http://www.ew.com/ew/article/0,,20223641,00.html Box Office Preview 'Bangkok Dangerous': Can It Make a Killing? 「无声火」会杀出重围吗？ Nicolas Cage's violent action remake may not earn much, but its take should be enough to win the top spot on a slow weekend 尼可拉斯凯吉的暴力动作片改拍也许不会赚很多钱，但是应该可以在这个小周末胜出 This weekend sees the return of school, homework, the NFL...and box office lethargy! Yep, the slow season soldiers on at the multiplex: While studios spent the past few frames dumping their summer leftovers into theaters, this time around they're all basically taking the weekend off. Releasing nothing. Nada. Well, with one exception — the Nicolas Cage Asian-action remake Bangkok Dangerous. Think it'll win? See what I have to say below, and then take your own shot in EW.com's all-new Fall Box Office Challenge. And props to ''neilplinden'' for garnering top prize in our just-finished summer game. Way to go, fellow box office savant! 本周我们看到返校潮，学生开始准备功课、NFL开幕周，以及票房的度小月。 没错，票房淡季开始出现在电影院。虽然说片场在过去几周相继清仓暑假末段 的剩菜，但本周他们基本上都在休息，没有发行的电影。不过，还是有一个例外， 那就是尼可拉斯凯吉的亚洲动作重拍「无声火」。假如你觉得他会赢，那你可以 看看我下面的文章 THE (LIKELY) TOP FIVE 预测前五卖座电影 Bangkok Dangerous Lionsgate ‧ R ‧ 2,650 theaters ‧ NEW Heh-heh, Bangkok. It's easy to imagine Beavis and Butt-head racing to see this movie, but anybody else? Maybe not a ton of folks, since buzz and marketing are minimal, but certainly enough. That it's the only new release virtually guarantees a No. 1 finish for this violent remake of the 1999 assassin flick of the same title (also directed by Hong Kong's Pang brothers, who made The Eye). So, too, does the presence of box office force Nicolas Cage, whose most recent movie, National Treasure: Book of Secrets, grossed a whopping $220 mil domestically. Sure, the Oscar-winning actor has added a few misses to his résumé recently: Next opened with just $7.1 mil in 2007 and The Wicker Man bowed with $9.6 mil in early September two years ago. Then again, $9.6 mil may be enough to win here. Weekend prediction: $10 million 1.无声火 Lionsgate ‧ R ‧ 2650家戏院 ‧新上映 欢迎来到曼谷。不难想像鳖四与大头蛋会冲去看本片，但其他人呢？也许不会 吸引太多人，因为宣传与上映行情都很低调，但也够多了。身为本周唯一上映 的新片，差不多可以让改编自1999同名暴力作品的本片成为卖座榜第一 （导演同样是香港的彭氏兄弟，他们也导演过「变眼」的原版本「见鬼」）， 凯吉也可以延续去年国家宝藏2的吸金功力(国2美国票房超过2亿美金)。 当然，这位奥斯卡得主也曾经有几次失手的履历，包括去年「关键下一秒」 只有710万，两年前同期的「恶灵线索」则是960万。不过，960万已经足够 让他们成为赢家了 周末预测:1000万美元 Tropic Thunder Paramount/DreamWorks ‧ R ‧ 3,446 theaters ‧ 4th weekend Of course, for all I know, Bangkok Dangerous could tank and then this would wind up the winner for a fourth straight weekend. But at about $89 mil and counting, it'll probably have to wait till next week to cross the $100 mil mark. Weekend prediction: $8 million 2.开麦拉惊魂 派拉蒙/梦工厂‧ R ‧ 3446家戏院 ‧第四周 当然，根据我知道的，除了「无声火」，本片也很有机会四连霸，不过依照目前 累积的8900万美元计算，他大概要等到下周才会达到1亿关卡 周末预测:800万美元 The Dark Knight Warner Bros. ‧ PG-13 ‧ 2,575 theaters ‧ 8th weekend Now that the $500 mil plateau has come and gone, is there any chance — any chance at all — that Batman could threaten Titanic's reign as the top domestic grosser of all time? As EW columnist Mark Harris recently wrote, no way. To match Titanic's $600.8 mil tally, The Dark Knight (which now stands at about $507 mil) would have to average approximately $8 mil per week...for the next three months! Yeah, no way. Still, with about $925 min in worldwide receipts, it should soon join Titanic, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King, and Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest as the only billion-dollar grossers in box office history. Weekend prediction: $6 million 3.黑暗骑士 华纳兄弟‧ PG - 13‧ 2575家戏院 ‧第八周 既然已经达到五亿的里程碑，现在他的问题是：蝙蝠侠是否有任何的机会， 超越铁达尼号，成为美国最卖座电影呢？根据娱乐周刊的评论员Mark Harris 最近的文章，结论是不可能的。假如要达到铁达尼的6亿成就，目前5.07亿的本片 必须每周都卖到800万－在这三个月内。没错，所以不可能。 不过，目前全球收入9.25亿的本片，很快就会加入铁达尼、魔戒之王者再临、 神鬼奇航2的行列，成为全球10亿俱乐部的会员 周末预测:600万美元 The House Bunny Columbia ‧ PG-13 ‧ 2,736 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend The Anna Faris comedy is turning into a sweet little late-summer hit, having exceeded its small production budget (a reported $25 mil) with more than $30 mil in the bank. I wonder if E will try to take the credit? Weekend prediction: $5 million 4.女孩我最兔 哥伦比亚‧ PG - 13‧ 2736家戏院 ‧第三周 安娜法瑞丝主演的新喜剧，已经成为暑假末期的小兵立大功，不仅已经超越 制作费(据报是2500万)，现在也正朝向3000万迈进。不知道「我家也有大明星」 的艾瑞克，是否有意愿签下安娜？ 周末预测:500万美元 Babylon A.D. Fox ‧ PG-13 ‧ 3,425 theaters ‧ 2nd weekend Sorry to be so cynical, but let's be honest: The only reason I'm still writing about Vin Diesel's latest flick — which had a disappointing $9.5 mil three-day debut a week ago and could drop 60 percent or more this time — is because there are no other new releases to bump it further down the chart. Weekend prediction: $4 million 5.巴比伦密码 福斯‧ PG - 13‧ 3425家戏院 ‧第二周 抱歉如此残酷，但说实话：我继续写冯狄所这部开出令人失望新片 （三天只开出950万，本周可能暴跌6成）的唯一理由，是因为我找不到 本周还有什麽够吸引人的影片 周末预测:400万美元 -- LA NY Ｂ　 Ｄ　　 NY SD Ｓ　 α ＳｔＬ Λ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ˙˙ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ ０ 　 ０ 郭泓志 郭维拉 郭冈岛 郭马雅 郭格纳 郭夫曼 郭JJ 郭莫兹 郭四零 郭-Rod 郭德华 郭宝贝 郭德琼斯 --

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