原文连结：http://tinyurl.com/yh9dgfq Kevin Durant has late-game struggles After having his potential game-tying shot blocked by LeBron James in the waning seconds Saturday night in Cleveland -- 24 hours after missing a potential game-winning, 3-pointer in Memphis -- The Oklahoman's live blog drew some "Durant isn't clutch" comments. KD最後一击被喇叭龙赏了一个火锅，这也是24小时之内KD没办法投进的第二次最後一击。 在这之後，Oklahoman's live Blog开始出现了一些「KD关键时刻总是消失」的意见。 Hard to argue with that viewpoint at this stage of Durant's career. 从KD至今的表现看来，很难去反驳这个观点。 But that point of view minimizes the progress Durant and the league's second youngest team has made in roughly 12 months. 但这个观点确实贬低了KD与雷霆这只全联盟第二年轻，初步架构才刚完成12个月的队伍。 Frustration is understandable. Players are frustrated. How can you not be frustrated when you lose 1-point games to the Spurs, Mavericks and Cavs, and a 2-point decision to Memphis in a 10-day span. 感到挫折是可以被理解的，球员个个也都很挫折。当自己十天内，已经输了四场差一球的 比赛，这怎麽能不挫折？ But here are two things to consider: 但有一些数据值得探讨： (1) OKC is 7-10 in one-possession games. If you're going to criticize Durant and the Thunder for coming up short give them credit for winning down-to-the-wire games against Phoenix, Atlanta, Utah and a road game at San Antonio. (1)目前雷霆一球决定胜负的比赛战绩是7-10。想批评KD跟雷霆队之前，先看看被我们 over过的队伍：太阳、老鹰、爵士、马刺(全是客场比赛)。 (2) Expectations have risen too quickly. Most pre-season predictions projected the Thunder to win around 35 games which means OKC was projected to be around 18-26 at this point of the season, already out of the playoff race. (2)其实球迷有点太急躁。大多数的季前分析都预估今年雷霆大概是35胜左右，也就是说 按这个推测，现在我们的战绩应该是18-26，早就被踢出季後赛竞争了。 Durant is 21. At the same age, Michael Jordan was a junior at North Carolina; Kobe Bryant was averaging 19.9 points with the Lakers, Dirk Nowitzki was averaging 8.2 points, and LeBron James was leading the Cavaliers to the playoffs for the first time in his third season. KD不过21岁，Jordan在他21岁的时候还在打北卡，Kobe在他21岁的时候平均也只有19.9分 。21岁的Dirk只打出了8.2分，而喇叭龙在他21岁的时候才带骑士队进他个人第一次季後 赛。 Here's a sobering stat to rachet down expectations the final three months: 以下这些资讯应该会让我们冷静下来思考未来三个月对雷霆的期待。 The nine players in the Thunder's rotation have played in a combined 35 playoff games -- Nenad Krstic 15, Nick Collison 11, Thabo Sefolosha 9. Three rookies obviously haven't played in post-season. Russell Westbrook, Jeff Green and Durant are hoping to crash the post-season party this season. 雷霆有9个球员打过季後赛，共35场。Krstic-15场，Collison-11场，Thabo-9场。三个菜 鸟不可能打过季後赛。三宝目前也还在为他们的首次季後赛努力中。 In contrast: 看看对比吧： Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker have played in a combined 389 playoff games. 马刺三巨头(Duncan、Manu、Parker)：生涯总共打过389场季後赛。 Dirk Nowitzki, Jason Kidd and Jason Terry have played in a combined 267 playoff games. 小牛三巨头(Dirk、Kidd、Terry)：生涯总共打过267场季後赛。 LeBron James and Shaquille O'Neal have played in a combined 263 playoff games. 骑士双柱(James、O'Neal)：生涯总共打过263场季後赛。 Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett have played in a combined 227 playoff games. 超塞三人组(Pierce、Allen、KG)：生涯总共打过227场季後赛。 Chauncey Billups and Carmelo Anthony have played in a combined 172 playoff games. 金块双枪(Billups、Anthony)：生涯总共打过172场季後赛。 Yes, it's frustrating Durant still hasn't found the late-game magic touch. Yes, it's frustrating the Thunder continually comes up just short against elite teams. Yes, it's frustrating these losses might cost the Thunder a playoff berth. 我们确实对KD还无法在紧要关头发挥实力感到失望，我们也确实对雷霆老是输一球感到 挫折，我们也担心这些失败会让雷霆打不进季後赛。 But to expect the league's second youngest team to consistently beat playoff-tested opponents is unrealistic. I predicted 36 wins in preseason. As we near the All-Star break, my adusted win projection is 47 wins, which probably would get OKC in the playoffs. 但期待这只联盟第二年轻的球队持续打败季後赛常客是不切实际的。我季前的预估是36胜 ，但如果保持明星赛前这样的胜率，我们可以拿到47胜，这战绩已经有可能进季後赛了。 Even if they fall short, and finish around.500, a vastly improved defense and road wins at Atlanta, Phoenix, San Antonio, Utah and Miami are signs this is just the beginning. If the Thunder's story were a book we're only in chapters 4 or 5, far from reaching the juicy part of the plot, hundreds of pages away from the ending. 即使雷霆今年没能进季後赛，胜率也只有5成左右，但雷霆的防守进步了，在客场已经打 败过老鹰、太阳、马刺、爵士、热火了，这象徵着一个开始。如果把雷霆成长的过程写成 书，现在也不过是第四章或第五章罢了，离团圆大结局还有好几百页的过程。 Some understably will respond. "I understand all that. But when will Durant hit the big shot? When will the Thunder win these type of games?" Be patient. There are still many chapters left to be written. 也许会有人想回应说：「这些我都知道，但如果KD能够投进呢？雷霆何时才能赢这种比赛 呢？」我只想说要有耐心，雷霆的故事还没结束呢。 -- 哲学的义务，是去除因误解而生的幻想。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 211.22.7.197