尤其他非周末期间疲软的表现 已经说明了一切 预测周末票房：1400万 Journey to the Center of the Earth New Line ‧ PG ‧ 2,830 theaters ‧ NEW For the second consecutive week, I'm predicting that Brendan Fraser's 3-D update of Jules Verne's classic story will earn $10 mil. This time, however, I should be correct. Weekend prediction: $10 million 5.地心冒险 新线/PG/2830家戏院/第二周 连续第二周，我都预测这部由布兰登费雪主演的3D小说故事改编会赚进一千万， 但是这一次，我应该会猜对 预测周末票房：1000万 -- LA NY Ｂ　 Ｄ　　 NY SD Ｓ　 α ＳｔＬ Λ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ 　 ０ 郭泓志 郭维拉 郭冈岛 郭马雅 郭格纳 郭夫曼 郭JJ 郭莫兹 郭四零 郭-Rod 郭德华 郭宝贝 郭德琼斯 --

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